Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA game on October 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Nuggets
127
114
Target Center
Timberwolves
Target Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 34 | 88 | -20 | 20 | 127 |
Timberwolves | 30 | 77 | -13 | 13 | 114 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Nuggets
- Timberwolves
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 34 | 88 | -20 | 20 | 127 |
Timberwolves | 30 | 77 | -13 | 13 | 114 |
Q4 00:16 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
Q4 1:56 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:02 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:34 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:50 Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets turnover
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot122-107
- Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (Hunter Tyson, DaRon Holmes II, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther)
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +2Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)122-107
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Terrence Shannon Jr. offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Bones Hyland, Johnny Juzang, Joan Beringer, Leonard Miller)
- Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot122-107
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- Aaron Gordon shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Bones Hyland, Johnny Juzang, Naz Reid, Julius Randle)
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Bones Hyland, Johnny Juzang, Leonard Miller, Julius Randle)
- +2Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot122-107
- Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
- Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Aaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Julius Randle steals)
- Jamal Murray offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Aaron Gordon misses two point alley-oop dunk
- Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot120-107
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Peyton Watson blocks Jaden McDaniels's two point driving floating jump shot
- Nuggets turnover
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot122-107
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
- Peyton Watson defensive rebound
- Julius Randle personal foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot116-105
- +2Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot114-105
- Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
- Donte DiVincenzo misses three point running pullup jump shot
- Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Bones Hyland turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
- Bones Hyland defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Jonas Valanciunas personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
- Timberwolves defensive rebound
- +1Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- +1Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- Jamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot
- Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot122-107
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
- Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot122-107
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot104-101
- Rudy Gobert offensive foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
- Rudy Gobert turnover
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- Timberwolves turnover
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Christian Braun misses two point jump shot
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- Donte DiVincenzo misses two point pullup jump shot
- Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
- Christian Braun misses two point cutting layup
- +2Naz Reid makes two point driving floating jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)104-101
- +2Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot122-107
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot102-99
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point running jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Terrence Shannon Jr. draws the foul)
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- Nuggets personal foul
- Timberwolves turnover
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Peyton Watson)
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Peyton Watson)
- Christian Braun turnover
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- Cameron Johnson personal foul
- +1Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- Terrence Shannon Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Terrence Shannon Jr. steals)
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot122-107
- Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Bruce Brown, Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson)
- Cameron Johnson misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Bruce Brown personal foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)
- Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Aaron Gordon)
- +1Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 2 of 2102-96
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Bruce Brown, Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
- Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Nuggets personal foul
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1122-107
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Jonas Valanciunas misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
- +1Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Jamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot
- Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
- Jonas Valanciunas blocks Bones Hyland's two point driving finger roll layup
- +2Jonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)122-107
- Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
- Timberwolves turnover
- +3Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot122-107
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot122-107
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Jaden McDaniels makes two point jump shot122-107
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- Timberwolves turnover
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Julius Randle)
- +3Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot92-87
- +2Rob Dillingham makes two point jump shot89-87
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot122-107
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot120-107
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot122-107
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Rob Dillingham, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Julius Randle)
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1122-107
- Rob Dillingham turnover
- Terrence Shannon Jr. personal foul
- +1Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2120-107
- +1Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- Timberwolves turnover
- Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Rob Dillingham, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid)
- Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- Timberwolves turnover
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- +1Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- Timberwolves lineup change (Rob Dillingham, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo)
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot122-107
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot79-80
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson)
- Timberwolves turnover
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Julius Randle personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 289-87
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 289-87
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Julius Randle misses two point driving floating jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Mike Conley makes technical free throw 1 of 1122-107
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- +2Jaden McDaniels makes two point jump shot122-107
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot122-107
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot122-107
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- Instant replay (Request)
- +1Donte DiVincenzo makes flagrant free throw 3 of 3122-107
- +1Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 3122-107
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
- +1Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 2 of 3122-107
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot122-107
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +3Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Cameron Johnson assists)122-107
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot122-107
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
- Instant replay
- End of 1st Half.
- Nuggets turnover
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
- Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves turnover (shot clock violation)
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Naz Reid offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves defensive rebound
- Jump ball. Jaden McDaniels vs. Christian Braun (Mike Conley gains possession)
- Jaden McDaniels blocks Christian Braun's two point cutting layup
- Nikola Jokic personal foul
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Julius Randle)
- Naz Reid misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
- +2Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot120-107
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
- Cameron Johnson personal foul
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
- Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
- Nuggets turnover
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot122-107
- Nikola Jokic personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaden McDaniels draws the foul)
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
- Instant replay (Challenge)
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-107
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
- Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
- Nikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- Jamal Murray turnover (offensive foul)
- Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
- Terrence Shannon Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot122-107
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-107
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Jaden McDaniels makes two point driving layup120-107
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot120-107
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot122-107
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot92-87
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 192-87
- Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot92-87
- Cameron Johnson shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
- Julius Randle offensive rebound
- Mike Conley misses two point jump shot
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot57-65
- Nuggets personal foul
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson)
- Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
- +3Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Jaden McDaniels assists)57-65
- Mike Conley defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +2Naz Reid makes two point driving floating jump shot (Julius Randle assists)44-41
- Rudy Gobert personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Jonas Valanciunas misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
- Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Jonas Valanciunas)
- +1Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2122-107
- +2Naz Reid makes two point jump shot122-107
- Naz Reid offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Bones Hyland defensive rebound
- Naz Reid blocks Bruce Brown's two point jump shot
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets turnover
- Bruce Brown offensive rebound
- Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
- Bones Hyland personal foul
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Jonas Valanciunas)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Monday, October 27, 2025
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -220, Timberwolves +194
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 72%
- Timberwolves: 28%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 118-111 Timberwolves.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 72%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 28%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Target Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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