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Sabres vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Penguins NHL game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
1
Mar 6, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
Mar 6, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Penguins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Penguins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
P3 18:44 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:31 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 17:41 Shot on goal by Michael Kesselring saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 16:36 Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Samuel Girard
P3 16:15 Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
P3 16:06 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 14:45 Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 13:33 Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 12:42 Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
P3 11:52 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 11:41 Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 10:59 Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 09:08 Shot missed by Owen Power
P3 08:42 Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 08:25 Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 07:29 Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P3 06:01 Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 04:28 Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
P3 04:07 Shot on goal by Michael Kesselring saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 03:24 Shot missed by Josh Doan
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Josh Norris won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Kesselring saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Jack Quinn in neutral zone
Sabres won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Owen Power
Sabres won faceoff against Penguins in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
Yegor Chinakhov credited with hit on Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
Sabres won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Power
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Arturs Silovs
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Connor Dewar
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
Josh Norris won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Kesselring saved by Arturs Silovs
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Josh Dunne credited with hit on Kris Letang in defensive zone
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by teammate
Sabres won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Offside
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Ben Kindel credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by Bowen Byram
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Arturs Silovs
Sabres won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Sabres
Josh Dunne won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Arturs Silovs
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Avery Hayes shot blocked by Jason Zucker
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Zach Benson
Shorthanded - Beck Malenstyn won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Owen Power
3-1
Alex Tuch won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Alex Tuch in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
Penguins challenge (Interference on goalie), call reversed
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Josh Norris assisted by Josh Doan and Bowen Byram
2-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Arturs Silovs
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Penalty to Evgeni Malkin 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Rasmus Dahlin)
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Zach Metsa shot blocked by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bowen Byram
Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shorthanded - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Noel Acciari 2 minutes for Holding
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
Shorthanded - Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Kris Letang in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Beck Malenstyn won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
Sabres won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Alex Tuch shot blocked by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Arturs Silovs
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Erik Karlsson 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Norris
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
Power play - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Zach Benson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Samuel Girard in defensive zone
Josh Dunne won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Owen Power credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
Alex Tuch credited with hit on Noel Acciari in defensive zone
Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Connor Clifton in offensive zone
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 60% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 6/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/0 | |||
| 12 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 25 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 60% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 6/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/0 | |||
| 12 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 25 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 17 |
Game Prediction Article
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Sabres vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Sabres vs. Penguins
- Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Sabres -113, Penguins -105
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Sabres: 49%
- Penguins: 51%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 49%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Sabres vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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