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Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on May 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
5
May 6, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
May 6, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Panthers | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
Maple Leafs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Panthers | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
Maple Leafs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
P3 19:46 Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:40 Seth Jones shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 19:19 Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 19:03 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 18:43 Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
P3 18:38 Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:07 Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:57 Shot missed by Sam Bennett
P3 17:39 Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
P3 17:32 Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:15 Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
P3 16:38 Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Joseph Woll
P3 16:33 Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
P3 16:27 Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Joseph Woll
P3 15:40 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 15:36 Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:30 Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
P3 14:27 Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
P3 14:24 Gustav Forsling shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:00 Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Mitch Marner and Christopher Tanev
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Seth Jones shot blocked by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
John Tavares won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Bennett
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Dmitry Kulikov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Joseph Woll
Nate Schmidt credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
SHOT
Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by teammate
Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Mitch Marner and Christopher Tanev
3-5
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Seth Jones shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
William Nylander won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Carter Verhaeghe credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Nate Schmidt in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sam Reinhart
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Brad Marchand in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Shorthanded - Dmitry Kulikov credited with hit on Max Domi in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Aleksander Barkov
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Aleksander Barkov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Niko Mikkola 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Calle Jarnkrok)
Sam Bennett credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Max Pacioretty credited with hit on Eetu Luostarinen in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Brad Marchand shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
SHOT
Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Nico Sturm
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
Penalty to Sam Bennett 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by John Tavares)
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Carter Verhaeghe shot blocked by Mitch Marner
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Sam Reinhart shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Home Timeout
GOAL
Goal scored by Uvis Balinskis assisted by Nate Schmidt and Brad Marchand
3-4
SHOT
Shot missed by Anton Lundell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Nico Sturm shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
A.J. Greer credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Nico Sturm in neutral zone
Nico Sturm won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Eetu Luostarinen assisted by Anton Lundell and Brad Marchand
2-4
Giveaway by Sergei Bobrovsky in defensive zone
Giveaway by Dmitry Kulikov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Dmitry Kulikov credited with hit on William Nylander in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Panthers saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Seth Jones
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Scott Laughton
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Sturm in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Sam Bennett shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Nate Schmidt
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Joseph Woll
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Uvis Balinskis
SHOT
Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Max Pacioretty
Power play - Giveaway by Max Domi in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by Seth Jones
Power play - Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Sam Reinhart won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Aleksander Barkov 2 minutes for Holding Stick (Drawn by John Tavares)
SHOT
Sam Reinhart shot blocked by John Tavares
SHOT
Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Dmitry Kulikov
John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Brad Marchand shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Power play - Giveaway by Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Anthony Stolarz
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Penalty to Pontus Holmberg 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Seth Jones)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Jesper Boqvist shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Giveaway by Christopher Tanev in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bobby McMann
Power play - Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
Penalty to Uvis Balinskis 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Calle Jarnkrok)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dmitry Kulikov saved by Anthony Stolarz
Carter Verhaeghe credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
Carter Verhaeghe credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
William Nylander won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Brad Marchand shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Max Domi won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Seth Jones shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Scott Laughton shot blocked by Uvis Balinskis
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Seth Jones assisted by Matthew Tkachuk and Carter Verhaeghe
1-2
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Penalty to Maple Leafs 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Pontus Holmberg)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Niko Mikkola 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Pontus Holmberg)
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
Giveaway by Scott Laughton in neutral zone
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Max Pacioretty
0-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Giveaway by Carter Verhaeghe in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Takeaway by Matthew Tkachuk in offensive zone
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Giveaway by Nico Sturm in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Takeaway by Seth Jones in neutral zone
Power play - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Brad Marchand)
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
John Tavares won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Uvis Balinskis
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
Max Domi won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Brad Marchand shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Brad Marchand in defensive zone
Giveaway by Scott Laughton in offensive zone
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Max Pacioretty and Jake McCabe
0-1
Gustav Forsling credited with hit on Max Pacioretty in defensive zone
Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 40% | Faceoff Win % | 60% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/0 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 51 | Hits | 24 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 24 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 40% | Faceoff Win % | 60% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/0 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 51 | Hits | 24 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 24 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday, May 5, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Panthers favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Panthers -120, Maple Leafs +110
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Panthers: 51%
- Maple Leafs: 49%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 51%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Panthers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Panthers vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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