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Avalanche vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Avalanche vs. Capitals NHL game on March 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Avalanche
3
2
Mar 22, 4:30PM Capital One Arena
Capitals
Mar 22, 4:30PM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Avalanche
0 0 2 1 3
Capitals
1 0 1 0 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
AvalancheCOL
Win %
100%
0%
CapitalsWSH
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Avalanche
0 0 2 1 3
Capitals
1 0 1 0 2
OT1 01:22 Goal scored by Brock Nelson
OT1 00:53 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Logan Thompson
OT1 00:24 Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 19:08 Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Logan Thompson
P3 18:17 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 18:11 Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P3 16:54 Cale Makar shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
P3 16:40 Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 14:16 Power play - Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P3 12:08 Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P3 11:22 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 11:04 Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:59 Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 07:40 Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 07:16 Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 06:52 Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:53 Brent Burns shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:12 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 02:11 Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 02:07 Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 01:22
GOAL
Goal scored by Brock Nelson
3-2
OT1 00:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Logan Thompson
OT1 00:24
SHOT
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
OT1 00:00
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:59
Avalanche won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
P3 19:18
Giveaway by Matt Roy in defensive zone
P3 19:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Logan Thompson
P3 18:17
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 18:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P3 17:17
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:54
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
P3 16:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:41
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P3 16:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:06
Jack Drury won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in neutral zone
P3 15:04
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in offensive zone
P3 14:52
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P3 14:52
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 14:24
Jack Drury won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P3 14:24
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 14:17
Avalanche won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P3 14:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P3 13:57
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P3 13:18
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P3 12:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P3 11:45
Avalanche won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P3 11:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 11:04
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 10:25
Avalanche won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P3 10:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 09:01
Power play - Giveaway by Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P3 07:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 07:34
Power play - Tom Wilson won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P3 07:34
Penalty to Josh Manson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Aliaksei Protas)
P3 07:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 06:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:12
Giveaway by Sam Malinski in defensive zone
P3 06:03
Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P3 05:53
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 04:04
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
P3 03:37
Takeaway by Parker Kelly in offensive zone
P3 02:50
Takeaway by Cole Hutson in defensive zone
P3 02:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 02:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 01:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 01:05
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
P3 01:05
GOAL
Goal scored by Gabriel Landeskog assisted by Martin Necas
1-1
P3 00:00
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P2 18:40
SHOT
Devon Toews shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
P2 17:58
Power play - Justin Sourdif credited with hit on Parker Kelly in defensive zone
P2 17:55
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Parker Kelly
P2 17:14
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Strome shot blocked by teammate
P2 17:11
Avalanche won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
P2 17:09
SHOT
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by teammate
P2 16:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Capitals
P2 16:17
Penalty to Brent Burns 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 15:49
Giveaway by Valeri Nichushkin in offensive zone
P2 15:20
SHOT
Avalanche shot blocked by teammate
P2 15:09
Stoppage - Offside
P2 14:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 13:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Logan Thompson
P2 13:21
SHOT
Josh Manson shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P2 12:42
SHOT
Gabriel Landeskog shot blocked by teammate
P2 12:24
SHOT
Gabriel Landeskog shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P2 11:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 11:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P2 10:55
Stoppage - Icing
P2 09:23
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P2 08:41
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P2 08:41
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 08:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:11
Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P2 08:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 07:44
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 06:12
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 04:57
Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P2 04:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:55
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P2 04:29
Avalanche won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P2 04:05
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Dylan Strome
P2 03:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Cale Makar
P2 03:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Cale Makar
P2 03:44
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
P2 03:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Logan Thompson
P2 02:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
P2 01:47
SHOT
Devon Toews shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P2 01:29
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P2 01:29
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:03
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
P2 01:03
Stoppage - Offside
P2 00:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P2 00:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 00:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:00
Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P1 18:20
Giveaway by Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P1 18:06
Takeaway by Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
P1 17:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P1 17:04
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P1 16:37
Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
P1 16:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 15:45
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Logan Thompson
P1 15:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 14:50
Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P1 14:50
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 13:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Logan Thompson
P1 13:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Zakhar Bardakov
P1 12:02
Nazem Kadri credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
P1 11:53
GOAL
Goal scored by Justin Sourdif
0-1
P1 11:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 10:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zakhar Bardakov saved by Logan Thompson
P1 10:34
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater - TV timeout
P1 09:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Logan Thompson
P1 09:12
SHOT
Devon Toews shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P1 08:47
Jakob Chychrun credited with hit on Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P1 07:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Malinski
P1 07:27
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P1 07:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 05:23
Penalty to Nicolas Roy 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk)
P1 04:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Martin Necas
P1 03:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:14
Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P1 03:14
Penalty to Cole Hutson 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Nathan MacKinnon)
P1 01:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P1 01:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
P1 01:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:27
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Josh Manson
P1 00:00
Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stats
Avalanche
STATS
Capitals
24Shots on Goal22
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins4
15Hits18
5Shots Blocked13
13Giveaways12
AvalancheCOL
CapitalsWSH
24Shots on Goal22
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins4
15Hits18
5Shots Blocked13
13Giveaways12

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Avalanche vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Avalanche vs. Capitals
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Avalanche -153, Capitals +153

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Avalanche: 58%
  • Capitals: 42%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 58%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Avalanche vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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