Wild vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Wild vs. Sabres NHL game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Wild
5
4
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123OTT
Wild
2 2 0 1 5
Sabres
1 3 0 0 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Wild
    100%
  • Sabres
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Wild
2 2 0 1 5
Sabres
1 3 0 0 4
OT1 01:45 Power play - Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
OT1 00:37 Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Hartman
P3 15:56 Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P3 15:40 Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
P3 15:19 Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 14:30 Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 10:52 Daemon Hunt shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:53 Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 07:58 Tyson Kozak shot blocked by Brock Faber
P3 07:41 Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 07:04 Hunter Haight shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 04:50 Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
P3 04:07 Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
P3 03:28 Shot missed by Zach Metsa
P3 02:19 Shot on goal by Vincent Hinostroza saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 01:29 Jack Quinn shot blocked by Danila Yurov
P3 00:21 Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P2 17:02 Shot missed by Quinn Hughes
P2 15:24 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nico Sturm saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 14:40 Shot on goal by Jared Spurgeon saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  3. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  4. OT1 01:47
    Wild won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  5. OT1 01:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
  6. OT1 00:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Hartman
  7. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  8. P3 19:46
    Mats Zuccarello won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  9. P3 19:11
    Takeaway by Nico Sturm in defensive zone
  10. P3 18:54
    Jake Middleton credited with hit on Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  11. P3 18:33
    Takeaway by Brock Faber in offensive zone
  12. P3 17:49
    Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Kirill Kaprizov in offensive zone
  13. P3 16:54
    Danila Yurov won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  14. P3 16:46
    Danila Yurov won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  15. P3 16:31
    Danila Yurov won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  16. P3 16:31
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  17. P3 15:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  18. P3 15:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
  19. P3 15:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Filip Gustavsson
  20. P3 14:56
    Takeaway by Hunter Haight in offensive zone
  21. P3 14:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Filip Gustavsson
  22. P3 13:19
    Giveaway by Quinn Hughes in defensive zone
  23. P3 13:12
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
  24. P3 12:36
    Danila Yurov won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  25. P3 12:02
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  26. P3 12:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  27. P3 10:59
    Giveaway by Vincent Hinostroza in offensive zone
  28. P3 10:52
    SHOT
    Daemon Hunt shot blocked by teammate
  29. P3 09:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  30. P3 09:33
    Wild won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  31. P3 09:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  32. P3 09:11
    Wild won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  33. P3 07:58
    SHOT
    Tyson Kozak shot blocked by Brock Faber
  34. P3 07:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  35. P3 07:15
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Jason Zucker in offensive zone
  36. P3 07:04
    SHOT
    Hunter Haight shot blocked by Josh Doan
  37. P3 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
  38. P3 04:21
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  39. P3 04:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  40. P3 04:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
  41. P3 03:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Metsa
  42. P3 02:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vincent Hinostroza saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  43. P3 02:05
    Giveaway by Hunter Haight in defensive zone
  44. P3 01:52
    Hunter Haight won faceoff against Josh Doan in defensive zone
  45. P3 01:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  46. P3 01:29
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Danila Yurov
  47. P3 00:30
    Alex Tuch credited with hit on Kirill Kaprizov in neutral zone
  48. P3 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  49. P3 00:09
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  50. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  51. P2 19:55
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  52. P2 19:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  53. P2 19:46
    Wild won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
  54. P2 19:38
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  55. P2 18:53
    Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on Yakov Trenin in defensive zone
  56. P2 18:39
    Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on Jared Spurgeon in offensive zone
  57. P2 18:12
    Wild won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  58. P2 17:04
    Vincent Hinostroza won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  59. P2 17:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Quinn Hughes
  60. P2 16:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  61. P2 16:40
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
  62. P2 16:40
    Stoppage - Offside
  63. P2 15:24
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nico Sturm saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  64. P2 15:01
    Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
  65. P2 15:01
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  66. P2 14:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jared Spurgeon saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  67. P2 13:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Filip Gustavsson
  68. P2 13:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
  69. P2 12:19
    Shorthanded - Nico Sturm won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  70. P2 11:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyson Kozak saved by Filip Gustavsson
  71. P2 11:34
    Wild won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  72. P2 11:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Filip Gustavsson
  73. P2 11:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Filip Gustavsson
  74. P2 11:00
    Nico Sturm won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  75. P2 10:40
    SHOT
    Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Owen Power
  76. P2 10:07
    Hunter Haight won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  77. P2 10:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  78. P2 10:01
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  79. P2 10:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  80. P2 09:22
    Alex Tuch won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  81. P2 09:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  82. P2 09:08
    Giveaway by Michael Kesselring in neutral zone
  83. P2 08:09
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by David Jiricek
  84. P2 08:07
    Stoppage - Icing
  85. P2 07:16
    SHOT
    Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  86. P2 07:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Pitlick saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  87. P2 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Pitlick saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  88. P2 06:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Filip Gustavsson
  89. P2 06:27
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
  90. P2 06:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jared Spurgeon saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  91. P2 06:13
    Owen Power credited with hit on Marcus Foligno in defensive zone
  92. P2 06:06
    Power play - Hunter Haight won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  93. P2 05:38
    Shorthanded - Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Kirill Kaprizov in neutral zone
  94. P2 05:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  95. P2 04:33
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  96. P2 04:03
    Hunter Haight won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  97. P2 04:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  98. P2 03:22
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  99. P2 02:47
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  100. P2 02:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  101. P2 01:47
    Power play - Mats Zuccarello won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  102. P2 01:08
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
  103. P2 00:54
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
  104. P2 00:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  105. P2 00:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
  106. P2 00:06
    Giveaway by Kirill Kaprizov in neutral zone
  107. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  108. P1 19:52
    Wild won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  109. P1 19:05
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P1 18:48
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
  111. P1 18:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  112. P1 17:07
    Shorthanded - Nico Sturm won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  113. P1 16:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  114. P1 16:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Filip Gustavsson
  115. P1 16:26
    Nico Sturm won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
  116. P1 16:26
    Penalty to Danila Yurov 2 minutes for Hooking
  117. P1 15:25
    Shorthanded - Nico Sturm won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  118. P1 15:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  119. P1 15:09
    Nico Sturm won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  120. P1 15:09
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  121. P1 15:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  122. P1 14:54
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
  123. P1 14:02
    Vladimir Tarasenko credited with hit on Zach Metsa in neutral zone
  124. P1 13:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Metsa
  125. P1 13:38
    Danila Yurov won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  126. P1 13:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  127. P1 12:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Faber saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  128. P1 12:26
    SHOT
    Ryan Hartman shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  129. P1 12:11
    Mats Zuccarello won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  130. P1 12:11
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  131. P1 12:11
    Penalty to Michael Kesselring 2 minutes for Misconduct
  132. P1 11:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  133. P1 10:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Filip Gustavsson
  134. P1 10:05
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  135. P1 10:05
    Penalty to Marcus Foligno 2 minutes for Misconduct
  136. P1 10:03
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan McLeod assisted by Jack Quinn and Jason Zucker
    1-1
  137. P1 09:19
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Vincent Hinostroza in neutral zone
  138. P1 08:55
    SHOT
    Josh Doan shot blocked by Hunter Haight
  139. P1 08:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
  140. P1 07:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  141. P1 04:09
    Shorthanded - Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on Vincent Hinostroza in defensive zone
  142. P1 03:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  143. P1 03:10
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  144. P1 03:10
    Penalty to Tage Thompson 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Quinn Hughes)
  145. P1 02:15
    Giveaway by Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  146. P1 02:12
    Hunter Haight credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
  147. P1 01:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
  148. P1 01:17
    Jake Middleton credited with hit on Jason Zucker in offensive zone
  149. P1 00:49
    Takeaway by Alex Tuch in offensive zone
  150. P1 00:37
    SHOT
    Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  151. P1 00:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  152. P1 00:00
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stats
Wild
STATS
Sabres
35Shots on Goal24
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
15Penalty Infraction Mins15
31Hits21
9 Shots Blocked 16
11Giveaways10
WildMIN
SabresBUF
35Shots on Goal24
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
15Penalty Infraction Mins15
31Hits21
9 Shots Blocked 16
11Giveaways10

Wild vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Wild vs. Sabres
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Wild +105, Sabres -120

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Wild: 47%
  • Sabres: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wild a win probability of 47%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Wild in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Wild vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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