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Maple Leafs vs. Jets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Jets NHL game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Maple Leafs
4
3
Jan 18, 12AM Canada Life Centre
Jets
Jan 18, 12AM Canada Life Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
0 1 2 1 4
Jets
0 2 1 0 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
100%
0%
JetsWPG
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
0 1 2 1 4
Jets
0 2 1 0 3
OT1 03:08 Goal scored by Max Domi
OT1 01:50 Shot missed by Adam Lowry
OT1 01:07 Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
OT1 01:07 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Connor Hellebuyck
OT1 00:47 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Mark Scheifele
P3 18:57 Logan Stanley shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 18:10 Power play - Shot on goal by Gabriel Vilardi saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 18:09 Power play - Shot missed by Jonathan Toews
P3 17:27 Power play - Shot on goal by Jonathan Toews saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 16:08 Shot on goal by Dylan DeMelo saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 15:26 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 13:46 Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 13:38 Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
P3 12:52 Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 11:56 Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P3 11:27 Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 08:21 Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 08:01 Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
P3 07:20 Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
P3 05:58 Goal scored by Oliver Ekman-Larsson assisted by Nicholas Robertson and Easton Cowan
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 03:08
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Jets in neutral zone
OT1 03:08
GOAL
Goal scored by Max Domi
4-3
OT1 01:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Lowry
OT1 01:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
OT1 01:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Connor Hellebuyck
OT1 00:47
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Mark Scheifele
OT1 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
P3 19:46
John Tavares won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
P3 19:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:57
SHOT
Logan Stanley shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 18:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Gabriel Vilardi saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 18:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jonathan Toews
P3 17:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jonathan Toews saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 16:47
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
P3 16:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan DeMelo saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 16:03
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 16:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 15:33
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Jets in neutral zone
P3 15:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 15:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 15:16
Giveaway by Tanner Pearson in defensive zone
P3 13:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 13:38
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
P3 12:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 12:29
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 11:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 11:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P3 11:54
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
P3 11:54
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 11:27
SHOT
Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 11:13
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 11:13
Stoppage - Offside
P3 10:05
John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
P3 10:05
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 08:33
Giveaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
P3 08:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 08:04
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
P3 08:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
P3 07:51
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
P3 06:54
John Tavares won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
P3 06:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 05:58
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
P3 05:58
GOAL
Goal scored by Oliver Ekman-Larsson assisted by Nicholas Robertson and Easton Cowan
2-3
P3 05:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Koepke
P3 05:42
SHOT
Logan Stanley shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 04:30
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P3 04:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:56
John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
P3 03:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 03:34
SHOT
Cole Perfetti shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 02:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Pearson
P3 02:28
GOAL
Goal scored by Nino Niederreiter
1-3
P3 02:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nino Niederreiter saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 02:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 01:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 00:45
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
P3 00:36
SHOT
Gabriel Vilardi shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 00:00
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:48
SHOT
Logan Stanley shot blocked by teammate
P2 19:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P2 18:36
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
P2 18:24
SHOT
Cole Perfetti shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P2 17:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Morrissey
P2 15:27
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
P2 15:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 14:52
Penalty to Alex Iafallo 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 14:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P2 14:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P2 13:09
Vladislav Namestnikov credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P2 13:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
P2 13:00
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P2 12:26
Scott Laughton credited with hit on Elias Salomonsson in offensive zone
P2 11:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Barron
P2 11:30
Max Domi won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
P2 11:06
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Adam Lowry
P2 09:55
Shorthanded - Morgan Barron won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 09:55
Penalty to Jonathan Toews 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Morgan Rielly)
P2 09:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Perfetti
P2 09:22
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 08:59
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Jets in neutral zone
P2 08:59
GOAL
Goal scored by Kyle Connor
0-2
P2 08:32
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P2 08:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Vladislav Namestnikov
P2 07:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 07:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Morrissey saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 07:12
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P2 07:11
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P2 06:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 06:53
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
P2 06:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 06:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P2 05:17
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Cole Perfetti
P2 04:51
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 04:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:34
SHOT
Adam Lowry shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 03:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Lowry
P2 03:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Pearson
P2 02:23
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 02:23
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Jets in neutral zone
P2 02:22
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nino Niederreiter saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 02:12
SHOT
Power play - Cole Perfetti shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 00:22
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
P2 00:22
Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Gabriel Vilardi)
P2 00:00
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:45
John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in offensive zone
P1 19:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P1 19:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 19:23
John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
P1 18:05
John Tavares won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
P1 17:49
SHOT
Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 17:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle Connor
P1 16:38
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Lowry in defensive zone
P1 16:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Perfetti
P1 15:48
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
P1 15:37
Gabriel Vilardi won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 15:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:00
Giveaway by Vladislav Namestnikov in offensive zone
P1 14:41
SHOT
Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P1 13:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 10:49
SHOT
Josh Morrissey shot blocked by teammate
P1 09:34
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 09:26
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Jets in defensive zone
P1 09:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 08:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P1 08:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Jets
P1 08:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Logan Stanley
P1 07:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Scheifele
P1 06:32
John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
P1 06:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P1 05:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P1 05:21
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
P1 04:04
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
P1 02:34
Logan Stanley credited with hit on Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
P1 02:08
Morgan Barron won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
P1 00:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Samberg saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 00:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Jets
37Shots on Goal30
61% Faceoff Win % 39%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits17
11Shots Blocked11
23Giveaways13
Maple LeafsTOR
JetsWPG
37Shots on Goal30
61% Faceoff Win % 39%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits17
11Shots Blocked11
23Giveaways13

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Maple Leafs vs. Jets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Jets
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canada Life Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Jets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +126, Jets -145

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 44%
  • Jets: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 44%, while the Jets have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Jets are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Canada Life Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Jets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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