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Islanders vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Canadiens NHL game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
3
Feb 27, 12AM Bell Centre
Feb 27, 12AM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Islanders | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Islanders | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
OT1 01:35 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 19:18 Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 19:17 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 18:18 Goal scored by Anders Lee assisted by Bo Horvat and Simon Holmstrom
P3 17:58 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 17:29 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
P3 15:35 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:31 Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 12:47 Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:33 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 11:28 Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 08:53 Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:30 Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P3 04:05 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Cole Caufield
P3 04:05 Shot missed by Canadiens
P3 02:57 Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 02:31 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 02:21 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P3 02:03 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 01:56 Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Adam Pelech
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
End of 3rd Period.
Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Anders Lee assisted by Bo Horvat and Simon Holmstrom
3-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
Jake Evans won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ilya Sorokin
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Penalty to Kyle MacLean 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Kaiden Guhle)
Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
Jake Evans won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Adam Pelech
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Penalty to Mike Matheson 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Islanders won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
SHOT
Islanders shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
SHOT
Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Noah Dobson
0-2
Power play - Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
SHOT
Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Alex Newhook
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Samuel Montembeault
Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
Giveaway by Josh Anderson in defensive zone
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Josh Anderson
Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Adam Pelech credited with hit on Alex Newhook in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Bo Horvat
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Marc Gatcomb
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Evans
Stoppage - Offside
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Giveaway by Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ilya Sorokin
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jake Evans won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Kirby Dach shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
Stoppage - Chlg Hm - off-side
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Marc Gatcomb shot blocked by teammate
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 24 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 26 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 20 | Shots Blocked | 20 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 24 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 26 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 20 | Shots Blocked | 20 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Islanders vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Islanders vs. Canadiens
- Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bell Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Islanders +130, Canadiens -145
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Islanders: 43%
- Canadiens: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 43%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Islanders vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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