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Islanders vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Senators NHL game on October 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Islanders
5
4
Oct 18, 7PM Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Oct 18, 7PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Islanders
0325
Senators
1304
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
IslandersNYI
Win %
100%
0%
SenatorsOTT
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
0325
Senators
1304
P3 19:42 Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
P3 19:17 Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:57 Goal scored by Anders Lee assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Scott Mayfield
P3 17:40 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 17:38 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 17:15 Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:11 Drake Batherson shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 15:58 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 15:45 Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 14:28 Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:58 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:31 Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:15 Shot on goal by Senators saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:08 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 10:09 Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 10:00 Nick Jensen shot blocked by Kyle Palmieri
P3 09:33 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 09:08 Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P3 09:03 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 08:38 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:54
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
P3 19:54
Stoppage - Offside
P3 19:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
P3 19:17
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:57
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P3 18:57
GOAL
Goal scored by Anders Lee assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Scott Mayfield
5-4
P3 18:11
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P3 18:11
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 17:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 17:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 17:15
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:50
Giveaway by Michael Amadio in neutral zone
P3 16:41
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P3 16:41
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P3 16:11
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 15:58
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 15:45
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 15:10
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P3 15:10
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 13:03
Giveaway by Nick Jensen in defensive zone
P3 12:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:33
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P3 12:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 12:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:27
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P3 12:27
Stoppage
P3 12:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:02
Giveaway by Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P3 10:59
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P3 10:09
SHOT
Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 10:00
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Kyle Palmieri
P3 09:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 09:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P3 09:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 08:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Cousins
P3 08:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Islanders
P3 08:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 07:48
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
P3 07:13
Lars Eller won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
P3 07:13
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 07:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 06:06
Tyler Kleven credited with hit on Max Shabanov in defensive zone
P3 06:00
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
P3 06:00
GOAL
Goal scored by Kyle Palmieri assisted by Mathew Barzal and Adam Pelech
4-4
P3 05:32
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P3 05:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 05:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P3 05:12
Takeaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
P3 04:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 04:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P3 03:01
Power play - Takeaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
P3 02:23
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
P3 01:59
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 01:59
Penalty to Fabian Zetterlund 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tony DeAngelo)
P3 00:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P3 00:09
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Ryan Pulock in offensive zone
P3 00:00
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P2 19:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 18:47
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P2 18:46
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Cozens assisted by Tim Stutzle
3-4
P2 18:40
Takeaway by Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
P2 18:07
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by teammate
P2 17:45
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P2 17:45
GOAL
Goal scored by Max Shabanov
3-3
P2 16:46
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 16:08
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Dylan Cozens
P2 15:03
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by teammate
P2 14:52
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P2 14:52
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 14:50
SHOT
Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P2 14:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 14:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 14:27
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
P2 14:25
Power play - Lars Eller won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P2 14:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 14:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 14:12
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
P2 14:10
Power play - Giveaway by Claude Giroux in offensive zone
P2 14:07
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Scott Mayfield in defensive zone
P2 14:02
SHOT
Power play - Shane Pinto shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P2 13:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 13:53
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 13:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 13:42
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 12:52
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P2 12:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P2 12:41
Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 12:41
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:11
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P2 11:55
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
P2 11:41
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P2 11:37
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P2 11:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 11:23
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P2 11:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 11:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 11:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P2 10:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 09:57
Lars Eller won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 09:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Bo Horvat assisted by Ryan Pulock and Anders Lee
2-2
P2 09:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P2 09:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 08:16
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P2 08:16
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 08:16
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 08:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P2 07:43
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P2 07:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 07:11
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P2 07:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 06:50
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
P2 06:50
GOAL
Goal scored by Emil Heineman assisted by Scott Mayfield
1-2
P2 06:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 06:19
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P2 06:05
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P2 06:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 05:32
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P2 05:30
GOAL
Goal scored by Shane Pinto
0-2
P2 05:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P2 04:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P2 04:20
SHOT
Arthur Kaliyev shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P2 03:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 03:04
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
P2 03:04
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 02:44
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
P2 02:01
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
P2 01:35
Giveaway by Anthony Duclair in defensive zone
P2 01:04
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
P2 01:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 00:44
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 00:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 00:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 00:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Shabanov
P2 00:23
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
P2 00:00
Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:55
SHOT
Power play - Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P1 19:46
SHOT
Shorthanded - Senators shot blocked by teammate
P1 19:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P1 18:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
P1 18:29
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 18:29
Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Hooking
P1 18:22
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 18:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 17:58
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 17:23
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
P1 17:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 17:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 17:01
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
P1 16:59
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by David Perron assisted by Thomas Chabot
0-1
P1 16:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P1 15:26
Power play - Giveaway by Drake Batherson in offensive zone
P1 15:04
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 15:04
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 15:04
Penalty to Emil Heineman 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Claude Giroux)
P1 14:43
SHOT
Shane Pinto shot blocked by Adam Boqvist
P1 14:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 13:45
SHOT
Nick Cousins shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P1 13:11
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P1 12:43
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 12:43
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:28
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P1 12:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 11:54
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P1 11:54
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
P1 10:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
P1 10:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 10:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P1 09:45
Giveaway by Nick Cousins in defensive zone
P1 09:38
Lars Eller won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P1 09:38
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 09:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 09:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P1 08:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 07:44
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 07:44
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P1 06:07
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P1 06:07
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 05:47
Giveaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 05:42
Giveaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
P1 05:31
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
P1 05:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 05:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 05:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arthur Kaliyev saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 03:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P1 03:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 03:08
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 03:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 02:48
SHOT
Adam Boqvist shot blocked by Nick Cousins
P1 02:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Boqvist
P1 02:19
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P1 02:19
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 01:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 01:50
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P1 01:50
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 01:33
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Anders Lee in defensive zone
P1 01:33
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 01:30
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Drake Batherson
P1 01:26
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P1 01:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P1 00:26
SHOT
Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P1 00:15
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 00:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 00:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
P1 00:05
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P1 00:05
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:00
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
 STATS
Senators
23Shots on Goal33
48%Faceoff Win %52%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
28Hits29
19Shots Blocked9
13Giveaways22
IslandersNYI
SenatorsOTT
23Shots on Goal33
48%Faceoff Win %52%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
28Hits29
19Shots Blocked9
13Giveaways22

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Islanders vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Senators
  • Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +120, Senators -140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 45%
  • Senators: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 45%, while the Senators have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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