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Islanders vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Canadiens NHL game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Islanders
4
3
Feb 27, 12AM Bell Centre
Canadiens
Feb 27, 12AM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Islanders
0 2 1 1 4
Canadiens
1 1 1 0 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
IslandersNYI
Win %
100%
0%
CanadiensMTL
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Islanders
0 2 1 1 4
Canadiens
1 1 1 0 3
OT1 01:35 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 19:18 Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 19:17 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 18:18 Goal scored by Anders Lee assisted by Bo Horvat and Simon Holmstrom
P3 17:58 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 17:29 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
P3 15:35 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:31 Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 12:47 Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:33 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 11:28 Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 08:53 Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:30 Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P3 04:05 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Cole Caufield
P3 04:05 Shot missed by Canadiens
P3 02:57 Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 02:31 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 02:21 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P3 02:03 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 01:56 Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Adam Pelech
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 01:46
Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
OT1 01:35
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
OT1 00:25
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:36
Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P3 19:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 19:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 18:59
Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P3 18:19
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in neutral zone
P3 18:18
GOAL
Goal scored by Anders Lee assisted by Bo Horvat and Simon Holmstrom
3-3
P3 17:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 17:29
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
P3 16:02
Jake Evans won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P3 15:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:33
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
P3 15:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 14:57
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P3 14:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 14:10
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
P3 12:56
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
P3 12:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:23
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P3 12:23
Stoppage - Icing
P3 11:45
Giveaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P3 11:33
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 11:30
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
P3 11:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 10:40
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
P3 09:40
Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P3 09:38
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P3 09:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:11
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
P3 08:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P3 08:19
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P3 08:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:44
Penalty to Kyle MacLean 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Kaiden Guhle)
P3 07:44
Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P3 06:02
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 06:02
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:38
Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
P3 04:05
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Cole Caufield
P3 04:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
P3 02:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 02:40
Jake Evans won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P3 02:40
Stoppage - Offside
P3 02:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 02:21
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P3 02:03
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 01:56
SHOT
Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 00:20
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 00:18
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P2 18:51
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 17:56
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in neutral zone
P2 17:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P2 17:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P2 16:38
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P2 16:38
Penalty to Mike Matheson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 16:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P2 15:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P2 14:39
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P2 14:21
Islanders won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 14:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 13:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 13:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
P2 13:07
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P2 12:32
SHOT
Islanders shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
P2 11:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
P2 10:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P2 10:46
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P2 10:37
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
P2 10:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 10:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P2 10:05
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Noah Dobson
0-2
P2 09:28
Power play - Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
P2 08:45
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 08:45
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 08:19
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 08:15
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
P2 07:27
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 07:27
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 07:17
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
P2 06:54
SHOT
Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Alex Newhook
P2 06:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P2 05:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Samuel Montembeault
P2 05:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Samuel Montembeault
P2 04:25
Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P2 03:56
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 03:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P2 02:57
Giveaway by Josh Anderson in defensive zone
P2 02:53
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
P2 02:36
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
P2 01:42
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
P2 01:42
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 01:36
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
P2 00:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
P2 00:54
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
P2 00:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:00
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 18:46
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
P1 18:11
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
P1 17:55
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P1 17:51
Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P1 16:58
Adam Pelech credited with hit on Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P1 16:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P1 16:12
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P1 15:31
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 15:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 15:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Marc Gatcomb
P1 14:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P1 14:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P1 14:23
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 14:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P1 14:03
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 14:01
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
P1 13:53
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 13:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:14
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 13:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Evans
P1 12:32
Stoppage - Offside
P1 12:11
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P1 11:50
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
P1 11:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
P1 11:14
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 10:52
Giveaway by Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
P1 10:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
P1 09:35
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
P1 09:21
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P1 08:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 08:00
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
P1 07:56
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
P1 07:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 07:49
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 07:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P1 06:47
Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 05:38
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
P1 05:38
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 05:18
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 05:14
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:09
Jake Evans won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P1 05:01
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P1 05:01
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
P1 03:58
SHOT
Kirby Dach shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P1 03:22
Stoppage - Chlg Hm - off-side
P1 03:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Samuel Montembeault
P1 03:13
SHOT
Marc Gatcomb shot blocked by teammate
P1 03:12
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P1 02:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 02:24
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P1 01:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 00:47
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P1 00:18
Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Canadiens
26Shots on Goal24
49% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits22
20Shots Blocked20
15Giveaways11
IslandersNYI
CanadiensMTL
26Shots on Goal24
49% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits22
20Shots Blocked20
15Giveaways11

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Islanders vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +130, Canadiens -145

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 43%
  • Canadiens: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 43%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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