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Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Islanders NHL game on January 2, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Maple Leafs
2
1
Jan 3, 12:30AM UBS Arena
Islanders
Jan 3, 12:30AM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0112
Islanders
0101
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
100%
0%
IslandersNYI
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMaple LeafsIslandersP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMaple LeafsIslandersP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 5.5Under 5.5P1P2REG0255075100
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0112
Islanders
0101
P3 19:35 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:02 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:56 Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:55 Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:46 Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:26 Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:22 Brock Nelson shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 17:40 William Nylander shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P3 17:39 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 17:01 Power play - Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Max Domi
P3 16:59 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 16:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Max Pacioretty saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 15:38 Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:13 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Joseph Woll
P3 15:00 Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P3 14:56 Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:48 Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 14:47 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:14 Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:06 Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:37
John Tavares won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 19:37
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Video Review
P3 19:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 19:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:55
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:22
SHOT
Brock Nelson shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 18:18
Bo Horvat won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P3 18:18
Stoppage
P3 17:40
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P3 17:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 17:01
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P3 17:01
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Max Domi
2-1
P3 16:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 16:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Pacioretty saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 16:25
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P3 16:25
Stoppage - Offside
P3 15:38
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:19
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 15:19
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
P3 15:19
Penalty to Adam Pelech 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Philippe Myers)
P3 15:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Joseph Woll
P3 15:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P3 14:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 14:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:16
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P3 14:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 14:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 13:30
SHOT
Hudson Fasching shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 13:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 13:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 12:45
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 11:57
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 11:57
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 11:52
SHOT
Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P3 11:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 11:34
SHOT
Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 10:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Joseph Woll
P3 10:38
SHOT
Power play - Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 10:18
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P3 10:18
Penalty to Bobby McMann 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brock Nelson)
P3 09:43
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P3 09:43
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 09:27
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 09:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
P3 08:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:05
Giveaway by Scott Mayfield in defensive zone
P3 08:03
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 08:03
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 07:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P3 07:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Joseph Woll
P3 07:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Islanders
P3 06:47
Bobby McMann won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P3 06:47
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 06:47
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P3 06:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 06:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 05:00
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P3 05:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:26
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P3 04:26
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 03:14
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 03:04
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P3 03:04
Stoppage - Offside
P3 02:50
David Kampf won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P3 02:50
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hudson Fasching saved by Joseph Woll
P3 02:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Joseph Woll
P3 01:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 01:28
Max Domi won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
P3 01:28
Stoppage - Offside
P3 00:00
David Kampf won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:53
Giveaway by Maxim Tsyplakov in offensive zone
P2 19:46
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 19:46
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 19:44
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P2 19:00
Giveaway by Nicholas Robertson in neutral zone
P2 18:29
Giveaway by Adam Pelech in defensive zone
P2 18:15
Max Domi won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 18:15
GOAL
Goal scored by Scott Mayfield assisted by Mathew Barzal and Adam Pelech
1-1
P2 17:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Joseph Woll
P2 16:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Joseph Woll
P2 16:22
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Joseph Woll
P2 15:59
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P2 15:42
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Joseph Woll
P2 15:18
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 15:18
Stoppage - Home Timeout
P2 15:18
Stoppage - Player Equipment
P2 15:18
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 15:15
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P2 14:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Joseph Woll
P2 14:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Joseph Woll
P2 14:25
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P2 14:25
Penalty to Maple Leafs 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Nicholas Robertson)
P2 14:03
SHOT
Power play - Brock Nelson shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 13:44
Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P2 13:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:42
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Joseph Woll
P2 13:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P2 12:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
P2 12:44
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 12:44
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 12:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
P2 12:11
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P2 11:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Pacioretty saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 11:32
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
P2 11:32
Stoppage - Offside
P2 11:23
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 11:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 11:12
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P2 10:49
David Kampf won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 10:49
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 10:43
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P2 10:43
GOAL
Goal scored by Bobby McMann
1-0
P2 10:07
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 10:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 10:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 09:59
Bobby McMann won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in offensive zone
P2 09:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 09:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Joseph Woll
P2 09:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Joseph Woll
P2 08:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P2 08:35
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 08:35
Stoppage
P2 08:06
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P2 07:36
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P2 07:22
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P2 06:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Hudson Fasching
P2 06:22
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 06:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 06:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 05:41
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 05:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Pacioretty saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 04:54
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
P2 04:44
SHOT
Anthony Duclair shot blocked by David Kampf
P2 04:34
SHOT
Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 04:00
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by David Kampf
P2 03:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P2 03:49
David Kampf won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P2 03:49
Stoppage - Icing
P2 03:40
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 02:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Joseph Woll
P2 02:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 02:07
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by teammate
P2 02:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P2 01:59
Max Domi won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 01:59
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Joseph Woll
P2 01:24
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 01:24
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:07
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 00:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Pacioretty saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 00:39
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
P2 00:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 00:00
David Kampf won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P1 19:50
Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 19:50
Stoppage - Icing
P1 19:28
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P1 19:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 19:13
John Tavares won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 19:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 19:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 18:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 17:18
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P1 17:08
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 17:06
Penalty to Casey Cizikas 2 minutes for Boarding (Drawn by Chris Tanev)
P1 16:26
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Isaiah George
P1 15:51
Giveaway by Pierre Engvall in offensive zone
P1 15:26
Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
P1 15:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
P1 15:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Joseph Woll
P1 15:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Isaiah George
P1 14:48
SHOT
Isaiah George shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 14:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P1 14:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P1 13:59
John Tavares won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 13:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Joseph Woll
P1 13:45
David Kampf won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P1 13:45
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
P1 13:20
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Brock Nelson
P1 13:18
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P1 13:08
Max Domi won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P1 13:08
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Pacioretty saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 12:00
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 12:00
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 10:52
Takeaway by Kyle Palmieri in neutral zone
P1 10:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P1 10:26
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Brock Nelson
P1 10:01
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
P1 09:40
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P1 09:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 09:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Joseph Woll
P1 09:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 08:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hudson Fasching saved by Joseph Woll
P1 08:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
P1 07:06
Giveaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
P1 07:01
Giveaway by Philippe Myers in defensive zone
P1 06:45
SHOT
Brock Nelson shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P1 06:43
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by teammate
P1 06:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P1 06:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Joseph Woll
P1 06:02
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by teammate
P1 05:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P1 05:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Joseph Woll
P1 05:39
Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 05:11
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 04:55
David Kampf won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 04:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 04:43
David Kampf won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in offensive zone
P1 04:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 04:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Philippe Myers
P1 04:15
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Isaiah George
P1 03:54
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P1 03:54
Stoppage
P1 03:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 03:24
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P1 03:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Joseph Woll
P1 02:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Joseph Woll
P1 02:31
SHOT
Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P1 01:36
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in neutral zone
P1 01:23
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P1 01:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 01:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 00:46
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
P1 00:46
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 00:22
SHOT
Chris Tanev shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
P1 00:07
David Kampf won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 00:07
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:00
David Kampf won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Islanders
31Shots on Goal33
57%Faceoff Win %43%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits19
16Shots Blocked14
14Giveaways20
Maple LeafsTOR
IslandersNYI
31Shots on Goal33
57%Faceoff Win %43%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits19
16Shots Blocked14
14Giveaways20

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Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
  • Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -105, Islanders -105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 52%
  • Islanders: 48%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 52%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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