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Capitals vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Canadiens NHL game on February 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Capitals
2
6
Mar 1, 12AM Bell Centre
Canadiens
Mar 1, 12AM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 0 1 2
Canadiens
2 2 2 6
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
CapitalsWSH
Win %
0%
100%
CanadiensMTL
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 0 1 2
Canadiens
2 2 2 6
P3 19:40 Capitals shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 18:36 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:34 Shorthanded - Goal scored by Jake Evans (Empty Net)
P3 18:28 Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:05 Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 14:33 Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 14:23 Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 14:05 Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 13:31 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 12:12 Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin assisted by Dylan Strome and Anthony Beauvillier
P3 11:15 Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 10:32 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 09:50 Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:43 Power play - Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P3 06:07 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 05:28 Kirby Dach shot blocked by teammate
P3 04:48 Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:20 Alex Newhook shot blocked by Matt Roy
P3 03:08 Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by Matt Roy
P3 02:45 Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:42
Jake Evans won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
P3 19:42
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 19:40
SHOT
Capitals shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 18:36
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:35
Shorthanded - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P3 18:34
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Jake Evans (Empty Net)
2-6
P3 18:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:05
SHOT
Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 17:37
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P3 16:47
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in neutral zone
P3 16:44
Capitals won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P3 16:34
Capitals won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P3 16:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 15:51
Giveaway by Matt Roy in defensive zone
P3 14:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 14:23
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 14:07
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
P3 14:05
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 13:33
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P3 13:33
Penalty to Connor McMichael 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Ivan Demidov)
P3 13:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 12:12
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P3 12:12
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin assisted by Dylan Strome and Anthony Beauvillier
2-4
P3 11:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 10:43
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P3 10:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 09:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:46
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P3 09:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P3 07:51
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 06:08
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 06:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 06:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 06:00
Penalty to Kirby Dach 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 06:00
Capitals won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P3 05:28
SHOT
Kirby Dach shot blocked by teammate
P3 04:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:20
SHOT
Alex Newhook shot blocked by Matt Roy
P3 03:34
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P3 03:15
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P3 03:08
SHOT
Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by Matt Roy
P3 02:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P3 01:32
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in neutral zone
P3 00:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 00:30
Jake Evans won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P3 00:00
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 19:38
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P2 19:26
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 19:26
Stoppage - Icing
P2 18:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P2 17:32
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 17:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 17:17
Penalty to Brendan Gallagher 2 minutes for Slashing
P2 17:17
Capitals won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P2 16:55
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P2 16:43
SHOT
Phillip Danault shot blocked by teammate
P2 16:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 15:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 15:51
Capitals won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P2 15:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P2 14:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P2 14:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 14:38
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P2 14:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P2 13:29
Giveaway by Brendan Gallagher in offensive zone
P2 12:52
Josh Anderson won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
P2 12:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 12:44
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P2 12:22
GOAL
Goal scored by Mike Matheson assisted by Zachary Bolduc and Alex Newhook
1-3
P2 12:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 11:43
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by Matt Roy
P2 10:27
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P2 10:09
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 10:09
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 09:26
SHOT
Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P2 09:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 08:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 07:34
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
P2 06:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P2 06:07
Giveaway by Ethen Frank in neutral zone
P2 06:01
Capitals won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P2 06:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 05:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P2 05:34
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
P2 05:30
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P2 05:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 03:56
SHOT
Alex Newhook shot blocked by Nic Dowd
P2 03:42
Stoppage - Icing
P2 03:05
Giveaway by Ethen Frank in offensive zone
P2 02:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
P2 02:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 01:59
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
P2 01:30
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P2 01:05
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P2 01:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 00:41
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P2 00:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 00:21
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
P2 00:00
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P1 18:29
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Dylan Strome
P1 17:50
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P1 16:44
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P1 16:39
Jake Evans won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P1 16:39
Stoppage - Icing
P1 16:10
Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in offensive zone
P1 15:54
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P1 15:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 14:19
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
P1 14:19
GOAL
Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Nick Suzuki and Jayden Struble
1-2
P1 14:18
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by teammate
P1 14:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P1 13:57
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by teammate
P1 13:16
Jake Evans won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P1 13:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Chisholm saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 12:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:48
Giveaway by Declan Chisholm in defensive zone
P1 12:11
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Cole Caufield
P1 12:08
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 10:46
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 10:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 10:21
SHOT
Power play - Ethen Frank shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P1 09:13
Shorthanded - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P1 09:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P1 08:24
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P1 08:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
P1 07:41
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 07:03
SHOT
Power play - Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P1 06:06
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P1 06:01
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 05:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 05:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
P1 05:09
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 04:54
Stoppage - Icing
P1 04:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P1 04:39
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 03:53
Giveaway by Declan Chisholm in offensive zone
P1 02:21
Justin Sourdif credited with hit on Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
P1 02:16
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P1 02:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
P1 01:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 00:50
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
P1 00:30
GOAL
Goal scored by Cole Caufield
0-1
P1 00:00
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Canadiens
29Shots on Goal25
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins10
20Hits13
13Shots Blocked12
15Giveaways16
CapitalsWSH
CanadiensMTL
29Shots on Goal25
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins10
20Hits13
13Shots Blocked12
15Giveaways16

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Capitals vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals +140, Canadiens -160

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 43%
  • Canadiens: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 43%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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