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Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Bruins NHL game on February 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
4
Feb 26, 12AM TD Garden
Feb 26, 12AM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Bruins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Bruins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
OT1 04:07 Shot missed by Mitch Marner
OT1 03:38 Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 02:33 Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Mitch Marner
OT1 01:49 Shot missed by John Tavares
OT1 01:37 Mason Lohrei shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
OT1 01:27 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 19:53 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Brad Marchand
P3 19:49 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 19:29 Bobby McMann shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 19:12 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 19:12 Goal scored by Pontus Holmberg assisted by Nicholas Robertson
P3 18:51 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 18:11 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 17:20 Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 17:15 Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 16:06 Jake McCabe shot blocked by Cole Koepke
P3 16:01 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 14:51 Shot on goal by Bruins saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 13:20 Shot missed by Conor Timmins
P3 13:11 Shot missed by John Tavares
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Mitch Marner
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Mason Lohrei shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jeremy Swayman
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Brad Marchand
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Jeremy Swayman
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
John Tavares won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
GOAL
Goal scored by Pontus Holmberg assisted by Nicholas Robertson
4-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jeremy Swayman
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Giveaway by Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
Giveaway by Morgan Geekie in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Cole Koepke
Max Domi won faceoff against John Beecher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Andrew Peeke in defensive zone
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bruins saved by Anthony Stolarz
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Takeaway by David Pastrnak in neutral zone
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Anthony Stolarz
Takeaway by David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Anthony Stolarz
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Max Domi won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by David Pastrnak
3-4
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Mitch Marner won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Anthony Stolarz
John Beecher won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jeremy Swayman
David Kampf won faceoff against Matthew Poitras in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
David Pastrnak shot blocked by Jake McCabe
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Anthony Stolarz
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
John Beecher won faceoff against Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Mason Lohrei
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jeremy Swayman
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Michael Callahan in offensive zone
Giveaway by Morgan Geekie in defensive zone
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Michael Callahan
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jeremy Swayman
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Max Domi won faceoff against Matthew Poitras in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mitch Marner
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by John Tavares
2-3
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Charlie Coyle saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Elias Lindholm
Power play - Giveaway by Anthony Stolarz in defensive zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Brad Marchand
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Oliver Wahlstrom 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by David Kampf)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Zacha
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Geekie
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Anthony Stolarz
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Delay of Game
Max Domi won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by John Beecher in neutral zone
Matthew Knies credited with hit on John Beecher in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Poitras
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Poitras
Power play - Giveaway by Brad Marchand in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Jeremy Swayman
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jeremy Swayman
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Matthew Poitras)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
Matthew Poitras won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Max Domi won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by John Beecher
Takeaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
SHOT
David Pastrnak shot blocked by teammate
Morgan Geekie won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Max Domi
SHOT
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Matthew Knies
Giveaway by Matthew Poitras in offensive zone
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Oliver Wahlstrom in offensive zone
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Matthew Poitras in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Geekie
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Morgan Geekie assisted by Elias Lindholm and Brad Marchand
0-3
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Cole Koepke)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Peeke saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charlie Coyle saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jeremy Swayman
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
Penalty to Mason Lohrei 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mitch Marner)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brad Marchand
Power play - Giveaway by Brad Marchand in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Pontus Holmberg 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Cole Koepke)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jeremy Swayman
John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Nikita Zadorov
Power play - Giveaway by Mason Lohrei in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Brad Marchand in offensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Brad Marchand in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Matthew Poitras)
Stoppage - High Stick
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by teammate
David Pastrnak credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Giveaway by Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
Takeaway by Andrew Peeke in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bruins
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Mason Lohrei
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Mason Lohrei
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Brandon Carlo in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Bobby McMann in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
Power play - Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to John Beecher 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Max Domi)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
Giveaway by Conor Timmins in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brad Marchand assisted by David Pastrnak and Mason Lohrei
0-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brad Marchand
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mason Lohrei
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Anthony Stolarz
David Kampf won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Andrew Peeke shot blocked by Alex Steeves
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Peeke
SHOT
Matthew Poitras shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Anthony Stolarz
Oliver Wahlstrom credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
Matthew Poitras won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bruins saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Brad Marchand
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Mason Lohrei in defensive zone
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
Bobby McMann won faceoff against John Beecher in neutral zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Poitras saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Nikita Zadorov
Shorthanded - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Bruins 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Oliver Wahlstrom)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
John Beecher won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Koepke saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jeremy Swayman
Giveaway by Charlie Coyle in neutral zone
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by David Pastrnak
0-1
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 36 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/2 | |||
| 12 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 30 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 19 | Giveaways | 22 |
| |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 36 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/2 | |||
| 12 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 30 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 19 | Giveaways | 22 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Bruins
- Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -152, Bruins +130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 55%
- Bruins: 45%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 55%, while the Bruins have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Bruins in the NHL game at TD Garden on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Bruins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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