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Ducks vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Ducks vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on March 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Ducks
4
6
Mar 12, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Mar 12, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Ducks
2 1 1 4
Maple Leafs
1 2 3 6
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
DucksANA
Win %
0%
100%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Ducks
2 1 1 4
Maple Leafs
1 2 3 6
P3 19:55 Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:45 Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:12 Goal scored by Matthew Knies (Empty Net)
P3 18:00 Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 17:55 Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:41 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 14:51 Power play - Chris Kreider shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 13:06 Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
P3 12:26 Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Joseph Woll
P3 11:03 Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 10:36 Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 08:40 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 08:35 Shorthanded - Goal scored by Bo Groulx assisted by Brandon Carlo
P3 08:01 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Mason McTavish
P3 07:19 Shot missed by Bo Groulx
P3 06:02 Shot on goal by Tim Washe saved by Joseph Woll
P3 05:21 Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 04:44 Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
P3 01:59 Power play - Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P3 00:46 Power play - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Lukas Dostal
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:34
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
P3 18:42
Jansen Harkins credited with hit on Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
P3 18:20
Tim Washe won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
P3 18:12
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies (Empty Net)
3-6
P3 18:05
John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
P3 18:05
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 17:58
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 17:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 15:48
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
P3 15:35
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 14:51
SHOT
Power play - Chris Kreider shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 13:36
Power play - Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
P3 13:36
Penalty to Jackson LaCombe 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Easton Cowan)
P3 13:32
Jackson LaCombe credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
P3 13:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
P3 12:28
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 12:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Joseph Woll
P3 11:19
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in neutral zone
P3 11:19
Penalty to Morgan Rielly 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 11:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 10:40
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 10:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 09:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:40
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 08:35
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Bo Groulx assisted by Brandon Carlo
3-5
P3 08:10
Shorthanded - Bo Groulx won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in neutral zone
P3 08:10
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 08:01
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Mason McTavish
P3 07:54
Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
P3 07:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Groulx
P3 06:43
Chris Kreider credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P3 06:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 06:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Washe saved by Joseph Woll
P3 05:22
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Tim Washe in defensive zone
P3 05:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 04:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
P3 03:35
William Nylander credited with hit on Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
P3 03:02
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
P3 03:02
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:31
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Tim Washe in neutral zone
P3 01:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P3 01:32
Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 01:32
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 01:14
Stoppage - Video Review
P3 01:14
Penalty to Chris Kreider 5 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Calle Jarnkrok)
P3 01:14
Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 00:57
Stoppage - Offside
P3 00:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 00:36
Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 00:33
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Knies shot blocked by teammate
P3 00:00
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Lukas Dostal
P2 19:49
SHOT
Power play - Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Mikael Granlund
P2 18:48
Power play - Giveaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
P2 16:49
SHOT
Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by Drew Helleson
P2 16:26
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in neutral zone
P2 15:47
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
P2 15:47
Stoppage - Video Review
P2 15:47
Penalty to Radko Gudas 5 minutes for Kneeing (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
P2 13:48
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 13:48
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Joseph Woll
P2 11:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Joseph Woll
P2 10:55
Cutter Gauthier credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
P2 10:47
Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P2 10:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Lukas Dostal
P2 10:01
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
P2 10:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Lukas Dostal
P2 09:46
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
P2 08:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Killorn
P2 08:46
Power play - Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
P2 08:28
SHOT
Shorthanded - Jacob Quillan shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov
P2 08:09
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Bo Groulx
P2 06:57
Power play - Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 06:35
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov
P2 06:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Lukas Dostal
P2 05:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Lukas Dostal
P2 05:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
P2 04:37
SHOT
Radko Gudas shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 04:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
P2 02:55
Nicholas Robertson won faceoff against Tim Washe in neutral zone
P2 02:28
SHOT
Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 02:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
P2 01:55
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:25
Philippe Myers credited with hit on Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
P2 00:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Lukas Dostal
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 19:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
P1 18:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P1 18:31
Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 18:31
Penalty to Chris Kreider 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Simon Benoit)
P1 17:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 17:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Easton Cowan
P1 17:13
Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P1 17:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:33
Shorthanded - Jacob Quillan credited with hit on Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
P1 15:55
Shorthanded - Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mason McTavish in defensive zone
P1 15:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
P1 14:45
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
P1 14:45
Penalty to Easton Cowan 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 14:45
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 14:45
Penalty to Jacob Trouba 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 14:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Lukas Dostal
P1 14:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Ian Moore
P1 13:47
SHOT
Olen Zellweger shot blocked by teammate
P1 13:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
P1 12:58
SHOT
Alex Killorn shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P1 12:39
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
P1 12:19
GOAL
Goal scored by Cutter Gauthier
1-1
P1 12:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
P1 12:04
SHOT
Power play - Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by teammate
P1 11:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
P1 11:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
P1 10:25
Shorthanded - Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in offensive zone
P1 10:25
Stoppage - Icing
P1 10:11
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mikael Granlund)
P1 10:11
Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P1 10:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
P1 09:39
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Joseph Woll
P1 08:10
SHOT
Leo Carlsson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P1 07:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drew Helleson saved by Joseph Woll
P1 07:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Ducks
P1 07:19
GOAL
Goal scored by Matias Maccelli
0-1
P1 06:50
SHOT
Jansen Harkins shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
P1 06:40
SHOT
Jacob Trouba shot blocked by Bo Groulx
P1 06:39
Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P1 06:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Joseph Woll
P1 05:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Joseph Woll
P1 05:02
SHOT
Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 04:52
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:41
SHOT
Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 03:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Poehling saved by Joseph Woll
P1 03:15
SHOT
Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P1 02:43
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 02:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Lukas Dostal
P1 02:37
Stoppage - Icing
P1 02:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P1 01:27
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
P1 01:21
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 00:21
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
P1 00:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Joseph Woll
P1 00:01
Penalty to Michael Pezzetta 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Jeffrey Viel)
P1 00:00
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
Stats
Ducks
STATS
Maple Leafs
40Shots on Goal28
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/3
41Penalty Infraction Mins46
15Hits34
9Shots Blocked13
9Giveaways21
DucksANA
Maple LeafsTOR
40Shots on Goal28
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/3
41Penalty Infraction Mins46
15Hits34
9Shots Blocked13
9Giveaways21

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Ducks vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Ducks vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Ducks favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Ducks -105, Maple Leafs -108

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Ducks: 48%
  • Maple Leafs: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Ducks a win probability of 48%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Ducks in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Ducks vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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