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Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Penguins NHL game on January 12, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Lightning
5
2
Jan 12, 10PM PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
Jan 12, 10PM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
0235
Penguins
1012
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
PenguinsPIT
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityLightningPenguinsP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityLightningPenguinsP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 6.5Under 6.5P1P2REG0255075100
TEAM123T
Lightning
0235
Penguins
1012
P3 19:39 Goal scored by Nicholas Paul assisted by Jake Guentzel and Ryan McDonagh (Empty Net)
P3 18:48 Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel (Empty Net)
P3 17:37 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 16:57 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
P3 16:27 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 16:07 Kris Letang shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 14:19 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 13:46 Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 13:46 Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 13:46 Shot missed by Penguins
P3 13:34 Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
P3 12:40 Shot missed by Matt Grzelcyk
P3 11:55 Shot missed by Pierre-Olivier Joseph
P3 11:10 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
P3 11:05 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 09:22 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 09:02 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 07:54 Power play - Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 07:54 Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 07:41 Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:39
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P3 19:39
GOAL
Goal scored by Nicholas Paul assisted by Jake Guentzel and Ryan McDonagh (Empty Net)
5-2
P3 18:48
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P3 18:48
Stoppage - Home Timeout
P3 18:48
GOAL
Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel (Empty Net)
4-2
P3 17:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 17:08
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 17:08
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:57
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 16:57
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
3-2
P3 16:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 16:07
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 14:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 13:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 13:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 13:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P3 13:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
P3 12:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Grzelcyk
P3 11:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre-Olivier Joseph
P3 11:10
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
P3 11:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 09:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 09:02
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 07:56
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Drew O'Connor in defensive zone
P3 07:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 07:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 07:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 07:03
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 06:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matt Grzelcyk
P3 06:40
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P3 06:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 06:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 06:17
Shorthanded - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 06:17
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 06:17
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Erik Karlsson)
P3 05:57
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 05:36
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 05:36
Stoppage - Offside
P3 05:33
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 05:21
Cody Glass won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 05:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 05:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 05:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Jesse Puljujarvi
P3 04:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 04:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 03:38
Giveaway by Pierre-Olivier Joseph in offensive zone
P3 02:54
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Drew O'Connor in defensive zone
P3 02:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 02:47
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
P3 02:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 02:17
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 02:17
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Kevin Hayes assisted by Rickard Rakell and Sidney Crosby
2-2
P3 02:09
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 02:09
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 02:07
SHOT
Power play - Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 01:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 01:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 01:29
SHOT
Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 01:11
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
P3 01:11
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Drew O'Connor)
P3 00:55
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 00:53
Cody Glass won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P3 00:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 00:34
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P3 00:34
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:33
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 00:19
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P3 00:19
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:30
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 19:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 19:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P2 19:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 18:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 18:52
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P2 18:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 18:03
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P2 18:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 18:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 17:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 17:16
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 17:16
Stoppage - Icing
P2 16:51
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P2 16:04
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P2 16:04
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Victor Hedman and Jake Guentzel
2-1
P2 15:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 15:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Philip Tomasino
P2 15:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Grzelcyk
P2 14:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 14:51
SHOT
Cameron Atkinson shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P2 14:30
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P2 14:30
Stoppage - Icing
P2 14:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 14:07
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
P2 13:52
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
P2 13:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 13:36
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 13:36
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 13:26
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 13:26
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:15
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
P2 11:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cody Glass saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 11:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cody Glass saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 11:45
Cody Glass won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 11:45
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P2 11:45
Stoppage - Icing
P2 11:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 11:24
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P2 10:49
SHOT
Luke Glendening shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
P2 10:08
Mitchell Chaffee won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P2 10:08
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 10:04
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Matt Grzelcyk
P2 10:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P2 09:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 09:18
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 09:18
Stoppage
P2 08:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 08:32
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone
P2 08:32
Stoppage - Icing
P2 08:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P2 08:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Philip Tomasino
P2 07:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Pickering
P2 06:54
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P2 06:54
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Anthony Cirelli and Emil Lilleberg
1-1
P2 06:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 06:31
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 06:31
Stoppage
P2 06:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 06:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 05:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 04:55
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 04:55
Penalty to Victor Hedman 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Jesse Puljujarvi)
P2 04:55
Penalty to Jesse Puljujarvi 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Jake Guentzel)
P2 04:52
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
P2 04:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
P2 04:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
P2 04:19
Brayden Point won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P2 04:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jesse Puljujarvi saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 03:16
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
P2 03:16
Stoppage - Offside
P2 02:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 01:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 01:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 01:40
SHOT
Marcus Pettersson shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 01:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P2 00:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P2 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P1 19:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P1 19:09
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 19:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 19:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 19:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 19:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 18:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 18:09
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Luke Glendening in neutral zone
P1 18:09
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 17:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 17:12
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 16:56
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 16:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 15:57
Drew O'Connor won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
P1 15:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Nieto saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 15:53
SHOT
Pierre-Olivier Joseph shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P1 15:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P1 14:20
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P1 14:20
GOAL
Goal scored by Rickard Rakell assisted by Bryan Rust and Marcus Pettersson
0-1
P1 14:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P1 14:12
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
P1 14:12
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P1 13:26
SHOT
Owen Pickering shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P1 12:53
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
P1 12:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 12:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 11:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 11:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 11:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Olivier Joseph saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 10:59
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P1 10:59
Stoppage - Icing
P1 09:18
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P1 09:17
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 09:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 08:25
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 08:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 08:03
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
P1 08:03
Penalty to Victor Hedman 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Anthony Beauvillier)
P1 08:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 07:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P1 07:24
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matt Nieto in neutral zone
P1 07:24
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 06:52
SHOT
Pierre-Olivier Joseph shot blocked by Luke Glendening
P1 06:00
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
P1 06:00
Stoppage
P1 05:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 05:41
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 05:41
Stoppage - Offside
P1 05:19
SHOT
Marcus Pettersson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P1 05:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P1 03:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Pickering saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 03:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P1 03:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Jesse Puljujarvi
P1 02:34
Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 01:12
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P1 01:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P1 00:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P1 00:50
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 00:50
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drew O'Connor saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 00:08
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Cody Glass in defensive zone
P1 00:08
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 00:00
Cody Glass won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Penguins
19Shots on Goal33
46%Faceoff Win %54%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins2
38Hits33
15Shots Blocked11
17Giveaways12
LightningTB
PenguinsPIT
19Shots on Goal33
46%Faceoff Win %54%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins2
38Hits33
15Shots Blocked11
17Giveaways12

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Lightning vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Penguins
  • Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -150, Penguins +130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 58%
  • Penguins: 42%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 58%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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