Loading...

Red Wings vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Wings vs. Lightning NHL game on March 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
 Start your FREE 3-Day trial of Dimers Pro
See Full Schedule
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Red Wings
1
4
Mar 12, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Mar 12, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Red Wings
0 0 1 1
Lightning
0 1 3 4
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Red WingsDET
Win %
0%
100%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Red Wings
0 0 1 1
Lightning
0 1 3 4
P3 19:05 Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P3 18:34 Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:20 Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P3 13:58 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by John Gibson
P3 13:55 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by John Gibson
P3 13:40 Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:20 Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Corey Perry
P3 10:36 Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 09:55 Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:09 Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 08:25 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 07:18 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by John Gibson
P3 06:48 Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
P3 05:53 Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Dominik Shine
P3 05:09 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 03:36 Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by John Gibson
P3 03:14 Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:54 Shot on goal by Dominik Shine saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:16 Shot on goal by Sheldon Dries saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:22 Brayden Point shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P3 19:00
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 18:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:55
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sheldon Dries in neutral zone
P3 16:22
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 16:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P3 15:45
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P3 15:11
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
P3 15:11
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by John Gibson
P3 13:56
Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P3 13:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by John Gibson
P3 13:40
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:34
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
P3 13:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:20
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Corey Perry
P3 10:36
SHOT
Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 09:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:51
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 09:44
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P3 09:44
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 09:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 08:25
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 07:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by John Gibson
P3 07:05
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P3 06:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
P3 05:53
SHOT
Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Dominik Shine
P3 05:09
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 03:40
Brayden Point won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P3 03:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by John Gibson
P3 03:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominik Shine saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sheldon Dries saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:40
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 01:35
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
P3 01:22
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
P3 00:21
Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by John Gibson
P2 18:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by John Gibson
P2 18:33
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
P2 18:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by John Gibson
P2 17:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by John Gibson
P2 17:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P2 16:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 15:48
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P2 15:36
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in neutral zone
P2 15:15
Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 15:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by John Gibson
P2 15:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P2 14:01
Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
P2 13:18
Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
P2 13:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:08
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
P2 13:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sheldon Dries saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:43
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 12:31
Giveaway by Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 12:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 11:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P2 11:05
Justin Faulk credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 10:48
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 10:40
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 10:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Moritz Seider
P2 10:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 09:46
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 09:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by John Gibson
P2 08:39
Giveaway by James van Riemsdyk in offensive zone
P2 08:34
Takeaway by Justin Faulk in defensive zone
P2 07:58
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sheldon Dries in offensive zone
P2 07:58
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 07:11
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by J.T. Compher
P2 06:43
SHOT
Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P2 05:40
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P2 05:40
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Moritz Seider
P2 05:14
SHOT
Patrick Kane shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P2 04:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 04:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 03:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P2 03:01
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 03:01
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:16
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Emmitt Finnie
P2 01:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 01:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by John Gibson
P2 00:49
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 00:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:53
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
P1 19:47
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
P1 19:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Marco Kasper
P1 18:57
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 18:40
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
P1 17:56
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
P1 16:54
SHOT
Power play - Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 16:14
Power play - J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 16:14
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Justin Faulk)
P1 16:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by John Gibson
P1 16:02
Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P1 15:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by John Gibson
P1 14:45
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Lucas Raymond
P1 14:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by John Gibson
P1 13:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:15
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
P1 13:15
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 12:36
Takeaway by Sheldon Dries in defensive zone
P1 12:10
SHOT
Dominik Shine shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P1 11:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P1 11:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Corey Perry
P1 10:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 10:07
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 10:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 10:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 09:20
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 09:20
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P1 08:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P1 08:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by John Gibson
P1 08:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by John Gibson
P1 07:40
Sheldon Dries won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 07:40
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:29
Giveaway by Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
P1 05:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P1 05:13
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
P1 04:53
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
P1 04:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 02:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Sabourin saved by John Gibson
P1 02:15
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by James van Riemsdyk
P1 01:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
P1 00:46
Justin Faulk credited with hit on Victor Hedman in neutral zone
P1 00:28
Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P1 00:09
Marco Kasper credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Red Wings
STATS
Lightning
25Shots on Goal28
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/1
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
21Hits22
20Shots Blocked14
10Giveaways16
Red WingsDET
LightningTB
25Shots on Goal28
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/1
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
21Hits22
20Shots Blocked14
10Giveaways16

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?
Loading...

Red Wings vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Wings vs. Lightning
  • Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Wings +185, Lightning -213

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Wings: 37%
  • Lightning: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Wings a win probability of 37%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Wings vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

Related Articles

More Articles
Loading...
...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
...
Read Article
US Legal Betting
Sportsbook Promo Codes
Upcoming Games
Loading...