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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Panthers NHL game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Maple Leafs
1
5
Feb 27, 12AM Amerant Bank Arena
Panthers
Feb 27, 12AM Amerant Bank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
Panthers
3 0 2 5
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
0%
100%
PanthersFLA
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
Panthers
3 0 2 5
P3 18:34 Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:20 Shot missed by Mackie Samoskevich
P3 16:49 Goal scored by Brad Marchand (Empty Net)
P3 16:30 Shot missed by Brad Marchand
P3 15:45 Shot missed by Anton Lundell
P3 14:53 Troy Stecher shot blocked by Jeff Petry
P3 13:06 Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 13:05 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sandis Vilmanis
P3 12:13 Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 11:28 Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
P3 09:44 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 09:20 Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 07:25 Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
P3 07:09 Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
P3 06:07 Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 05:52 John Tavares shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
P3 05:44 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 04:31 Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 03:56 Shot missed by Jeff Petry
P3 03:55 Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:08
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
P3 17:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Mackie Samoskevich
P3 16:49
GOAL
Goal scored by Brad Marchand (Empty Net)
1-4
P3 16:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
P3 16:05
Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P3 15:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 15:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Anton Lundell
P3 14:53
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Jeff Petry
P3 13:36
John Tavares won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
P3 13:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 13:05
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sandis Vilmanis
P3 12:39
John Tavares won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
P3 12:39
Stoppage - Icing
P3 12:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 11:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
P3 10:01
Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P3 10:01
Penalty to Matias Maccelli 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Aaron Ekblad)
P3 09:56
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P3 09:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 09:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 09:02
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P3 07:28
Sam Reinhart credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P3 07:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
P3 07:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
P3 07:02
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 06:40
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Panthers in neutral zone
P3 06:40
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 06:21
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Panthers in neutral zone
P3 06:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 05:52
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
P3 05:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 05:20
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Panthers in neutral zone
P3 04:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 03:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Petry
P3 03:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
P3 03:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 02:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
P3 01:18
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Panthers in neutral zone
P3 00:47
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Panthers in neutral zone
P3 00:46
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 18:49
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
P2 18:49
Penalty to Aaron Ekblad 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 18:26
Sam Reinhart won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 18:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 18:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 16:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Joseph Woll
P2 16:36
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P2 16:36
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 16:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 16:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Joseph Woll
P2 15:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
P2 13:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
P2 13:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
P2 12:08
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Joseph Woll
P2 11:59
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P2 11:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 11:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 11:09
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
P2 11:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 10:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
P2 09:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P2 09:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
P2 09:13
SHOT
Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P2 09:06
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 09:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 09:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Joseph Woll
P2 07:29
Power play - Cole Schwindt won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 06:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sam Bennett
P2 05:54
Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 05:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:30
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
P2 04:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
P2 04:19
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
P2 04:15
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
P2 04:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
P2 02:41
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
P2 01:32
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P2 01:32
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 01:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P2 00:00
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:17
SHOT
Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 19:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Mackie Samoskevich
P1 18:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 18:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 17:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 17:25
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
P1 17:25
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 16:40
Shorthanded - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P1 15:43
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 15:43
Penalty to Aaron Ekblad 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 15:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P1 14:31
SHOT
Sam Bennett shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P1 14:29
SHOT
Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 12:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Joseph Woll
P1 12:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
P1 11:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Joseph Woll
P1 11:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
P1 10:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 10:51
SHOT
A.J. Greer shot blocked by William Nylander
P1 10:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Joseph Woll
P1 09:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Donovan Sebrango
P1 08:48
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P1 08:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
P1 08:14
John Tavares won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
P1 08:14
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 05:48
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 05:13
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Carter Verhaeghe assisted by Evan Rodrigues and Anton Lundell
0-2
P1 04:44
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P1 03:27
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P1 03:27
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 03:15
SHOT
Anton Lundell shot blocked by teammate
P1 03:15
Giveaway by Matthew Knies in defensive zone
P1 03:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
P1 02:41
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 02:41
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 01:57
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Donovan Sebrango in defensive zone
P1 01:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Petry
P1 01:35
Matthew Tkachuk credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
P1 01:25
Mackie Samoskevich credited with hit on Troy Stecher in defensive zone
P1 00:59
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
P1 00:55
Giveaway by Matthew Knies in defensive zone
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Panthers
29Shots on Goal37
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins8
21Hits19
12Shots Blocked10
15Giveaways14
Maple LeafsTOR
PanthersFLA
29Shots on Goal37
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins8
21Hits19
12Shots Blocked10
15Giveaways14

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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
  • Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Amerant Bank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Panthers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +136, Panthers -155

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 43%
  • Panthers: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 43%, while the Panthers have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Panthers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Amerant Bank Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Panthers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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