Golden Knights vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Penguins NHL game on March 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL

NHL

FINAL

NHL

Golden Knights

Mar 11, 11PM PPG Paints Arena

Penguins

Mar 11, 11PM PPG Paints Arena

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TEAM	1	2	3	OT	T
Golden Knights	0	1	1	0	2
Penguins	1	1	0	1	3

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Golden KnightsVGK

Win %

100%

PenguinsPIT

Win Probability

TEAM	1	2	3	OT	T
Golden Knights	0	1	1	0	2
Penguins	1	1	0	1	3

Play by Play

GOALS

ALL

OT1 05:00

End of 1st OT.

OT1 00:49

GOAL

Goal scored by Erik Karlsson assisted by Evgeni Malkin

2-3

OT1 00:00

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone

P3 20:00

End of 3rd Period.

P3 19:57

SHOT

Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 19:54

GOAL

Goal scored by Noah Hanifin

2-2

P3 19:54

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone

P3 19:42

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 19:39

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone

P3 19:39

Stoppage - Offside - Visitor Timeout

P3 19:29

SHOT

Jack Eichel shot blocked by Matt Grzelcyk

P3 19:17

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 19:07

SHOT

Shot missed by Noah Hanifin

P3 18:52

SHOT

Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Sidney Crosby

P3 18:14

SHOT

Shot missed by Nicolas Roy

P3 17:39

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone

P3 17:39

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P3 17:07

SHOT

Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 16:49

SHOT

Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 16:19

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex Pietrangelo saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 16:11

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex Pietrangelo saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 15:24

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex Pietrangelo saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 14:36

Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone

P3 14:36

Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout

P3 14:30

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone

P3 14:30

Stoppage - Icing

P3 14:23

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone

P3 14:23

Stoppage - Icing

P3 13:56

SHOT

Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Bryan Rust

P3 13:44

Jack Eichel won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone

P3 13:44

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 13:40

SHOT

Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 13:32

SHOT

Alex Pietrangelo shot blocked by Matt Grzelcyk

P3 12:53

SHOT

Alex Pietrangelo shot blocked by Matt Grzelcyk

P3 11:59

SHOT

Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 11:57

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone

P3 11:57

Stoppage - Offside

P3 11:45

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone

P3 11:45

Stoppage - Icing

P3 11:28

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 11:03

SHOT

Shot missed by Sidney Crosby

P3 10:03

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone

P3 10:03

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P3 10:02

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicolas Hague saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 10:00

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone

P3 10:00

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 09:57

SHOT

Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 09:50

SHOT

Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Brayden McNabb

P3 09:02

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 08:46

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone

P3 08:46

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P3 08:34

SHOT

Jack Eichel shot blocked by Conor Timmins

P3 08:15

SHOT

Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 08:02

SHOT

Nicolas Hague shot blocked by Emil Bemstrom

P3 07:56

Emil Bemstrom credited with hit on Keegan Kolesar in offensive zone

P3 07:29

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone

P3 07:29

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 07:03

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone

P3 07:01

SHOT

Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 06:38

SHOT

Shot missed by Rickard Rakell

P3 06:29

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone

P3 06:29

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 06:27

SHOT

Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 06:08

Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone

P3 06:08

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P3 06:05

SHOT

Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 05:59

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone

P3 05:59

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 05:57

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 05:40

SHOT

Nicolas Hague shot blocked by Vladislav Kolyachonok

P3 05:38

SHOT

Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Kris Letang

P3 05:37

SHOT

Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 05:34

SHOT

Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Tristan Jarry

P3 05:27

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Philip Tomasino in neutral zone

P3 05:27

Stoppage - Offside

P3 05:08

SHOT

Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 04:30

SHOT

Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by teammate

P3 04:26

SHOT

Shot missed by Tanner Pearson

P3 04:14

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 04:09

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone

P3 04:09

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P3 04:07

SHOT

Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Mark Stone

P3 03:19

Tomas Hertl credited with hit on Conor Timmins in defensive zone

P3 02:29

SHOT

Power play - Danton Heinen shot blocked by Alex Pietrangelo

P3 01:53

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson

P3 01:52

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 01:15

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson

P3 00:47

Shorthanded - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone

P3 00:47

Penalty to Zach Whitecloud 2 minutes for Misconduct

P3 00:47

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P3 00:38

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone

P3 00:38

Stoppage - Offside

P3 00:27

SHOT

Shot missed by Danton Heinen

P3 00:19

SHOT

Vladislav Kolyachonok shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar

P3 00:00

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone

P2 20:00

End of 2nd Period.

P2 19:42

SHOT

Shot missed by Vladislav Kolyachonok

P2 19:16

SHOT

Shot on goal by Vladislav Kolyachonok saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 18:45

SHOT

Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Rickard Rakell

P2 17:54

SHOT

Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 17:50

Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone

P2 17:50

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 17:48

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 17:28

SHOT

Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Vladislav Kolyachonok

P2 16:37

SHOT

Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 16:20

SHOT

Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Philip Tomasino

P2 15:43

SHOT

Nicolas Hague shot blocked by Connor Dewar

P2 15:20

SHOT

Reilly Smith shot blocked by teammate

P2 14:29

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone

P2 14:29

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by Pavel Dorofeyev assisted by Noah Hanifin and Jack Eichel

1-2

P2 14:09

Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone

P2 14:09

Stoppage - TV timeout

P2 14:09

Penalty to Philip Tomasino 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brayden McNabb)

P2 13:36

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Danton Heinen in neutral zone

P2 13:36

Stoppage - Offside

P2 13:16

SHOT

Shot missed by Nicolas Roy

P2 12:40

Jack Eichel won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone

P2 12:40

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 12:39

SHOT

Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 12:25

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicolas Hague saved by Tristan Jarry

P2 12:15

Jack Eichel won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone

P2 12:15

Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout

P2 10:53

SHOT

Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Tristan Jarry

P2 10:28

SHOT

Ryan Graves shot blocked by teammate

P2 10:26

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone

P2 10:26

Stoppage - Icing

P2 09:05

Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Connor Dewar in defensive zone

P2 08:41

Noel Acciari won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone

P2 08:41

Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson

P2 08:19

SHOT

Shot missed by Brandon Saad

P2 08:17

SHOT

Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Matt Grzelcyk

P2 07:43

SHOT

Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev

P2 07:41

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone

P2 07:41

Stoppage - Icing

P2 07:34

SHOT

Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Tristan Jarry

P2 07:22

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone

P2 07:22

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 07:20

SHOT

Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 06:52

SHOT

Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Tristan Jarry

P2 06:42

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone

P2 06:42

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P2 06:40

SHOT

Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 06:05

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone

P2 06:05

Stoppage - Icing

P2 05:58

Jack Eichel won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone

P2 05:58

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P2 05:20

SHOT

Shot on goal by Golden Knights saved by Tristan Jarry

P2 04:50

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone

P2 04:50

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 04:30

SHOT

Shot missed by Golden Knights

P2 04:25

SHOT

Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Erik Karlsson

P2 04:12

SHOT

Shot missed by Nicolas Hague

P2 04:10

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone

P2 04:09

Stoppage - Icing

P2 04:01

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone

P2 04:01

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P2 03:56

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Tristan Jarry

P2 03:32

SHOT

Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Tristan Jarry

P2 03:02

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone

P2 03:02

GOAL

Goal scored by Sidney Crosby assisted by Rickard Rakell

0-2

P2 02:55

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone

P2 02:55

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 02:52

SHOT

Shot on goal by Emil Bemstrom saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 02:33

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone

P2 02:33

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 02:29

SHOT

Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Tristan Jarry

P2 01:27

Shorthanded - Giveaway by Nicolas Hague in defensive zone

P2 00:30

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mark Stone

P2 00:21

SHOT

Power play - Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Brayden McNabb

P2 00:09

SHOT

Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate

P2 00:04

Power play - Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone

P2 00:04

Penalty to Nicolas Roy 2 minutes for Tripping

P2 00:00

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone

P1 20:00

End of 1st Period.

P1 19:57

SHOT

Shot missed by Jonas Rondbjerg

P1 19:30

SHOT

Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Tristan Jarry

P1 19:26

SHOT

Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev

P1 19:24

SHOT

Shot missed by Golden Knights

P1 19:23

SHOT

Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Noel Acciari

P1 18:17

SHOT

Shot missed by Keegan Kolesar

P1 18:12

SHOT

Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Danton Heinen

P1 17:48

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone

P1 17:48

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by Sidney Crosby assisted by Rickard Rakell and Kevin Hayes

0-1

P1 16:57

Shorthanded - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone

P1 16:57

Penalty to Tomas Hertl 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Noel Acciari)

P1 16:47

Connor Dewar credited with hit on Alex Pietrangelo in neutral zone

P1 16:39

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone

P1 16:39

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P1 16:31

Noel Acciari won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone

P1 16:31

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P1 16:27

SHOT

Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Tristan Jarry

P1 15:52

SHOT

Shot missed by Danton Heinen

P1 15:08

SHOT

Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud

P1 14:52

SHOT

Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Tristan Jarry

P1 14:32

Jack Eichel won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone

P1 14:32

Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout

P1 14:30

SHOT

Noel Acciari shot blocked by Brayden McNabb

P1 13:11

Conor Timmins credited with hit on Alex Pietrangelo in defensive zone

P1 12:47

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone

P1 12:47

Stoppage - Icing

P1 12:04

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 11:48

SHOT

Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Tristan Jarry

P1 11:32

SHOT

Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Erik Karlsson

P1 11:19

Jack Eichel won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone

P1 11:19

Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout

P1 10:49

SHOT

Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Noel Acciari

P1 10:24

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 10:08

SHOT

Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Tristan Jarry

P1 10:02

SHOT

Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Tristan Jarry

P1 09:27

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone

P1 09:27

Stoppage - Icing

P1 09:03

SHOT

Shot missed by Kris Letang

P1 09:01

Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone

P1 09:01

Stoppage - Icing

P1 08:14

Danton Heinen credited with hit on Brayden McNabb in offensive zone

P1 07:51

SHOT

Shot missed by Sidney Crosby

P1 07:50

SHOT

Shot missed by Rickard Rakell

P1 07:39

SHOT

Shot missed by Erik Karlsson

P1 07:21

SHOT

Shot missed by Mark Stone

P1 07:05

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone

P1 07:05

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P1 07:04

SHOT

Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 06:10

SHOT

Power play - Philip Tomasino shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud

P1 05:58

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang

P1 05:44

SHOT

Power play - Danton Heinen shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud

P1 05:42

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 04:40

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Tristan Jarry

P1 04:36

Shorthanded - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone

P1 04:36

Penalty to Victor Olofsson 2 minutes for High Sticking

P1 04:18

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mark Stone in neutral zone

P1 04:18

Stoppage - Offside

P1 03:59

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kaedan Korczak saved by Tristan Jarry

P1 03:45

SHOT

Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 03:02

SHOT

Golden Knights shot blocked by teammate

P1 02:18

SHOT

Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Emil Bemstrom

P1 02:11

SHOT

Shot missed by Reilly Smith

P1 01:27

Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Bryan Rust in neutral zone

P1 00:50

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone

P1 00:50

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P1 00:32

SHOT

Brandon Saad shot blocked by Kris Letang

P1 00:29

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex Pietrangelo saved by Tristan Jarry

P1 00:20

Philip Tomasino credited with hit on Tomas Hertl in neutral zone

P1 00:15

Takeaway by Pavel Dorofeyev in neutral zone

P1 00:09

Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone

P1 00:09

Stoppage - Icing

P1 00:00

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone

P1 00:00

Game Setup.

Stats

Golden Knights		STATS		Penguins

37	Shots on Goal	17
53%	Faceoff Win %	48%
1/1	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	4/1
8	Penalty Infraction Mins	2
10	Hits	16
9	Shots Blocked	22
12	Giveaways	16

Golden KnightsVGK			PenguinsPIT

37	Shots on Goal	17
53%	Faceoff Win %	48%
1/1	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	4/1
8	Penalty Infraction Mins	2
10	Hits	16
9	Shots Blocked	22
12	Giveaways	16

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Golden Knights vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Golden Knights vs. Penguins
Date: Tuesday, March 11, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
Total (Over/Under): 6.5
Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights -188, Penguins +165

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Golden Knights: 61%
Penguins: 39%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 61%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 39%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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