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Hornets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hornets vs. Thunder NBA game on January 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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85
:
67
Jan 6, 1AM Paycom Center
Jan 6, 1AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hornets | 33 | 29 | 23 | 0 | 85 |
Thunder | 33 | 12 | 22 | 0 | 67 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
39%
61%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hornets | 33 | 29 | 23 | 0 | 85 |
Thunder | 33 | 12 | 22 | 0 | 67 |
Q3 6:45 Collin Sexton misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 8:40 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
Q3 9:49 Hornets makes two point jump shot
Q3 9:53 Aaron Wiggins blocks Brandon Miller's two point driving layup
Q3 10:58 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q3 11:17 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q3 11:25 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:42 Hornets makes two point jump shot
Q2 00:00 Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot
Q2 00:07 LaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Sion James assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Luguentz Dort personal foul
+1
Kon Knueppel makes regular free throw 3 of 3
85-67
Collin Sexton misses two point driving floating jump shot
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate, Brandon Miller)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-55
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
74-55
LaMelo Ball offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins blocks Brandon Miller's two point driving layup
LaMelo Ball personal foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
85-67
Hornets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
85-67
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
85-67
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot
62-45
End of 1st Half.
Hornets lineup change (Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Brandon Miller)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
LaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Sion James assists)
62-45
+3
Chet Holmgren makes three point jump shot
62-45
Hornets 60 second timeout
LaMelo Ball offensive foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
LaMelo Ball turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay
+1
LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-45
+1
LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-45
Hornets challenge timeout
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot
Brandon Miller turnover (lost ball) (Cason Wallace steals)
Sion James personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-45
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Brandon Miller)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
62-45
Thunder personal foul
+1
Miles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 1
62-45
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell)
Hornets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
62-44
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot
56-44
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Collin Sexton turnover (offensive foul)
Kon Knueppel personal foul (Ajay Mitchell draws the foul)
Ajay Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Collin Sexton, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-41
+2
Moussa Diabate makes two point cutting dunk (Miles Bridges assists)
56-40
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Collin Sexton, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate)
Brandon Miller personal foul (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)
Thunder offensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
Hornets turnover
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Luguentz Dort shooting foul (Brandon Miller draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 1 of 3
56-40
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 2 of 3
56-40
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 3 of 3
56-40
Hornets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
+3
Brandon Miller makes three point jump shot (Collin Sexton assists)
51-40
Luguentz Dort turnover
Thunder offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Brandon Miller makes three point jump shot
48-40
Tidjane Salaun defensive rebound
Hornets 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Collin Sexton, Miles Bridges, Moussa Diabate, Brandon Miller)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Tidjane Salaun defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Kon Knueppel turnover (offensive foul)
Hornets personal foul
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-40
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
45-39
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-39
Hornets turnover
Hornets personal foul
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Thunder offensive rebound
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
43-36
Tidjane Salaun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (PJ Hall, Sion James, Tidjane Salaun, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
40-36
PJ Hall defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Hornets turnover
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-36
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
38-35
Brandon Miller offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-34
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-35
Hornets turnover
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets turnover
Hornets personal foul
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
35-33
Tidjane Salaun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Hornets turnover
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Hornets lineup change (PJ Hall, Tidjane Salaun, Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Brandon Miller)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
33-33
Josh Green defensive rebound
Thunder turnover
Hornets turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Tidjane Salaun, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate, Brandon Miller)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
33-31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
31-31
PJ Hall offensive rebound
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
31-28
Sion James offensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Sion James defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
29-28
Hornets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
29-26
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
29-24
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
27-24
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
27-21
Thunder violation
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-21
Hornets 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (PJ Hall, Sion James, Collin Sexton, Josh Green, Miles Bridges)
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-18
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-19
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Collin Sexton, Josh Green, Miles Bridges, Moussa Diabate)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
25-17
Thunder violation
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-17
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
23-14
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
23-12
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
21-12
Hornets turnover
Hornets turnover
Thunder turnover
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Josh Green, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate)
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
21-9
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Miles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-9
+1
Miles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-9
Chet Holmgren kicked ball violation
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
17-9
Moussa Diabate misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hornets offensive rebound
+1
Moussa Diabate makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-7
Luguentz Dort shooting foul (Moussa Diabate draws the foul)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Game Prediction Article
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Hornets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Hornets vs. Thunder
- Date: Monday, January 5, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -15.5
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5
- Moneyline Odds: Hornets +800, Thunder -1000
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Hornets: 13%
- Thunder: 87%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Hornets 111-124 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hornets a win probability of 13%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Hornets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Hornets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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