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Maple Leafs vs. Flames Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Flames NHL game on February 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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3rd 15:05
NHL
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3rd 15:05
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NHL
Maple Leafs
3
:
2
Feb 3, 3AM Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Feb 3, 3AM Scotiabank Saddledome
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
1203
Flames
0202
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
79%
21%
FlamesCGY
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
1203
Flames
0202
P3 04:55 Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 03:55 William Nylander shot blocked by Joel Farabee
P3 03:17 Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 01:19 Shot missed by Jonathan Huberdeau
P3 01:06 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Joseph Woll
P3 00:51 Shot missed by Matvei Gridin
P2 19:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Joseph Woll
P2 18:53 Power play - Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P2 17:11 Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 15:45 Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by Joseph Woll
P2 15:35 Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 14:13 Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Joseph Woll
P2 13:58 Matt Coronato shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P2 13:15 Goal scored by Nazem Kadri assisted by Joel Farabee and Joel Hanley
P2 12:37 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P2 11:42 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P2 10:29 Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Matvei Gridin
P2 09:06 Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
P2 09:05 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 08:30 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 04:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 04:27
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P3 04:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:55
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Joel Farabee
P3 03:17
SHOT
Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 02:42
Adam Klapka won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P3 02:42
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 01:33
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P3 01:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonathan Huberdeau
P3 01:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Joseph Woll
P3 00:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Matvei Gridin
P3 00:34
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P3 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:35
Power play - Giveaway by MacKenzie Weegar in offensive zone
P2 19:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Joseph Woll
P2 18:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P2 17:46
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
P2 17:46
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Joel Hanley)
P2 17:13
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
P2 17:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 15:51
Kevin Bahl credited with hit on Max Domi in neutral zone
P2 15:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by Joseph Woll
P2 15:35
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 15:35
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 14:15
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P2 14:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Joseph Woll
P2 13:58
SHOT
Matt Coronato shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P2 13:48
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 13:33
John Tavares won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P2 13:33
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:15
GOAL
Goal scored by Nazem Kadri assisted by Joel Farabee and Joel Hanley
3-1
P2 12:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P2 11:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P2 10:29
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Matvei Gridin
P2 09:10
Connor Zary won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 09:06
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
P2 09:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 08:32
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P2 08:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 08:11
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
P2 08:11
Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 07:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Joseph Woll
P2 07:53
Max Domi won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P2 07:51
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Adam Klapka
P2 07:29
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Klapka in neutral zone
P2 07:17
Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
P2 07:07
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 06:48
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P2 06:37
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P2 06:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 03:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 02:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Joel Farabee
P2 02:23
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P2 02:20
SHOT
Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P2 02:06
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P2 02:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Joseph Woll
P2 01:20
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
P2 00:43
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:48
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 18:45
John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P1 18:45
Stoppage - Icing
P1 16:55
Martin Pospisil credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
P1 16:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P1 15:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Lomberg
P1 12:56
John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P1 12:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 12:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 10:43
Giveaway by Matias Maccelli in offensive zone
P1 10:05
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Connor Zary in defensive zone
P1 09:48
SHOT
Yan Kuznetsov shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P1 08:52
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P1 08:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 08:14
Giveaway by Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P1 08:00
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P1 07:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Joseph Woll
P1 06:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P1 06:15
Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P1 05:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Joseph Woll
P1 05:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Joseph Woll
P1 04:08
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Morgan Frost
P1 03:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P1 03:30
SHOT
Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by teammate
P1 03:12
SHOT
Morgan Frost shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 03:00
SHOT
Shot missed by MacKenzie Weegar
P1 02:17
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Klapka in neutral zone
P1 02:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Zary
P1 01:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P1 01:34
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
P1 01:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P1 00:35
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by John Tavares
1-0
P1 00:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Joseph Woll
Stats
Maple Leafs
 STATS
Flames
16Shots on Goal19
61%Faceoff Win %39%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
10Hits18
17Shots Blocked17
11Giveaways13
Maple LeafsTOR
FlamesCGY
16Shots on Goal19
61%Faceoff Win %39%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
10Hits18
17Shots Blocked17
11Giveaways13

Game Prediction Article

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Maple Leafs vs. Flames: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Flames
  • Date: Monday, February 2, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -120, Flames +105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 50%
  • Flames: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 50%, while the Flames have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Flames predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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