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Senators vs. Flames Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Flames NHL game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
1
Mar 6, 2AM Scotiabank Saddledome
Mar 6, 2AM Scotiabank Saddledome
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Flames | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Flames | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
P3 19:46 Goal scored by Shane Pinto assisted by Michael Amadio and Artem Zub
P3 19:35 Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 18:49 Matt Coronato shot blocked by Shane Pinto
P3 18:21 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Devin Cooley
P3 17:59 Shorthanded - Goal scored by Tim Stutzle
P3 16:45 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Devin Cooley
P3 15:13 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:04 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Devin Cooley
P3 14:48 Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 13:07 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
P3 11:02 Joel Hanley shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 10:08 Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Devin Cooley
P3 09:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Devin Cooley
P3 09:07 Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P3 08:42 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Devin Cooley
P3 07:43 Nick Cousins shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
P3 06:54 Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Devin Cooley
P3 06:44 Shot on goal by Senators saved by Devin Cooley
P3 06:43 Michael Amadio shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:43 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Devin Cooley
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
GOAL
Goal scored by Shane Pinto assisted by Michael Amadio and Artem Zub
4-1
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Matt Coronato shot blocked by Shane Pinto
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Devin Cooley
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Tim Stutzle
3-1
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Devin Cooley
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Connor Zary)
Stoppage - Icing
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Linus Ullmark
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Joel Hanley shot blocked by Ridly Greig
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Flames in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Nick Cousins shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Michael Amadio shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Devin Cooley
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Martin Pospisil in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Morgan Frost shot blocked by Nick Jensen
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Matvei Gridin
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Joel Hanley in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Claude Giroux shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Devin Cooley
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
SHOT
Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Brady Tkachuk
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
Power play - Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Klapka
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zayne Parekh saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Brady Tkachuk
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Linus Ullmark
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Pachal saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Lars Eller assisted by Ridly Greig
1-1
Adam Klapka won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Adam Klapka
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Spence
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Linus Ullmark
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Michael Amadio in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Devin Cooley
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Spence
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
Senators won faceoff against Kevin Bahl in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by Joel Hanley
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Matvei Gridin
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Linus Ullmark
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Martin Pospisil assisted by Matvei Gridin
0-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Devin Cooley
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
SHOT
Power play - Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Linus Ullmark
Penalty to Claude Giroux 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Zayne Parekh)
Senators won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Devin Cooley
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Devin Cooley
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by Linus Ullmark
Lars Eller won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Joel Farabee
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Martin Pospisil
Lars Eller credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Linus Ullmark
Stoppage - Icing
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
SHOT
Brayden Pachal shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 37 | Shots on Goal | 20 | |||
| 56% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 17 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 37 | Shots on Goal | 20 | |||
| 56% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 17 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 18 |
Game Prediction Article
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Senators vs. Flames: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Senators vs. Flames
- Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Senators -175, Flames +158
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Senators: 59%
- Flames: 41%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 59%, while the Flames have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Senators vs. Flames predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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