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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Panthers NHL game on May 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
5
May 9, 11PM Amerant Bank Arena
May 9, 11PM Amerant Bank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Panthers | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Panthers | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
OT1 15:26 Goal scored by Brad Marchand
OT1 15:18 Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
OT1 14:53 Sam Bennett shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
OT1 14:48 Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
OT1 14:40 Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
OT1 13:52 Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by teammate
OT1 13:43 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
OT1 13:36 Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
OT1 13:24 Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Jake McCabe
OT1 13:00 Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
OT1 12:48 Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
OT1 12:30 Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
OT1 11:55 Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
OT1 11:47 Sam Bennett shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
OT1 11:39 Carter Verhaeghe shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
OT1 11:33 Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
OT1 11:06 Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Brad Marchand
OT1 10:57 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
OT1 10:41 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
OT1 10:09 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Panthers replaced goalie. (Vitek Vanecek)
GOAL
Goal scored by Brad Marchand
4-5
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
SHOT
Sam Bennett shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
SHOT
Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - Unknown
SHOT
Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Sam Bennett shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Carter Verhaeghe shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Brad Marchand
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonah Gadjovich
Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Dmitry Kulikov shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Dmitry Kulikov shot blocked by Scott Laughton
Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nate Schmidt saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sam Bennett
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Joseph Woll
Power play - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Power play - Giveaway by Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Power play - Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mitch Marner
Power play - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Max Pacioretty 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Seth Jones)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Christopher Tanev saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Morgan Rielly
4-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by teammate
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Evan Rodrigues
William Nylander won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aaron Ekblad saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
Takeaway by Seth Jones in offensive zone
A.J. Greer won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Anton Lundell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anton Lundell won faceoff against William Nylander in neutral zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
A.J. Greer won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tomas Nosek
3-4
SHOT
A.J. Greer shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonah Gadjovich saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
John Tavares won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Anton Lundell
Mitch Marner credited with hit on Niko Mikkola in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Power play - Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Brad Marchand in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Panthers
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
Penalty to Dmitry Kulikov 2 minutes for Holding
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
Eetu Luostarinen credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
Eetu Luostarinen credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Sam Bennett credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Seth Jones
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Nosek saved by Joseph Woll
Tomas Nosek credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
A.J. Greer won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Giveaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
Stoppage - Video Review
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Sam Reinhart shot blocked by teammate
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Max Domi won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Max Domi won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
Penalty to A.J. Greer 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Bobby McMann)
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonah Gadjovich saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dmitry Kulikov saved by Joseph Woll
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by John Tavares
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Brad Marchand in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Carter Verhaeghe credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nate Schmidt saved by Joseph Woll
Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Penalty to Carter Verhaeghe 2 minutes for Holding Stick (Drawn by Christopher Tanev)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Power play - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Misconduct
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Anton Lundell
SHOT
Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
SHOT
Shot missed by Anton Lundell
SHOT
Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov
SHOT
Power play - Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
SHOT
Power play - Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Carter Verhaeghe in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nate Schmidt saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Dmitry Kulikov shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Sam Reinhart
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Shorthanded - Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
Penalty to Matthew Tkachuk 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Calle Jarnkrok)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Carter Verhaeghe shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Pacioretty
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Aleksander Barkov
2-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sam Reinhart
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares
2-0
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Max Pacioretty shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Nosek saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies
1-0
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Evan Rodrigues credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 36 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 44 | Hits | 64 | |||
| 20 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 36 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 44 | Hits | 64 | |||
| 20 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
- Date: Friday, May 9, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Amerant Bank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Panthers favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +190, Panthers -205
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 39%
- Panthers: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 39%, while the Panthers have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Panthers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Amerant Bank Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Panthers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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