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Flames vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Lightning NHL game on February 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
0
3
Feb 28, 12AM Amalie Arena
Feb 28, 12AM Amalie Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flames | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flames | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
P3 18:06 Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 17:46 Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:24 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 17:09 Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Victor Hedman (Empty Net)
P3 16:19 Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
P3 15:39 Luke Glendening shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:18 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:52 Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
P3 14:11 Shot on goal by Jonathan Huberdeau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:02 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 13:34 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 13:29 Shot missed by Connor Zary
P3 12:36 Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
P3 12:21 Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:11 Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:50 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 11:27 Matt Coronato shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 11:22 Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:17 Power play - Shot missed by Connor Zary
P3 10:44 Power play - Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Kevin Rooney in neutral zone
Penalty to Michael Eyssimont 2 minutes for Misconduct
Giveaway by Connor Zary in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Dustin Wolf
Nick Paul won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Victor Hedman (Empty Net)
0-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
SHOT
Luke Glendening shot blocked by teammate
Takeaway by Nick Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Huberdeau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Zary
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Matt Coronato shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor Zary
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
Power play - Matt Coronato won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Rasmus Andersson)
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
SHOT
MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Flames shot blocked by teammate
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Dustin Wolf
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Brayden Pachal
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by Dustin Wolf
Nick Paul won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Erik Cernak assisted by Brandon Hagel
0-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Lomberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Chaffee
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Kevin Rooney in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Pachal
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Paul won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Dustin Wolf
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Dustin Wolf
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Blake Coleman in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Frost
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nazem Kadri)
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Nick Perbix in defensive zone
Giveaway by Luke Glendening in defensive zone
SHOT
Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Pachal saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Pospisil
SHOT
Brayden Pachal shot blocked by Luke Glendening
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Kevin Rooney won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Penalty to Kevin Bahl 2 minutes for Misconduct
Brayden Point won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Joel Farabee shot blocked by Victor Hedman
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Yegor Sharangovich
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Yegor Sharangovich
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Dustin Wolf
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Jonathan Huberdeau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Lomberg
SHOT
Nick Perbix shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
Giveaway by Joel Farabee in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Pachal
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Coleman
SHOT
MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Matt Coronato shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Dustin Wolf
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Huberdeau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Kevin Rooney won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Mitchell Chaffee shot blocked by Joel Hanley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Flames
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Dustin Wolf
Nick Paul won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Penalty to Blake Coleman 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jonathan Huberdeau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Jonathan Huberdeau)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Huberdeau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Jake Guentzel and Victor Hedman
0-1
Shorthanded - Kevin Rooney won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Dustin Wolf
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Penalty to Nazem Kadri 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by J.J. Moser)
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Dustin Wolf
Blake Coleman won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Pospisil
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Dustin Wolf
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot missed by Joel Hanley
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Solovyov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Martin Pospisil in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Lomberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Kevin Rooney in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Lomberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Kevin Rooney won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Yegor Sharangovich
SHOT
Joel Hanley shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in neutral zone
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Dustin Wolf
Giveaway by MacKenzie Weegar in defensive zone
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
Giveaway by Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 18 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 22 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 18 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 22 |
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Flames vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Flames vs. Lightning
- Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Flames +185, Lightning -220
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Flames: 36%
- Lightning: 64%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 36%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Amalie Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Flames vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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