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Lightning vs. Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Hurricanes NHL game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Lightning
4
5
Feb 27, 12AM Lenovo Center
Hurricanes
Feb 27, 12AM Lenovo Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
2 2 0 4
Hurricanes
3 1 1 5
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
0%
100%
HurricanesCAR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
2 2 0 4
Hurricanes
3 1 1 5
P3 19:45 Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 19:33 Sean Walker shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:17 Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:15 Jordan Martinook shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 19:13 Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 18:39 Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 18:36 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
P3 18:30 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 16:03 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 13:51 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
P3 12:45 Shot on goal by Jordan Staal saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:34 Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:15 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Mark Jankowski
P3 11:55 Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:28 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 10:38 Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 10:00 Eric Robinson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 08:59 Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 07:17 Power play - Goal scored by Sebastian Aho assisted by Seth Jarvis
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:45
SHOT
Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 19:33
SHOT
Sean Walker shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:17
SHOT
Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:15
SHOT
Jordan Martinook shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 19:13
SHOT
Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 18:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 18:36
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
P3 18:30
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:07
Dominic James won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
P3 18:07
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
P3 18:00
Lightning won faceoff against Hurricanes in neutral zone
P3 18:00
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 17:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 17:03
Brayden Point won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in offensive zone
P3 16:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 15:42
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
P3 14:01
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:51
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
P3 12:47
Dominic James won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
P3 12:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 12:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Staal saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:19
Lightning won faceoff against Hurricanes in neutral zone
P3 12:15
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Mark Jankowski
P3 11:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:49
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P3 11:49
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 11:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 10:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 10:00
SHOT
Eric Robinson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 08:59
SHOT
Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 07:17
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in neutral zone
P3 07:17
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Sebastian Aho assisted by Seth Jarvis
4-5
P3 07:07
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
P3 06:43
Power play - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P3 06:43
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by K'Andre Miller)
P3 06:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
P3 05:36
SHOT
Eric Robinson shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 04:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Carrier saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 04:42
SHOT
Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 04:35
SHOT
Seth Jarvis shot blocked by Brayden Point
P3 03:15
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Jaccob Slavin
P3 02:51
Nikita Kucherov won faceoff against Hurricanes in offensive zone
P3 02:34
Shorthanded - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 01:38
Giveaway by Jordan Staal in neutral zone
P3 01:19
SHOT
K'Andre Miller shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 01:09
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:35
Brayden Point won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
P2 19:35
Stoppage - Icing
P2 19:04
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P2 19:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Brandon Bussi
P2 18:37
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
P2 18:37
Stoppage - Offside
P2 18:31
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
P2 18:15
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in defensive zone
P2 17:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Taylor Hall
P2 16:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alexander Nikishin saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 16:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sebastian Aho saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 16:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 15:33
Power play - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P2 15:16
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
P2 15:15
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
P2 15:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:02
Stoppage - Icing
P2 14:50
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
P2 14:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Nikishin
P2 14:38
Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P2 14:36
SHOT
K'Andre Miller shot blocked by teammate
P2 13:56
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
P2 13:25
Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 13:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 13:21
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
P2 11:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P2 11:02
Dominic James won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
P2 10:56
Lightning won faceoff against Hurricanes in neutral zone
P2 10:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Carrier saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 09:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Nikishin
P2 09:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Martinook
P2 08:56
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Jordan Staal
P2 07:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 07:20
GOAL
Goal scored by Seth Jarvis assisted by Andrei Svechnikov
3-4
P2 06:56
SHOT
Shot missed by William Carrier
P2 03:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Brandon Bussi
P2 03:55
SHOT
Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P2 03:11
SHOT
Mark Jankowski shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 02:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Nikishin
P2 01:58
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in neutral zone
P2 00:59
SHOT
Seth Jarvis shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P2 00:58
SHOT
Sean Walker shot blocked by teammate
P2 00:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Brandon Bussi
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Brandon Bussi
P1 18:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P1 18:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Brandon Bussi
P1 18:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Brandon Bussi
P1 18:18
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
P1 18:04
Dominic James won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
P1 17:58
Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P1 17:15
Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 17:15
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:05
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
P1 16:50
Stoppage - Icing
P1 16:30
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 15:33
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Alexander Nikishin in defensive zone
P1 15:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Shayne Gostisbehere
P1 15:21
Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 15:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shayne Gostisbehere saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 15:14
Taylor Hall won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 15:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:00
Dominic James won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in offensive zone
P1 15:00
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 14:32
Stoppage - Offside
P1 14:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikolaj Ehlers
P1 14:07
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
P1 13:14
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 12:54
SHOT
Shot missed by William Carrier
P1 11:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 11:52
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 11:27
Jordan Staal won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 11:27
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 11:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Brandon Bussi
P1 10:35
Stoppage - Offside
P1 10:13
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
P1 09:11
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Jalen Chatfield
P1 08:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jaccob Slavin saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 08:54
Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 08:54
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P1 08:49
SHOT
Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 08:45
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Brandon Bussi
P1 07:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
P1 07:17
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
P1 07:03
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
P1 05:45
SHOT
Mark Jankowski shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P1 05:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Nikishin saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 05:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 05:28
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
P1 05:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Brandon Bussi
P1 05:19
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
P1 04:17
Dominic James won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
P1 04:17
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 04:13
Dominic James won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
P1 03:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 03:32
Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 02:56
Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 02:56
GOAL
Goal scored by Logan Stankoven assisted by Taylor Hall and Jalen Chatfield
0-2
P1 01:43
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikolaj Ehlers assisted by K'Andre Miller and Jordan Martinook
0-2
P1 00:54
Takeaway by Sebastian Aho in defensive zone
P1 00:12
Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
P1 00:00
Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Hurricanes
28Shots on Goal33
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
15Hits23
20Shots Blocked16
20Giveaways20
LightningTB
HurricanesCAR
28Shots on Goal33
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
15Hits23
20Shots Blocked16
20Giveaways20

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Lightning vs. Hurricanes: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Hurricanes
  • Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Lenovo Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Hurricanes favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning +128, Hurricanes -140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 47%
  • Hurricanes: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 47%, while the Hurricanes have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hurricanes are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Lenovo Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Hurricanes predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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