Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Lightning NHL game on April 30, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL

NHL

FINAL

NHL

Panthers

Apr 30, 11:30PM Amalie Arena

Lightning

Apr 30, 11:30PM Amalie Arena

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TEAM	1	2	3	T
Panthers	2	2	2	6
Lightning	2	1	0	3

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

PanthersFLA

Win %

100%

LightningTB

Win Probability

TEAM	1	2	3	T
Panthers	2	2	2	6
Lightning	2	1	0	3

Play by Play

GOALS

ALL

P3 20:00

End of 3rd Period.

P3 19:19

SHOT

Power play - Niko Mikkola shot blocked by teammate

P3 19:00

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P3 18:41

SHOT

Power play - Uvis Balinskis shot blocked by Victor Hedman

P3 18:34

Power play - Nico Sturm won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone

P3 18:34

Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Brad Marchand)

P3 17:58

SHOT

Shot missed by Brad Marchand

P3 17:25

Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Niko Mikkola in offensive zone

P3 17:24

Takeaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone

P3 16:52

SHOT

Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Gustav Forsling

P3 16:49

Nick Paul won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone

P3 16:49

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P3 16:47

SHOT

Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P3 16:33

Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone

P3 16:01

SHOT

Conor Geekie shot blocked by Dmitry Kulikov

P3 15:43

SHOT

Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Conor Geekie

P3 15:41

Anton Lundell won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone

P3 15:41

Stoppage - Icing

P3 15:36

Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone

P3 15:33

SHOT

Shot missed by Sam Reinhart

P3 15:29

Nick Paul won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone

P3 15:29

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 15:23

Anton Lundell won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone

P3 15:23

Stoppage - Icing

P3 15:15

SHOT

Shot missed by Victor Hedman

P3 15:11

Brayden Point won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone

P3 15:11

Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout

P3 14:40

Giveaway by Anton Lundell in defensive zone

P3 13:59

Giveaway by Sam Reinhart in neutral zone

P3 13:02

Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone

P3 13:02

GOAL

Goal scored by Eetu Luostarinen assisted by Brad Marchand

5-3

P3 13:01

SHOT

Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen

P3 11:52

A.J. Greer credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone

P3 11:48

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P3 11:48

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P3 11:23

Erik Cernak credited with hit on Carter Verhaeghe in offensive zone

P3 11:11

SHOT

Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh

P3 10:32

Takeaway by Brad Marchand in defensive zone

P3 10:17

SHOT

Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Gustav Forsling

P3 09:23

Giveaway by Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone

P3 09:06

SHOT

Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P3 08:48

SHOT

Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P3 08:20

Anton Lundell won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone

P3 08:20

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P3 08:18

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P3 08:08

Nick Paul won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone

P3 08:08

Stoppage - Icing

P3 07:38

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P3 07:01

Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone

P3 07:01

Stoppage - Icing

P3 06:36

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone

P3 06:36

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P3 06:34

SHOT

Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P3 06:18

Takeaway by Sam Bennett in defensive zone

P3 05:47

Carter Verhaeghe credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in defensive zone

P3 05:41

SHOT

Shot missed by Darren Raddysh

P3 05:29

SHOT

Victor Hedman shot blocked by Carter Verhaeghe

P3 04:59

SHOT

Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P3 04:52

Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone

P3 04:52

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 04:48

SHOT

Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Gustav Forsling

P3 04:46

Nick Paul won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone

P3 04:46

Stoppage - Icing

P3 04:27

Gustav Forsling credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone

P3 04:07

Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone

P3 04:07

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 04:04

SHOT

Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P3 04:00

Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone

P3 04:00

Stoppage - Icing

P3 03:49

SHOT

Victor Hedman shot blocked by Uvis Balinskis

P3 03:37

Giveaway by Nate Schmidt in defensive zone

P3 03:22

Jesper Boqvist credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in defensive zone

P3 03:13

Giveaway by Dmitry Kulikov in offensive zone

P3 03:07

SHOT

Shot missed by Nico Sturm

P3 02:49

Nico Sturm won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone

P3 02:49

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P3 02:46

SHOT

Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P3 02:28

Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone

P3 02:28

Stoppage - Hand Pass

P3 01:40

SHOT

Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Erik Cernak

P3 01:35

SHOT

Shot missed by Sam Bennett

P3 00:28

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P3 00:00

Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone

P2 20:00

End of 2nd Period.

P2 18:58

Anton Lundell won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone

P2 18:58

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 18:56

SHOT

Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 18:34

Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone

P2 18:34

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 18:31

SHOT

Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 18:29

Anton Lundell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone

P2 18:29

Stoppage - Offside

P2 18:12

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 17:50

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P2 17:35

SHOT

Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Sam Bennett

P2 16:59

SHOT

Brad Marchand shot blocked by Yanni Gourde

P2 15:56

Anton Lundell won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone

P2 15:56

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 15:54

SHOT

Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 15:40

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 15:18

Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone

P2 15:18

Stoppage - TV timeout

P2 15:18

Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury

P2 15:13

Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone

P2 15:13

GOAL

Goal scored by Sam Bennett

4-3

P2 15:12

SHOT

Shot missed by Sam Bennett

P2 14:08

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli

P2 13:07

Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone

P2 13:07

Penalty to Sam Bennett 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Victor Hedman)

P2 13:01

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P2 12:03

Dmitry Kulikov credited with hit on Mitchell Chaffee in offensive zone

P2 11:41

Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Niko Mikkola in offensive zone

P2 11:38

Anton Lundell won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone

P2 11:38

Stoppage - Offside

P2 11:17

Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone

P2 11:17

Stoppage - Icing

P2 11:08

Brayden Point won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone

P2 11:08

Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout

P2 11:06

SHOT

Shot missed by Brad Marchand

P2 10:53

SHOT

Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 09:57

Conor Geekie won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone

P2 09:56

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by Jake Guentzel

3-3

P2 09:05

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 08:38

Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone

P2 08:38

Penalty to Sam Bennett 2 minutes for Slashing

P2 07:58

SHOT

Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli

P2 07:41

Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone

P2 07:41

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 07:39

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P2 07:36

Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone

P2 07:36

Stoppage - Icing

P2 07:10

Carter Verhaeghe won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone

P2 07:10

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 07:08

SHOT

Shot on goal by Aleksander Barkov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P2 06:56

Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone

P2 06:56

Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout

P2 05:02

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P2 04:20

SHOT

Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 03:44

SHOT

Shot missed by Gustav Forsling

P2 03:39

SHOT

Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by teammate

P2 03:33

SHOT

Gustav Forsling shot blocked by teammate

P2 03:17

Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone

P2 03:17

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 03:16

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 02:43

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 02:41

Nick Paul won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone

P2 02:41

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 02:39

SHOT

Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P2 02:00

Giveaway by Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone

P2 01:25

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P2 00:52

Brayden Point won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in neutral zone

P2 00:52

GOAL

Goal scored by Gustav Forsling

3-2

P2 00:51

SHOT

Shot missed by Gustav Forsling

P2 00:00

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone

P1 20:00

End of 1st Period.

P1 19:56

SHOT

Uvis Balinskis shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh

P1 19:52

Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone

P1 19:52

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P1 19:18

Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone

P1 19:18

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 18:52

Anton Lundell won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone

P1 18:52

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P1 18:51

SHOT

Luke Glendening shot blocked by Gustav Forsling

P1 17:50

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman

P1 17:20

Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in offensive zone

P1 17:20

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 17:18

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P1 17:13

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P1 16:34

Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone

P1 16:34

Penalty to Seth Jones 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Gage Goncalves)

P1 16:22

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 16:09

Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in neutral zone

P1 14:51

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 14:13

Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone

P1 14:13

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 14:11

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 14:05

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Aleksander Barkov

P1 14:03

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 13:39

SHOT

Power play - Aleksander Barkov shot blocked by Jake Guentzel

P1 13:36

SHOT

Power play - Sam Reinhart shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh

P1 13:31

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 13:08

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Seth Jones saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 12:45

Power play - Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone

P1 12:45

Penalty to Nick Perbix 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Eetu Luostarinen)

P1 12:16

Luke Glendening won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone

P1 12:15

SHOT

Shot missed by Nick Paul

P1 12:11

SHOT

Nick Perbix shot blocked by teammate

P1 11:56

SHOT

Shot on goal by Uvis Balinskis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 11:32

SHOT

Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P1 11:21

SHOT

Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P1 10:52

SHOT

Shot missed by Victor Hedman

P1 10:40

SHOT

Victor Hedman shot blocked by Sam Bennett

P1 10:37

SHOT

Shot missed by Jake Guentzel

P1 10:06

Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone

P1 10:04

SHOT

Shot missed by Anton Lundell

P1 09:16

SHOT

Shot on goal by Seth Jones saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 09:02

Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone

P1 09:02

Stoppage - Icing

P1 08:07

Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone

P1 07:46

SHOT

Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons

P1 07:13

Anton Lundell won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone

P1 07:13

Stoppage - Offside

P1 07:01

SHOT

Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Yanni Gourde

P1 06:55

SHOT

Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 06:35

SHOT

Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P1 06:21

Aleksander Barkov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone

P1 06:21

Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Rink Repair

P1 06:21

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout

P1 05:56

SHOT

Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Yanni Gourde

P1 05:53

SHOT

Brad Marchand shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg

P1 05:21

Power play - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone

P1 05:21

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by Carter Verhaeghe

1-1

P1 05:20

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe

P1 05:18

SHOT

Power play - Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Erik Cernak

P1 05:09

Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone

P1 05:09

Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Slashing

P1 05:01

Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone

P1 05:01

Stoppage - Icing

P1 03:20

SHOT

Shot on goal by Conor Geekie saved by Sergei Bobrovsky

P1 03:20

SHOT

Shot missed by Conor Geekie

P1 03:17

SHOT

Conor Geekie shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen

P1 02:51

SHOT

Gustav Forsling shot blocked by teammate

P1 02:46

SHOT

Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 02:43

SHOT

Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by J.J. Moser

P1 02:33

Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone

P1 02:33

GOAL

Goal scored by Gage Goncalves

0-1

P1 02:31

SHOT

Shot missed by Gage Goncalves

P1 02:30

SHOT

Victor Hedman shot blocked by Brad Marchand

P1 01:35

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 01:35

SHOT

Shot missed by Sam Bennett

P1 00:48

SHOT

Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov

P1 00:40

Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Aleksander Barkov in defensive zone

P1 00:40

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P1 00:37

SHOT

Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

P1 00:15

Eetu Luostarinen credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone

P1 00:00

Nick Paul won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone

P1 00:00

Game Setup.

Stats

Panthers		STATS		Lightning

31	Shots on Goal	29
47%	Faceoff Win %	53%
3/1	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	3/1
8	Penalty Infraction Mins	8
46	Hits	26
18	Shots Blocked	14
13	Giveaways	17

PanthersFLA			LightningTB

31	Shots on Goal	29
47%	Faceoff Win %	53%
3/1	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	3/1
8	Penalty Infraction Mins	8
46	Hits	26
18	Shots Blocked	14
13	Giveaways	17

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Panthers vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Panthers vs. Lightning
Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Amalie Arena

Current Betting Odds

Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
Total (Over/Under): 5.5
Moneyline Odds: Panthers -110, Lightning -102

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Panthers: 48%
Lightning: 52%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 48%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at Amalie Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Panthers vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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