Maple Leafs vs. Jets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Jets NHL game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Maple Leafs
4
3
Canada Life Centre
Jets
Canada Life Centre
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
0 1 2 1 4
Jets
0 2 1 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    100%
  • Jets
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
0 1 2 1 4
Jets
0 2 1 0 3
OT1 03:08 Goal scored by Max Domi
OT1 01:50 Shot missed by Adam Lowry
OT1 01:07 Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
OT1 01:07 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Connor Hellebuyck
OT1 00:47 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Mark Scheifele
P3 18:57 Logan Stanley shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 18:10 Power play - Shot on goal by Gabriel Vilardi saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 18:09 Power play - Shot missed by Jonathan Toews
P3 17:27 Power play - Shot on goal by Jonathan Toews saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 16:08 Shot on goal by Dylan DeMelo saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 15:26 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 13:46 Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 13:38 Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
P3 12:52 Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 11:56 Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P3 11:27 Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 08:21 Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 08:01 Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
P3 07:20 Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
P3 05:58 Goal scored by Oliver Ekman-Larsson assisted by Nicholas Robertson and Easton Cowan
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  3. OT1 03:08
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Jets in neutral zone
  4. OT1 03:08
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Max Domi
    4-3
  5. OT1 01:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Lowry
  6. OT1 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  7. OT1 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  8. OT1 00:47
    SHOT
    Auston Matthews shot blocked by Mark Scheifele
  9. OT1 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
  10. P3 19:46
    John Tavares won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
  11. P3 19:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  12. P3 18:57
    SHOT
    Logan Stanley shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  13. P3 18:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Gabriel Vilardi saved by Dennis Hildeby
  14. P3 18:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jonathan Toews
  15. P3 17:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jonathan Toews saved by Dennis Hildeby
  16. P3 16:47
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  17. P3 16:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan DeMelo saved by Dennis Hildeby
  18. P3 16:03
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  19. P3 16:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  20. P3 15:33
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Jets in neutral zone
  21. P3 15:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  22. P3 15:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  23. P3 15:16
    Giveaway by Tanner Pearson in defensive zone
  24. P3 13:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  25. P3 13:38
    SHOT
    Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
  26. P3 12:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  27. P3 12:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  28. P3 11:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  29. P3 11:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Troy Stecher
  30. P3 11:54
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
  31. P3 11:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  32. P3 11:27
    SHOT
    Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  33. P3 11:13
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  34. P3 11:13
    Stoppage - Offside
  35. P3 10:05
    John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
  36. P3 10:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  37. P3 08:33
    Giveaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
  38. P3 08:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
  39. P3 08:04
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  40. P3 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
  41. P3 07:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  42. P3 07:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
  43. P3 06:54
    John Tavares won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
  44. P3 06:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  45. P3 05:58
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
  46. P3 05:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Oliver Ekman-Larsson assisted by Nicholas Robertson and Easton Cowan
    2-3
  47. P3 05:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Koepke
  48. P3 05:42
    SHOT
    Logan Stanley shot blocked by teammate
  49. P3 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Dennis Hildeby
  50. P3 04:30
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  51. P3 04:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  52. P3 03:56
    John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
  53. P3 03:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  54. P3 03:34
    SHOT
    Cole Perfetti shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  55. P3 02:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tanner Pearson
  56. P3 02:28
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nino Niederreiter
    1-3
  57. P3 02:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nino Niederreiter saved by Dennis Hildeby
  58. P3 02:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  59. P3 01:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  60. P3 00:45
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  61. P3 00:36
    SHOT
    Gabriel Vilardi shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  62. P3 00:00
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  63. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  64. P2 19:48
    SHOT
    Logan Stanley shot blocked by teammate
  65. P2 19:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  66. P2 18:36
    SHOT
    Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
  67. P2 18:24
    SHOT
    Cole Perfetti shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  68. P2 17:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Morrissey
  69. P2 15:27
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
  70. P2 15:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  71. P2 14:52
    Penalty to Alex Iafallo 2 minutes for Misconduct
  72. P2 14:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  73. P2 14:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  74. P2 13:09
    Vladislav Namestnikov credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
  75. P2 13:00
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
  76. P2 13:00
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  77. P2 12:26
    Scott Laughton credited with hit on Elias Salomonsson in offensive zone
  78. P2 11:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Barron
  79. P2 11:30
    Max Domi won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
  80. P2 11:06
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Adam Lowry
  81. P2 09:55
    Shorthanded - Morgan Barron won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  82. P2 09:55
    Penalty to Jonathan Toews 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Morgan Rielly)
  83. P2 09:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Perfetti
  84. P2 09:22
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  85. P2 08:59
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Jets in neutral zone
  86. P2 08:59
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Kyle Connor
    0-2
  87. P2 08:32
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  88. P2 08:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Vladislav Namestnikov
  89. P2 07:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  90. P2 07:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Morrissey saved by Dennis Hildeby
  91. P2 07:12
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  92. P2 07:11
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  93. P2 06:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
  94. P2 06:53
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
  95. P2 06:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  96. P2 06:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  97. P2 05:17
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Cole Perfetti
  98. P2 04:51
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  99. P2 04:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  100. P2 03:34
    SHOT
    Adam Lowry shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  101. P2 03:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Lowry
  102. P2 03:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  103. P2 02:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tanner Pearson
  104. P2 02:23
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  105. P2 02:23
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Jets in neutral zone
  106. P2 02:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nino Niederreiter saved by Dennis Hildeby
  107. P2 02:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Cole Perfetti shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  108. P2 00:22
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
  109. P2 00:22
    Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Gabriel Vilardi)
  110. P2 00:00
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in neutral zone
  111. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  112. P1 19:45
    John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in offensive zone
  113. P1 19:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  114. P1 19:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  115. P1 19:23
    John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
  116. P1 18:05
    John Tavares won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
  117. P1 17:49
    SHOT
    Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by teammate
  118. P1 17:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle Connor
  119. P1 16:38
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Lowry in defensive zone
  120. P1 16:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Perfetti
  121. P1 15:48
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
  122. P1 15:37
    Gabriel Vilardi won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  123. P1 15:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  124. P1 15:00
    Giveaway by Vladislav Namestnikov in offensive zone
  125. P1 14:41
    SHOT
    Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  126. P1 13:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  127. P1 10:49
    SHOT
    Josh Morrissey shot blocked by teammate
  128. P1 09:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  129. P1 09:26
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Jets in defensive zone
  130. P1 09:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Dennis Hildeby
  131. P1 08:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  132. P1 08:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jets
  133. P1 08:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Logan Stanley
  134. P1 07:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mark Scheifele
  135. P1 06:32
    John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  136. P1 06:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
  137. P1 05:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  138. P1 05:21
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
  139. P1 04:04
    SHOT
    Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
  140. P1 02:34
    Logan Stanley credited with hit on Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  141. P1 02:08
    Morgan Barron won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  142. P1 00:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Samberg saved by Dennis Hildeby
  143. P1 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Jets
37Shots on Goal30
61% Faceoff Win % 39%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits17
11 Shots Blocked 11
23Giveaways13
Maple LeafsTOR
JetsWPG
37Shots on Goal30
61% Faceoff Win % 39%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits17
11 Shots Blocked 11
23Giveaways13

Maple Leafs vs. Jets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Jets
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canada Life Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Jets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +126, Jets -145

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 44%
  • Jets: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 44%, while the Jets have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Jets are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Canada Life Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Jets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.