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Lightning vs. Kraken Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Kraken NHL game on March 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Lightning
6
2
Mar 18, 2AM Climate Pledge Arena
Kraken
Mar 18, 2AM Climate Pledge Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
2 1 3 6
Kraken
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
KrakenSEA
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
2 1 3 6
Kraken
0 2 0 2
P3 19:48 Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 19:32 Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 17:42 Erik Cernak shot blocked by Ryan Winterton
P3 17:09 Vince Dunn shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:53 Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Gage Goncalves and Nikita Kucherov
P3 13:12 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 12:58 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 12:22 Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 10:12 Victor Hedman shot blocked by Ryker Evans
P3 09:20 Shot on goal by Adam Larsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:10 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 07:36 Victor Hedman shot blocked by Matty Beniers
P3 06:35 Bobby McMann shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 05:55 Shot missed by Ryker Evans
P3 04:52 Shot missed by Brandon Montour
P3 04:35 Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel
P3 03:55 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 03:54 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 02:16 Shot missed by Brandon Montour
P3 01:43 Chandler Stephenson shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 19:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 19:22
Takeaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
P3 18:43
Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
P3 18:09
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
P3 18:01
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
P3 17:42
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Ryan Winterton
P3 17:40
Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
P3 17:16
Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Meyers in neutral zone
P3 17:16
Stoppage - Objects on Ice
P3 17:09
SHOT
Vince Dunn shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 16:54
Shane Wright won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P3 16:53
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Gage Goncalves and Nikita Kucherov
5-2
P3 15:06
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Frederick Gaudreau in offensive zone
P3 15:06
Penalty to Bobby McMann 2 minutes for Boarding (Drawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous)
P3 14:27
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:02
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Matty Beniers in defensive zone
P3 14:02
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 13:36
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Shane Wright in defensive zone
P3 13:36
Stoppage
P3 13:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 13:00
Matty Beniers won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 12:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 12:48
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frederick Gaudreau in offensive zone
P3 12:48
Stoppage - Icing
P3 12:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 10:12
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Ryker Evans
P3 09:34
Takeaway by Jordan Eberle in neutral zone
P3 09:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Larsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:17
Stoppage - Icing
P3 08:12
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 08:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 07:36
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Matty Beniers
P3 06:35
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 05:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryker Evans
P3 04:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Montour
P3 04:35
GOAL
Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel
4-2
P3 03:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 03:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 02:34
Giveaway by Jamie Oleksiak in defensive zone
P3 02:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Montour
P3 01:43
SHOT
Chandler Stephenson shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 01:37
Lightning won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
P3 01:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:18
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Vince Dunn
P3 01:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 00:41
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Ben Meyers in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:36
Ben Meyers won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 19:07
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P2 18:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
P2 17:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Melanson
P2 16:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Philipp Grubauer
P2 15:49
Brayden Point won faceoff against Shane Wright in offensive zone
P2 15:49
Stoppage - Icing
P2 14:51
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Adam Larsson
P2 14:50
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Adam Larsson
P2 13:46
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Ryker Evans
P2 13:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Frederick Gaudreau
P2 12:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Montour saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:24
Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Meyers in defensive zone
P2 12:22
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Montour saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 11:26
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 10:32
Nick Paul won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
P2 10:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Vince Dunn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 10:28
Power play - Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 10:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Eberle
P2 09:52
SHOT
Ryan Winterton shot blocked by teammate
P2 09:46
Lightning won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
P2 08:30
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
P2 08:22
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Wright in defensive zone
P2 08:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:01
SHOT
Power play - Matty Beniers shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P2 07:42
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 07:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Oleksiak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 07:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Jamie Oleksiak
P2 05:50
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Vince Dunn
P2 05:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Philipp Grubauer
P2 04:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Philipp Grubauer
P2 04:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 03:32
Stoppage - Offside
P2 02:53
Matty Beniers won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 02:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:16
Giveaway by Brandon Montour in defensive zone
P2 01:07
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
P2 01:07
GOAL
Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Matty Beniers
3-1
P2 00:57
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Anthony Cirelli and Brandon Hagel
3-0
P2 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:49
Brayden Point won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
P1 18:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Philipp Grubauer
P1 18:17
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Wright in defensive zone
P1 18:10
Power play - Berkly Catton won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 18:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Montour saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:18
SHOT
Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jared McCann
P1 16:35
SHOT
Power play - Chandler Stephenson shot blocked by teammate
P1 16:35
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Ryan Lindgren)
P1 16:26
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Adam Larsson
P1 15:28
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
P1 14:58
SHOT
Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by Shane Wright
P1 14:47
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
P1 14:36
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frederick Gaudreau in offensive zone
P1 13:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Philipp Grubauer
P1 13:06
Shorthanded - Frederick Gaudreau won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 13:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:42
Shorthanded - Frederick Gaudreau won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 11:31
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
P1 11:13
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Berkly Catton in defensive zone
P1 11:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Matty Beniers
P1 10:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P1 09:49
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 09:43
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Adam Larsson
P1 07:52
Giveaway by Berkly Catton in defensive zone
P1 06:45
Giveaway by Jared McCann in offensive zone
P1 06:21
Brayden Point won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
P1 06:21
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 05:45
GOAL
Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Brayden Point and Jake Guentzel
1-0
P1 05:11
Brayden Point won faceoff against Frederick Gaudreau in offensive zone
P1 04:25
Giveaway by Matty Beniers in offensive zone
P1 04:00
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 03:02
SHOT
Ryker Evans shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 01:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Philipp Grubauer
P1 01:13
Giveaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
P1 00:25
Giveaway by Oliver Bjorkstrand in offensive zone
P1 00:00
Ben Meyers won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Kraken
25Shots on Goal18
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
11Penalty Infraction Mins11
21Hits23
7Shots Blocked20
16Giveaways21
LightningTB
KrakenSEA
25Shots on Goal18
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
11Penalty Infraction Mins11
21Hits23
7Shots Blocked20
16Giveaways21

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Lightning vs. Kraken: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Kraken
  • Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -172, Kraken +170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 60%
  • Kraken: 40%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 60%, while the Kraken have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Kraken in the NHL game at Climate Pledge Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Kraken predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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