Lightning vs. Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Hurricanes NHL game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Lightning
4
5
Lenovo Center
Hurricanes
Lenovo Center
TEAM123T
Lightning
2 2 0 4
Hurricanes
3 1 1 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    0%
  • Hurricanes
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
2 2 0 4
Hurricanes
3 1 1 5
P3 19:45 Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 19:33 Sean Walker shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:17 Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:15 Jordan Martinook shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 19:13 Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 18:39 Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 18:36 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
P3 18:30 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 16:03 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 13:51 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
P3 12:45 Shot on goal by Jordan Staal saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:34 Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:15 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Mark Jankowski
P3 11:55 Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:28 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 10:38 Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 10:00 Eric Robinson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 08:59 Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 07:17 Power play - Goal scored by Sebastian Aho assisted by Seth Jarvis
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:45
    SHOT
    Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Victor Hedman
  4. P3 19:33
    SHOT
    Sean Walker shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  5. P3 19:17
    SHOT
    Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  6. P3 19:15
    SHOT
    Jordan Martinook shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  7. P3 19:13
    SHOT
    Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  8. P3 18:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Brandon Bussi
  9. P3 18:36
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
  10. P3 18:30
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
  11. P3 18:07
    Dominic James won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
  12. P3 18:07
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  13. P3 18:00
    Lightning won faceoff against Hurricanes in neutral zone
  14. P3 18:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  15. P3 17:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 17:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Brandon Bussi
  17. P3 17:03
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in offensive zone
  18. P3 16:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  19. P3 15:42
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  20. P3 14:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  21. P3 13:51
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
  22. P3 12:47
    Dominic James won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
  23. P3 12:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  24. P3 12:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Staal saved by Jonas Johansson
  25. P3 12:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Jonas Johansson
  26. P3 12:19
    Lightning won faceoff against Hurricanes in neutral zone
  27. P3 12:15
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Mark Jankowski
  28. P3 11:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Jonas Johansson
  29. P3 11:49
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  30. P3 11:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  31. P3 11:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Brandon Bussi
  32. P3 10:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Jonas Johansson
  33. P3 10:00
    SHOT
    Eric Robinson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  34. P3 08:59
    SHOT
    Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Victor Hedman
  35. P3 07:17
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in neutral zone
  36. P3 07:17
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Sebastian Aho assisted by Seth Jarvis
    4-5
  37. P3 07:07
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
  38. P3 06:43
    Power play - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  39. P3 06:43
    Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by K'Andre Miller)
  40. P3 06:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  41. P3 05:36
    SHOT
    Eric Robinson shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  42. P3 04:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Carrier saved by Jonas Johansson
  43. P3 04:42
    SHOT
    Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  44. P3 04:35
    SHOT
    Seth Jarvis shot blocked by Brayden Point
  45. P3 03:15
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Jaccob Slavin
  46. P3 02:51
    Nikita Kucherov won faceoff against Hurricanes in offensive zone
  47. P3 02:34
    Shorthanded - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  48. P3 01:38
    Giveaway by Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  49. P3 01:19
    SHOT
    K'Andre Miller shot blocked by teammate
  50. P3 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Jonas Johansson
  51. P3 01:09
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  52. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  53. P2 19:35
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
  54. P2 19:35
    Stoppage - Icing
  55. P2 19:04
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  56. P2 19:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  57. P2 19:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Brandon Bussi
  58. P2 18:37
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
  59. P2 18:37
    Stoppage - Offside
  60. P2 18:31
    Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
  61. P2 18:15
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in defensive zone
  62. P2 17:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Taylor Hall
  63. P2 16:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alexander Nikishin saved by Jonas Johansson
  64. P2 16:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sebastian Aho saved by Jonas Johansson
  65. P2 16:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Jonas Johansson
  66. P2 15:33
    Power play - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  67. P2 15:16
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
  68. P2 15:15
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
  69. P2 15:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  70. P2 15:02
    Stoppage - Icing
  71. P2 14:50
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
  72. P2 14:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Nikishin
  73. P2 14:38
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  74. P2 14:36
    SHOT
    K'Andre Miller shot blocked by teammate
  75. P2 13:56
    Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
  76. P2 13:25
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  77. P2 13:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  78. P2 13:21
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
  79. P2 11:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  80. P2 11:02
    Dominic James won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
  81. P2 10:56
    Lightning won faceoff against Hurricanes in neutral zone
  82. P2 10:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Carrier saved by Jonas Johansson
  83. P2 09:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Nikishin
  84. P2 09:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Martinook
  85. P2 08:56
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Jordan Staal
  86. P2 07:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  87. P2 07:20
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Seth Jarvis assisted by Andrei Svechnikov
    3-4
  88. P2 06:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Carrier
  89. P2 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Brandon Bussi
  90. P2 03:55
    SHOT
    Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
  91. P2 03:11
    SHOT
    Mark Jankowski shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  92. P2 02:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Nikishin
  93. P2 01:58
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in neutral zone
  94. P2 00:59
    SHOT
    Seth Jarvis shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
  95. P2 00:58
    SHOT
    Sean Walker shot blocked by teammate
  96. P2 00:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Brandon Bussi
  97. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  98. P1 19:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Brandon Bussi
  99. P1 18:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
  100. P1 18:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Brandon Bussi
  101. P1 18:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Brandon Bussi
  102. P1 18:18
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
  103. P1 18:04
    Dominic James won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
  104. P1 17:58
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
  105. P1 17:15
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  106. P1 17:15
    Stoppage - Icing
  107. P1 17:05
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  108. P1 16:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  109. P1 16:30
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  110. P1 15:33
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Alexander Nikishin in defensive zone
  111. P1 15:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shayne Gostisbehere
  112. P1 15:21
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  113. P1 15:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  114. P1 15:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shayne Gostisbehere saved by Jonas Johansson
  115. P1 15:14
    Taylor Hall won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  116. P1 15:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  117. P1 15:00
    Dominic James won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in offensive zone
  118. P1 15:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  119. P1 14:32
    Stoppage - Offside
  120. P1 14:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikolaj Ehlers
  121. P1 14:07
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  122. P1 13:14
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  123. P1 12:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Carrier
  124. P1 11:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  125. P1 11:52
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  126. P1 11:27
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  127. P1 11:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  128. P1 11:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Brandon Bussi
  129. P1 10:35
    Stoppage - Offside
  130. P1 10:13
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
  131. P1 09:11
    SHOT
    Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Jalen Chatfield
  132. P1 08:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jaccob Slavin saved by Jonas Johansson
  133. P1 08:54
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  134. P1 08:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  135. P1 08:49
    SHOT
    Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  136. P1 08:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  137. P1 08:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Brandon Bussi
  138. P1 07:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  139. P1 07:17
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
  140. P1 07:03
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
  141. P1 05:45
    SHOT
    Mark Jankowski shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  142. P1 05:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Nikishin saved by Jonas Johansson
  143. P1 05:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Jonas Johansson
  144. P1 05:28
    SHOT
    Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
  145. P1 05:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Brandon Bussi
  146. P1 05:19
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
  147. P1 04:17
    Dominic James won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
  148. P1 04:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  149. P1 04:13
    Dominic James won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
  150. P1 03:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Jonas Johansson
  151. P1 03:32
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  152. P1 02:56
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  153. P1 02:56
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Logan Stankoven assisted by Taylor Hall and Jalen Chatfield
    0-2
  154. P1 01:43
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikolaj Ehlers assisted by K'Andre Miller and Jordan Martinook
    0-2
  155. P1 00:54
    Takeaway by Sebastian Aho in defensive zone
  156. P1 00:12
    Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
  157. P1 00:00
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Hurricanes
28Shots on Goal33
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
15Hits23
20 Shots Blocked 16
20Giveaways20
LightningTB
HurricanesCAR
28Shots on Goal33
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
15Hits23
20 Shots Blocked 16
20Giveaways20

Lightning vs. Hurricanes: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Hurricanes
  • Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Lenovo Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Hurricanes favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning +128, Hurricanes -140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 47%
  • Hurricanes: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 47%, while the Hurricanes have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hurricanes are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Lenovo Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Hurricanes predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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