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Canadiens vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Oilers NHL game on March 6, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
3
Mar 7, 2AM Rogers Place
Mar 7, 2AM Rogers Place
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Oilers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Oilers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
OT1 04:52 Goal scored by Evan Bouchard assisted by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl
OT1 04:13 Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 04:03 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
OT1 03:40 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Stuart Skinner
OT1 02:46 Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovsky
OT1 02:16 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Mike Matheson
OT1 01:58 Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Connor McDavid
OT1 01:24 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovsky saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 19:05 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 18:59 Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P3 18:36 Shot missed by Cam Dineen
P3 18:06 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
P3 17:46 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Corey Perry
P3 16:45 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 16:19 Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 15:05 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Joel Armia
P3 15:02 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 14:59 Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 14:16 Shot missed by Cam Dineen
P3 14:05 Mattias Janmark shot blocked by David Savard
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Oilers replaced goalie. (Calvin Pickard)
GOAL
Goal scored by Evan Bouchard assisted by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl
2-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovsky
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Connor McDavid
Takeaway by Jake Evans in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Home Timeout
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovsky saved by Stuart Skinner
Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Takeaway by Connor McDavid in offensive zone
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Jake Evans won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
Stoppage - Player Injury
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
SHOT
Shot missed by Cam Dineen
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Corey Perry
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Kasperi Kapanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Kasperi Kapanen won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Ty Emberson
Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovsky in offensive zone
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Joel Armia
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Cam Dineen
SHOT
Mattias Janmark shot blocked by David Savard
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Connor Brown
Takeaway by Connor Brown in defensive zone
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Stuart Skinner
Cole Caufield credited with hit on Brett Kulak in offensive zone
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Sam Montembeault
Takeaway by Connor McDavid in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cam Dineen saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
SHOT
Max Jones shot blocked by David Savard
Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in offensive zone
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
Kasperi Kapanen won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Stuart Skinner
Emil Heineman credited with hit on Connor McDavid in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Hyman
Jake Evans won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Cam Dineen
Giveaway by Owen Beck in defensive zone
Max Jones credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovsky in defensive zone
Takeaway by Brett Kulak in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Jones saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
SHOT
Cam Dineen shot blocked by Joel Armia
Ty Emberson credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Stuart Skinner
Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Stuart Skinner
Shorthanded - Troy Stecher credited with hit on Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mattias Janmark
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Patrik Laine saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Patrik Laine saved by Stuart Skinner
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
Penalty to Evan Bouchard 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nick Suzuki)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Shot missed by Cam Dineen
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cam Dineen saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Vasily Podkolzin in neutral zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Jones saved by Sam Montembeault
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kasperi Kapanen saved by Sam Montembeault
Takeaway by Max Jones in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Corey Perry
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Brendan Gallagher in offensive zone
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
Giveaway by Zach Hyman in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Sam Montembeault
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Sam Montembeault
Emil Heineman credited with hit on Ty Emberson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Stuart Skinner
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by David Savard
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Sam Montembeault
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Takeaway by Cam Dineen in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Sam Montembeault
Jake Evans won faceoff against Kasperi Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Sam Montembeault
Alexandre Carrier credited with hit on Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cam Dineen saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Sam Montembeault
Ty Emberson credited with hit on Josh Anderson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ty Emberson
Giveaway by Adam Henrique in defensive zone
Mattias Janmark won faceoff against Owen Beck in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrik Laine saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Stuart Skinner
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Joel Armia assisted by Lane Hutson and Jake Evans
2-2
Joel Armia credited with hit on Cam Dineen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
Jake Evans won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Stuart Skinner
Takeaway by Adam Henrique in defensive zone
Kasperi Kapanen credited with hit on Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Takeaway by Kasperi Kapanen in offensive zone
SHOT
Connor McDavid shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Cam Dineen
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by David Savard
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Sam Montembeault
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Mattias Janmark
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by Viktor Arvidsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
SHOT
Cam Dineen shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Sam Montembeault
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Brett Kulak
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
Giveaway by Troy Stecher in defensive zone
Owen Beck credited with hit on Troy Stecher in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Evan Bouchard and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1-2
Penalty to Canadiens 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Brendan Gallagher)
Power play - Jake Evans won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Juraj Slafkovsky credited with hit on Troy Stecher in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Emil Heineman
Shorthanded - Mattias Janmark won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Patrik Laine
Shorthanded - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Jayden Struble)
Giveaway by Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Stuart Skinner
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Takeaway by Ty Emberson in neutral zone
Connor Brown credited with hit on Owen Beck in offensive zone
Kasperi Kapanen won faceoff against Owen Beck in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Cole Caufield
1-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Power play - Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Joel Armia
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Stuart Skinner
Power play - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins credited with hit on Brendan Gallagher in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oilers saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Power play - Connor McDavid shot blocked by David Savard
SHOT
Power play - Connor McDavid shot blocked by David Savard
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Penalty to Alexandre Carrier 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Zach Hyman)
Power play - Giveaway by Evan Bouchard in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Penalty to Brendan Gallagher 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Leon Draisaitl)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Mattias Janmark credited with hit on David Savard in offensive zone
Cole Caufield won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovsky saved by Stuart Skinner
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Sam Montembeault
Giveaway by Lane Hutson in neutral zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Corey Perry assisted by Max Jones
0-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
Ty Emberson credited with hit on Owen Beck in offensive zone
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Cam Dineen
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cam Dineen saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Viktor Arvidsson shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Vasily Podkolzin
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Stuart Skinner
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrik Laine saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Stuart Skinner
Kasperi Kapanen won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Zach Hyman
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Jones saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Sam Montembeault
Viktor Arvidsson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Jake Evans won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 29 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 24 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 10 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 29 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 24 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 10 |
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Canadiens vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Oilers
- Date: Thursday, March 6, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Rogers Place
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +205, Oilers -210
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 35%
- Oilers: 65%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 35%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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