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Sabres vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Lightning NHL game on February 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
4
Feb 4, 12:30AM Benchmark International Arena
Feb 4, 12:30AM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
OT1 04:32 Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 03:59 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 03:31 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 02:33 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
OT1 00:45 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:33 Goal scored by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:00 Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 18:36 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
P3 17:33 Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P3 16:04 Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P3 15:18 Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:52 Power play - Goal scored by Josh Doan
P3 14:15 Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:01 Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 13:31 Power play - Jack Quinn shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 11:33 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 08:53 Power play - Goal scored by Oliver Bjorkstrand assisted by Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov
P3 08:52 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 08:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
P3 07:48 Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Colten Ellis
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Takeaway by Dominic James in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
GOAL
Goal scored by Darren Raddysh
3-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
Giveaway by Owen Power in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Josh Doan
3-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
SHOT
Power play - Jack Quinn shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Shorthanded - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Oliver Bjorkstrand assisted by Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov
2-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Colten Ellis
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Penalty to Bowen Byram 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jack Finley won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mattias Samuelsson assisted by Ryan McLeod and Jack Quinn
2-1
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Bryson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sabres won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Jason Zucker
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Noah Ostlund
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Sabres won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Colten Ellis
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Colten Ellis
Sabres won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Jack Finley won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Konsta Helenius shot blocked by Scott Sabourin
SHOT
Shot missed by Sabres
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Dominic James won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
Takeaway by Rasmus Dahlin in defensive zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
Giveaway by Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Colten Ellis
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Dominic James won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Colten Ellis
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Josh Doan shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jason Zucker won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jack Quinn)
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Giveaway by Beck Malenstyn in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Josh Doan)
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Jake Guentzel
0-1
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Owen Power
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Colten Ellis
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Colten Ellis
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tage Thompson
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 35 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 13 | Hits | 26 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 22 | Giveaways | 15 |
| |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 35 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 13 | Hits | 26 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 22 | Giveaways | 15 |
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Sabres vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Sabres vs. Lightning
- Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Sabres +170, Lightning -200
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Sabres: 38%
- Lightning: 62%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 38%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 62%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Sabres vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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