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Penguins vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Islanders NHL game on February 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Penguins
4
5
Feb 4, 12:30AM UBS Arena
Islanders
Feb 4, 12:30AM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Penguins
1 2 1 0 4
Islanders
2 0 2 1 5
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
0%
100%
IslandersNYI
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Penguins
1 2 1 0 4
Islanders
2 0 2 1 5
OT1 00:51 Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 18:39 Bryan Rust shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:21 Brett Kulak shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 17:30 Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 15:45 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 15:05 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 14:54 Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 14:04 Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 11:12 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P3 10:50 Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
P3 10:40 Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Brett Kulak
P3 08:35 Goal scored by Mathew Barzal assisted by Adam Pelech
P3 07:20 Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Carson Soucy
P3 06:48 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 06:29 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
P3 05:37 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:21 Ryan Shea shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 03:41 Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:15 Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P2 19:04 Power play - Shot missed by Penguins
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 00:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
OT1 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:09
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Anders Lee in offensive zone
P3 18:41
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 18:39
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:23
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 18:23
Stoppage - Home Timeout
P3 18:21
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 17:30
SHOT
Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 15:53
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 15:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 15:43
Penguins won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 15:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 15:24
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P3 15:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 14:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 14:11
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P3 14:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 14:02
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P3 14:02
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P3 11:52
Penalty to Sidney Crosby 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mathew Barzal)
P3 11:52
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P3 11:12
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P3 10:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
P3 10:40
GOAL
Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Brett Kulak
4-3
P3 08:43
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P3 08:43
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 08:35
GOAL
Goal scored by Mathew Barzal assisted by Adam Pelech
3-3
P3 07:20
SHOT
Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Carson Soucy
P3 06:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 06:29
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
P3 06:01
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P3 05:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 05:05
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P3 05:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 04:21
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 03:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:50
Anders Lee credited with hit on Connor Clifton in offensive zone
P3 02:25
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
P3 02:25
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 02:17
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P3 02:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P3 01:44
Stoppage - Offside
P3 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Penguins
P2 18:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 18:07
Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P2 18:07
Penalty to Carson Soucy 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Yegor Chinakhov)
P2 17:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P2 17:10
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P2 17:10
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
P2 16:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Islanders
P2 14:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P2 14:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 14:09
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P2 13:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Solovyov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 12:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 09:07
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 09:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 08:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P2 08:24
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P2 08:24
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 07:23
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P2 07:23
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 07:16
Penguins won faceoff against Adam Pelech in neutral zone
P2 07:13
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P2 07:13
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:46
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P2 06:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 06:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P2 04:56
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 04:48
SHOT
Power play - Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P2 04:08
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 04:08
Penalty to Erik Karlsson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 04:08
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 03:52
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P2 03:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P2 03:44
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:33
Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 02:17
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P2 02:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 01:37
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P2 00:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 00:44
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P2 00:24
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
P2 00:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:56
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P1 19:56
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Schaefer assisted by Ondrej Palat and Bo Horvat
1-2
P1 18:51
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 18:51
Stoppage - Offside
P1 18:38
GOAL
Goal scored by Bo Horvat
1-1
P1 17:55
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 17:55
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P1 16:55
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P1 16:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 16:06
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P1 15:58
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
P1 15:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:40
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P1 15:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 14:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 14:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P1 14:02
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P1 13:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 12:56
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P1 12:55
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 12:52
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:31
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
P1 12:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 12:07
GOAL
Goal scored by Anthony Mantha
1-0
P1 11:32
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P1 11:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P1 10:24
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P1 10:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 09:17
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P1 08:54
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P1 08:34
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
P1 08:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Solovyov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 07:55
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P1 07:37
Ilya Solovyov credited with hit on Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 06:29
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P1 06:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 04:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 04:11
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
P1 03:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 02:40
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 02:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
P1 01:54
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 01:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P1 01:07
Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
P1 00:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P1 00:05
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 00:05
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Islanders
35Shots on Goal23
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
25Hits22
10Shots Blocked12
17Giveaways14
PenguinsPIT
IslandersNYI
35Shots on Goal23
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
25Hits22
10Shots Blocked12
17Giveaways14

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Penguins vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Islanders
  • Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins -118, Islanders +100

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 52%
  • Islanders: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 52%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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