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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Panthers NHL game on May 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
0
May 17, 12AM Amerant Bank Arena
May 17, 12AM Amerant Bank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Panthers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Panthers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P3 19:48 Sam Reinhart shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 19:30 Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 19:25 Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 19:20 Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:18 Seth Jones shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P3 18:54 Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:42 Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov
P3 18:41 Sam Bennett shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
P3 18:37 Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 18:10 Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
P3 17:43 Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
P3 17:42 Seth Jones shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
P3 17:07 Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:33 Shot on goal by Aaron Ekblad saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:17 Goal scored by Max Pacioretty assisted by Bobby McMann and Max Domi
P3 14:08 Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 12:48 Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
P3 12:46 Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 12:02 Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
P3 08:09 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Sam Reinhart shot blocked by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Seth Jones shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov
SHOT
Sam Bennett shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Aleksander Barkov credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
Sam Bennett credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in defensive zone
Stoppage - Home Timeout
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
SHOT
Seth Jones shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aaron Ekblad saved by Joseph Woll
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Max Pacioretty assisted by Bobby McMann and Max Domi
2-0
SHOT
Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Dmitry Kulikov in offensive zone
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Seth Jones credited with hit on Matthew Knies in neutral zone
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
John Tavares won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
Tomas Nosek credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Aleksander Barkov)
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
SHOT
Shot missed by Seth Jones
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews
1-0
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Niko Mikkola saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Seth Jones shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aaron Ekblad saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Christopher Tanev
Takeaway by Nate Schmidt in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
Niko Mikkola credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in neutral zone
Seth Jones credited with hit on Mitch Marner in neutral zone
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
Sam Bennett credited with hit on Jake McCabe in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Shorthanded - Dmitry Kulikov credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Sam Reinhart credited with hit on William Nylander in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Aaron Ekblad 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Mitch Marner)
Jonah Gadjovich credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in defensive zone
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Jonah Gadjovich
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Aaron Ekblad credited with hit on Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Sam Reinhart
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Aaron Ekblad credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
Power play - Seth Jones credited with hit on Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Penalty to Auston Matthews 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Aaron Ekblad)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shorthanded - Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by John Tavares
Shorthanded - Tomas Nosek won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Panthers 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Matthew Tkachuk)
Max Domi won faceoff against Carter Verhaeghe in defensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Carter Verhaeghe in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Jesper Boqvist shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Nosek saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Tomas Nosek
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aaron Ekblad saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonah Gadjovich saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
SHOT
Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Scott Laughton
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Christopher Tanev in defensive zone
Jesper Boqvist credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
Jesper Boqvist credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
A.J. Greer shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
A.J. Greer shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Aaron Ekblad shot blocked by Max Pacioretty
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aaron Ekblad saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Brad Marchand shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot missed by Niko Mikkola
Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Joseph Woll
Giveaway by Matthew Knies in offensive zone
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Jonah Gadjovich in defensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Dmitry Kulikov in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Aaron Ekblad
Sam Bennett won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
Jesper Boqvist credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Max Domi won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
John Tavares won faceoff against Carter Verhaeghe in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
SHOT
Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by teammate
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Nate Schmidt
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
Power play - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Seth Jones shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Seth Jones shot blocked by Max Pacioretty
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
SHOT
Power play - Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by A.J. Greer)
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Tomas Nosek
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Christopher Tanev shot blocked by Sam Bennett
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Aaron Ekblad shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Carter Verhaeghe in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 17 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 35 | Hits | 58 | |||
| 31 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 8 |
| |
|---|
| 17 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 35 | Hits | 58 | |||
| 31 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 8 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
- Date: Friday, May 16, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Amerant Bank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Panthers favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +185, Panthers -200
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 38%
- Panthers: 62%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 38%, while the Panthers have a win probability of 62%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Panthers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Amerant Bank Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Panthers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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