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Oilers vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Senators NHL game on October 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Oilers
3
2
Oct 21, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Oct 21, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Oilers
11013
Senators
00202
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
OilersEDM
Win %
100%
0%
SenatorsOTT
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Oilers
11013
Senators
00202
OT1 02:24 Power play - Goal scored by Jake Walman
OT1 02:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 02:11 Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 01:27 Power play - Connor McDavid shot blocked by Nick Jensen
OT1 00:23 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 19:58 Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 17:51 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:40 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 14:08 Connor McDavid shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 11:40 Shot missed by Artem Zub
P3 11:35 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 10:39 Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:39 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:38 Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:27 Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 09:05 Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
P3 08:59 Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 08:07 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 07:56 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 07:50 Shot on goal by Oilers saved by Linus Ullmark
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 02:24
Oilers won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
OT1 02:24
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Jake Walman
3-2
OT1 02:20
Power play - Matt Savoie won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
OT1 02:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 02:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 01:27
SHOT
Power play - Connor McDavid shot blocked by Nick Jensen
OT1 00:25
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
OT1 00:25
Penalty to Tim Stutzle 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Evan Bouchard)
OT1 00:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 00:00
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 19:46
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
P3 19:46
Stoppage - Home Timeout
P3 19:46
Stoppage - Icing
P3 19:27
Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P3 18:16
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Darnell Nurse in offensive zone
P3 17:53
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Noah Philp in defensive zone
P3 17:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:28
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
P3 17:28
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:42
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P3 16:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 16:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:02
Giveaway by Lars Eller in offensive zone
P3 15:55
Giveaway by Darnell Nurse in defensive zone
P3 14:08
SHOT
Connor McDavid shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 13:36
Giveaway by Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P3 13:31
Giveaway by Isaac Howard in offensive zone
P3 13:19
Giveaway by Isaac Howard in neutral zone
P3 13:04
Giveaway by Fabian Zetterlund in offensive zone
P3 12:20
Noah Philp won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
P3 11:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
P3 11:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 10:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:39
SHOT
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:27
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 10:11
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Mattias Ekholm in neutral zone
P3 10:05
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins credited with hit on Nick Jensen in defensive zone
P3 10:01
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
P3 10:01
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 09:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
P3 09:02
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P3 09:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 08:09
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Trent Frederic in defensive zone
P3 08:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 07:56
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 07:50
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P3 07:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oilers saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 07:50
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 06:48
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
P3 06:48
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 06:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Olle Lycksell
P3 06:16
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 05:45
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Jack Roslovic
P3 05:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 05:20
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 04:05
Giveaway by Darnell Nurse in defensive zone
P3 03:10
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P3 03:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 02:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 02:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Jensen
P3 01:49
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
P3 01:48
GOAL
Goal scored by Thomas Chabot assisted by David Perron
2-2
P3 00:43
SHOT
Michael Amadio shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 00:13
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P3 00:12
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Cozens
2-1
P3 00:00
Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 19:52
SHOT
Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P2 19:45
SHOT
Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P2 19:40
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P2 19:40
Penalty to Darnell Nurse 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tim Stutzle)
P2 19:16
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P2 19:06
Noah Philp won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P2 19:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 18:43
Giveaway by Nick Cousins in offensive zone
P2 18:36
Giveaway by Jake Walman in defensive zone
P2 17:54
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 17:34
SHOT
Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
P2 16:50
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P2 16:50
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 16:48
SHOT
Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Artem Zub
P2 16:27
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P2 16:27
Penalty to Drake Batherson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 16:21
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Noah Philp in offensive zone
P2 16:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 16:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 15:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Lars Eller
P2 15:30
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P2 15:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 15:19
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P2 14:45
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
P2 14:45
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 14:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 14:00
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P2 14:00
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 13:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P2 13:03
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P2 12:21
Noah Philp won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
P2 12:21
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 11:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Isaac Howard
P2 11:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 10:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
P2 10:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P2 10:07
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
P2 10:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 10:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 10:03
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
P2 10:03
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P2 08:52
Giveaway by Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P2 08:46
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
P2 08:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:43
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
P2 08:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 08:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Lars Eller
P2 08:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Olle Lycksell
P2 07:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 06:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 06:11
Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm in defensive zone
P2 06:07
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
P2 06:07
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
P2 06:07
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 06:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 05:50
Giveaway by David Tomasek in defensive zone
P2 05:13
Ridly Greig won faceoff against David Tomasek in neutral zone
P2 05:13
Stoppage - Offside
P2 04:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
P2 04:50
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Jake Walman
P2 04:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 04:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikolas Matinpalo
P2 03:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olle Lycksell saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 03:04
Lars Eller won faceoff against Noah Philp in neutral zone
P2 03:04
Stoppage - Offside
P2 02:38
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by David Perron
P2 00:49
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P2 00:48
GOAL
Goal scored by Isaac Howard
1-0
P2 00:36
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 00:00
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:46
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P1 19:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 18:41
Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
P1 18:41
Penalty to Isaac Howard 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Lars Eller)
P1 18:08
Giveaway by Trent Frederic in offensive zone
P1 17:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 17:06
Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Drake Batherson in neutral zone
P1 16:31
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
P1 16:31
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Connor McDavid assisted by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Leon Draisaitl
1-0
P1 16:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P1 15:51
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 15:34
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Noah Philp in neutral zone
P1 15:34
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 14:54
Michael Amadio credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in defensive zone
P1 14:04
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Adam Henrique
P1 13:05
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
P1 12:35
SHOT
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P1 12:28
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
P1 12:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 12:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 12:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 11:02
Takeaway by Mattias Ekholm in neutral zone
P1 10:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 09:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P1 09:29
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 08:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P1 08:17
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
P1 07:44
SHOT
Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Matt Savoie
P1 07:41
Power play - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P1 07:41
Penalty to Darnell Nurse 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Tim Stutzle)
P1 07:41
Penalty to Darnell Nurse 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 07:39
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Jake Walman
P1 07:26
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 07:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 07:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 05:35
SHOT
Nikolas Matinpalo shot blocked by David Tomasek
P1 05:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
P1 05:30
Giveaway by Stuart Skinner in defensive zone
P1 04:19
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P1 04:19
Stoppage - Offside
P1 03:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 03:20
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Artem Zub
P1 02:58
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P1 02:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 02:08
Lars Eller won faceoff against Noah Philp in neutral zone
P1 02:08
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 01:49
Noah Philp won faceoff against Nick Cousins in neutral zone
P1 01:49
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 00:00
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
 STATS
Senators
25Shots on Goal21
41%Faceoff Win %59%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits20
17Shots Blocked9
18Giveaways13
OilersEDM
SenatorsOTT
25Shots on Goal21
41%Faceoff Win %59%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits20
17Shots Blocked9
18Giveaways13

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Oilers vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Senators
  • Date: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers -129, Senators +115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 54%
  • Senators: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 54%, while the Senators have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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