Penguins vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Avalanche NHL game on March 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL

NHL

FINAL

NHL

Penguins

Mar 5, 2AM Ball Arena

Avalanche

Mar 5, 2AM Ball Arena

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TEAM	1	2	3	T
Penguins	0	1	0	1
Avalanche	0	1	3	4

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

PenguinsPIT

Win %

100%

AvalancheCOL

Win Probability

TEAM	1	2	3	T
Penguins	0	1	0	1
Avalanche	0	1	3	4

Play by Play

GOALS

ALL

P3 20:00

End of 3rd Period.

P3 19:52

Cody Glass won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone

P3 19:52

GOAL

Goal scored by Jack Drury assisted by Parker Kelly (Empty Net)

1-4

P3 19:21

SHOT

Bryan Rust shot blocked by Parker Kelly

P3 19:04

SHOT

Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Logan O'Connor

P3 18:52

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone

P3 18:52

Stoppage - Visitor Timeout

P3 18:52

GOAL

Goal scored by Artturi Lehkonen (Empty Net)

1-3

P3 18:45

SHOT

Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Scott Wedgewood

P3 18:04

Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone

P3 18:04

Stoppage - Icing

P3 17:12

SHOT

Shot missed by Parker Kelly

P3 17:07

SHOT

Shot missed by Parker Kelly

P3 16:55

SHOT

Shot missed by Penguins

P3 16:14

SHOT

Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P3 16:12

Jack Drury won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone

P3 16:12

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P3 16:05

SHOT

Shot missed by Erik Karlsson

P3 15:51

Jack Drury won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone

P3 15:51

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by Casey Mittelstadt assisted by Valeri Nichushkin and Nathan MacKinnon

1-2

P3 15:06

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Cale Makar

P3 14:23

Shorthanded - Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone

P3 14:23

Stoppage - TV timeout

P3 14:23

Penalty to Anthony Beauvillier 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Logan O'Connor)

P3 14:08

SHOT

Shot missed by Philip Tomasino

P3 14:01

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Scott Wedgewood

P3 13:24

Parker Kelly won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone

P3 13:24

Stoppage - Offside

P3 13:19

SHOT

Shot missed by Rickard Rakell

P3 13:05

SHOT

Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Scott Wedgewood

P3 13:00

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone

P3 13:00

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P3 12:58

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone

P3 12:58

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 11:53

SHOT

Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren

P3 11:35

SHOT

Shot missed by Joel Kiviranta

P3 11:16

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone

P3 11:16

Stoppage - Hand Pass

P3 11:09

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone

P3 11:09

Stoppage - Icing

P3 10:44

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone

P3 10:44

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 10:42

SHOT

Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Scott Wedgewood

P3 10:33

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone

P3 10:33

Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout

P3 10:31

SHOT

Artturi Lehkonen shot blocked by Noel Acciari

P3 09:51

SHOT

Devon Toews shot blocked by Noel Acciari

P3 09:26

SHOT

Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Sam Malinski

P3 09:08

SHOT

Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P3 08:00

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone

P3 08:00

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 07:58

SHOT

Shot on goal by Oliver Kylington saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P3 07:55

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone

P3 07:55

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 07:46

Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone

P3 07:46

Stoppage - Icing

P3 07:40

Valeri Nichushkin credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone

P3 07:37

SHOT

Shot on goal by Oliver Kylington saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P3 06:51

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone

P3 06:51

Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout

P3 06:39

SHOT

Oliver Kylington shot blocked by Noel Acciari

P3 05:48

Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Ryan Lindgren in offensive zone

P3 05:46

Joel Kiviranta credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone

P3 04:48

Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone

P3 04:48

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 04:32

SHOT

Vincent Desharnais shot blocked by Nathan MacKinnon

P3 04:11

SHOT

Shot missed by Cale Makar

P3 03:18

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone

P3 03:18

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 03:16

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Scott Wedgewood

P3 03:14

SHOT

Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Scott Wedgewood

P3 02:43

SHOT

Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P3 02:33

SHOT

Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P3 02:31

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone

P3 02:31

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 02:28

SHOT

Shot on goal by Miles Wood saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P3 01:58

SHOT

Shot on goal by Emil Bemstrom saved by Scott Wedgewood

P3 01:49

SHOT

Vladislav Kolyachonok shot blocked by Casey Mittelstadt

P3 01:35

SHOT

Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Scott Wedgewood

P3 01:15

SHOT

Shot missed by Vincent Desharnais

P3 00:58

Matt Grzelcyk credited with hit on Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone

P3 00:00

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone

P2 20:00

End of 2nd Period.

P2 19:24

SHOT

Shot missed by Ryan Lindgren

P2 18:20

Takeaway by Kris Letang in offensive zone

P2 18:04

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone

P2 18:04

GOAL

Goal scored by Rickard Rakell assisted by Bryan Rust and Sidney Crosby

1-1

P2 16:24

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 15:53

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 15:21

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Sidney Crosby

P2 15:21

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 15:02

Power play - Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone

P2 15:02

Penalty to Devon Toews 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Sidney Crosby)

P2 14:53

SHOT

Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Cale Makar

P2 14:40

SHOT

Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P2 14:34

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone

P2 14:34

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P2 14:32

SHOT

Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin

P2 14:26

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 14:05

Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone

P2 14:05

Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout

P2 13:25

Jack Drury won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone

P2 13:25

Stoppage - Icing

P2 13:04

SHOT

Shot missed by Vincent Desharnais

P2 12:15

SHOT

Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Logan O'Connor

P2 11:43

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 11:10

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P2 10:16

Power play - Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone

P2 10:16

Stoppage

P2 10:16

Penalty to Sam Malinski 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Emil Bemstrom)

P2 10:12

SHOT

Kris Letang shot blocked by Oliver Kylington

P2 09:52

SHOT

Kris Letang shot blocked by Parker Kelly

P2 09:50

Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Logan O'Connor in offensive zone

P2 09:50

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 09:47

SHOT

Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 09:12

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone

P2 09:12

Stoppage - High Stick

P2 09:00

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone

P2 09:00

Stoppage - Offside

P2 08:32

SHOT

Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon

P2 08:07

SHOT

Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P2 08:02

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone

P2 08:02

Stoppage - Icing

P2 07:50

SHOT

Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt

P2 07:49

SHOT

Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin

P2 07:27

SHOT

Ryan Lindgren shot blocked by Cody Glass

P2 07:17

Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone

P2 07:17

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P2 07:01

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone

P2 07:01

Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout

P2 06:36

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Parker Kelly in neutral zone

P2 06:36

GOAL

Goal scored by Artturi Lehkonen assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar

0-1

P2 06:31

SHOT

Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P2 06:14

SHOT

Cale Makar shot blocked by Blake Lizotte

P2 05:38

SHOT

Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ross Colton

P2 05:32

SHOT

Shot on goal by Cody Glass saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 05:03

SHOT

Shot on goal by Ryan Lindgren saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P2 04:55

SHOT

Emil Bemstrom shot blocked by Sam Malinski

P2 04:22

Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone

P2 04:22

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 04:20

SHOT

Shot on goal by Vincent Desharnais saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 04:17

Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone

P2 04:17

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 04:15

SHOT

Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 03:51

Parker Kelly won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone

P2 03:51

Stoppage - Offside

P2 03:21

SHOT

Shot missed by Bryan Rust

P2 03:18

SHOT

Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 02:30

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P2 02:08

SHOT

Vincent Desharnais shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin

P2 01:32

SHOT

Shot on goal by Cody Glass saved by Scott Wedgewood

P2 01:09

SHOT

Shot missed by Samuel Girard

P2 01:04

Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone

P2 01:04

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P2 01:02

SHOT

Martin Necas shot blocked by Matt Grzelcyk

P2 00:41

Bryan Rust credited with hit on Cale Makar in offensive zone

P2 00:18

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone

P2 00:18

Stoppage - Icing

P2 00:00

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone

P1 20:00

End of 1st Period.

P1 19:34

Parker Kelly won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone

P1 19:34

Stoppage - Icing

P1 19:27

SHOT

Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 19:16

Miles Wood credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone

P1 18:43

SHOT

Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P1 18:25

Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone

P1 18:25

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P1 18:23

SHOT

Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Matt Grzelcyk

P1 18:13

Cody Glass won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone

P1 18:13

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P1 18:00

Jack Drury won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in neutral zone

P1 18:00

Stoppage - Offside

P1 17:40

Valeri Nichushkin credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone

P1 17:29

SHOT

Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin

P1 17:27

SHOT

Samuel Girard shot blocked by Evgeni Malkin

P1 17:02

SHOT

Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Philip Tomasino

P1 16:42

SHOT

Shot missed by Martin Necas

P1 16:22

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone

P1 16:22

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P1 16:19

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 15:44

SHOT

Blake Lizotte shot blocked by teammate

P1 15:10

SHOT

Shot missed by Kevin Hayes

P1 15:02

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 15:00

SHOT

Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 14:11

SHOT

Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 14:07

Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone

P1 14:07

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 13:40

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone

P1 13:40

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P1 13:38

SHOT

Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 13:05

SHOT

Joel Kiviranta shot blocked by Vladislav Kolyachonok

P1 12:59

SHOT

Shot missed by Joel Kiviranta

P1 12:55

SHOT

Shot missed by Devon Toews

P1 12:33

SHOT

Shot on goal by Vladislav Kolyachonok saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 12:18

SHOT

Shot missed by Danton Heinen

P1 11:41

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P1 11:23

SHOT

Shot missed by Devon Toews

P1 11:14

SHOT

Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen

P1 10:50

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone

P1 10:50

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P1 10:48

SHOT

Shot on goal by Emil Bemstrom saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 10:16

SHOT

Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 06:50

Takeaway by Oliver Kylington in defensive zone

P1 06:42

SHOT

Shot missed by Jack Drury

P1 06:29

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P1 06:24

SHOT

Shot missed by Jack Drury

P1 05:58

SHOT

Shot on goal by Avalanche saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P1 05:47

SHOT

Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Artturi Lehkonen

P1 05:30

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone

P1 05:30

Stoppage - Icing

P1 04:21

SHOT

Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 04:18

SHOT

Shot on goal by Vladislav Kolyachonok saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 03:58

SHOT

Ryan Lindgren shot blocked by teammate

P1 03:25

SHOT

Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P1 02:12

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Scott Wedgewood

P1 02:09

SHOT

Danton Heinen shot blocked by Oliver Kylington

P1 02:05

Ross Colton won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone

P1 02:05

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P1 01:39

SHOT

Shot on goal by Casey Mittelstadt saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

P1 01:18

Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Cody Glass in neutral zone

P1 01:18

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P1 00:59

SHOT

Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin

P1 00:23

Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone

P1 00:23

Stoppage - Icing

P1 00:00

Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone

P1 00:00

Game Setup.

Stats

Penguins		STATS		Avalanche

33	Shots on Goal	25
57%	Faceoff Win %	43%
2/0	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	1/1
2	Penalty Infraction Mins	4
8	Hits	12
10	Shots Blocked	15
15	Giveaways	16

PenguinsPIT			AvalancheCOL

33	Shots on Goal	25
57%	Faceoff Win %	43%
2/0	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	1/1
2	Penalty Infraction Mins	4
8	Hits	12
10	Shots Blocked	15
15	Giveaways	16

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Penguins vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Penguins vs. Avalanche
Date: Tuesday, March 4, 2025
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
Total (Over/Under): 6.5
Moneyline Odds: Penguins +230, Avalanche -275

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Penguins: 32%
Avalanche: 68%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 32%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 68%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.