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Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Hawks NBA game on October 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Thunder
117
100
Oct 25, 11:30PM State Farm Arena
Hawks
Oct 25, 11:30PM State Farm Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Thunder
31 29 39 18 117
Hawks
26 29 25 20 100
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
ThunderOKC
Win %
>99%
<1%
HawksATL
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
31 29 39 18 117
Hawks
26 29 25 20 100
Q4 00:26 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:45 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:03 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:24 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:38 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:59 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:01
Thunder turnover
Q4 00:26
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
117-99
Q4 00:26
Jaylin Williams turnover
Q4 00:26
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:26
+1
N'Faly Dante makes regular free throw 1 of 1
117-100
Q4 00:38
Hawks personal foul
Q4 00:38
+1
Chris Youngblood makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-97
Q4 00:38
+1
Chris Youngblood makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-97
Q4 00:48
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:48
Asa Newell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 00:48
Hawks offensive rebound
Q4 00:48
+1
Asa Newell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-97
Q4 00:54
Thunder turnover
Q4 1:03
Thunder personal foul
Q4 1:03
Keaton Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 1:03
Hawks offensive rebound
Q4 1:03
+1
Keaton Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-96
Q4 1:05
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 1:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:22
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Q4 1:27
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:48
Hawks personal foul
Q4 1:48
+1
Chris Youngblood makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-95
Q4 1:48
+1
Chris Youngblood makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-95
Q4 2:03
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:04
Hawks offensive rebound
Q4 2:04
Hawks turnover
Q4 2:04
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Branden Carlson, Chris Youngblood, Brooks Barnhizer, Ousmane Dieng)
Q4 2:04
Hawks lineup change (Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Jacob Toppin, Caleb Houstan, N'Faly Dante)
Q4 2:16
Asa Newell offensive rebound
Q4 2:20
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:26
Thunder turnover
Q4 2:45
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
113-95
Q4 2:55
Thunder turnover
Q4 2:58
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Q4 3:03
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:20
N'Faly Dante defensive rebound
Q4 3:24
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:38
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
113-92
Q4 3:56
Asa Newell defensive rebound
Q4 3:59
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:12
Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
Q4 4:15
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:18
Asa Newell offensive rebound
Q4 4:22
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:46
Hawks defensive rebound
Q4 4:46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:46
Hawks 60 second timeout
Q4 4:46
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Chris Youngblood, Ajay Mitchell, Brooks Barnhizer, Ousmane Dieng)
Q4 4:46
Hawks lineup change (Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Jacob Toppin, N'Faly Dante, Vit Krejci)
Q4 5:05
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:06
Vit Krejci offensive rebound
Q4 5:06
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:06
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 5:10
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:19
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:29
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Q4 5:32
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:32
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 5:32
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
113-90
Q4 5:32
Hawks personal foul
Q4 5:32
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q4 5:39
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q4 5:40
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:40
Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
Q4 5:45
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:47
Trae Young defensive rebound
Q4 5:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:59
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:11
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
111-90
Q4 6:22
Hawks personal foul
Q4 6:22
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-87
Q4 6:22
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-87
Q4 6:32
Hawks personal foul
Q4 6:32
Hawks 60 second timeout
Q4 6:32
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 6:32
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Mouhamed Gueye, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q4 6:37
Hawks turnover
Q4 6:50
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
109-87
Q4 6:51
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 6:53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:06
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 7:09
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:15
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q4 7:15
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:15
Trae Young defensive rebound
Q4 7:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:37
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
106-87
Q4 7:44
Thunder turnover
Q4 7:50
Hawks personal foul
Q4 8:01
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q4 8:06
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:17
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q4 8:17
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point tip layup
106-84
Q4 8:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:32
Hawks personal foul
Q4 8:32
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 8:32
Chet Holmgren misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Q4 8:47
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
104-84
Q4 8:50
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 8:56
Asa Newell offensive rebound
Q4 8:58
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
104-82
Q4 9:23
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 9:23
Hawks personal foul
Q4 9:23
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q4 9:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:37
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 9:40
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
102-82
Q4 10:08
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
100-82
Q4 10:08
Asa Newell offensive rebound
Q4 10:12
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:29
Hawks personal foul
Q4 10:29
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-80
Q4 10:29
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (lane violation)
Q4 10:29
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Luke Kennard)
Q4 10:32
Hawks turnover
Q4 10:34
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q4 10:37
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:50
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 10:53
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:57
Asa Newell defensive rebound
Q4 11:01
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:15
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 11:18
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:25
Asa Newell defensive rebound
Q4 11:28
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:44
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 11:47
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 12:00
Hawks lineup change (Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard)
Q3 00:02
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:12
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q3 00:12
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 00:12
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Chris Youngblood, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 00:14
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:21
Thunder personal foul
Q3 00:21
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 00:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-80
Q3 00:32
Hawks personal foul
Q3 00:32
Asa Newell turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 00:32
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Chris Youngblood, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 00:46
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
97-80
Q3 00:53
Hawks turnover
Q3 1:10
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
94-80
Q3 1:33
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
91-80
Q3 1:53
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 1:53
Thunder turnover
Q3 1:59
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Q3 2:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:14
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard)
Q3 2:22
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:22
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 2:22
Instant replay
Q3 2:22
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:22
Thunder challenge timeout
Q3 2:22
Thunder defensive rebound
Q3 2:33
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Q3 2:36
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:56
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 2:56
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 2:56
Thunder challenge timeout
Q3 2:57
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
91-77
Q3 2:59
Asa Newell offensive rebound
Q3 3:01
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:22
Hawks personal foul
Q3 3:22
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-74
Q3 3:22
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, N'Faly Dante, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard)
Q3 3:22
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Brooks Barnhizer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 3:22
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-74
Q3 3:33
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
89-74
Q3 3:43
Thunder turnover
Q3 3:43
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard)
Q3 3:43
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Brooks Barnhizer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 3:56
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
89-71
Q3 4:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
89-69
Q3 4:18
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 4:22
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:41
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
87-69
Q3 4:43
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q3 4:45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:52
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 4:56
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:09
Thunder personal foul
Q3 5:09
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-68
Q3 5:09
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q3 5:09
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 5:09
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-69
Q3 5:23
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
84-67
Q3 5:27
Hawks turnover
Q3 5:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
82-67
Q3 5:53
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
80-67
Q3 6:11
Hawks 60 second timeout
Q3 6:11
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q3 6:11
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q3 6:11
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 6:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-65
Q3 6:21
Hawks turnover
Q3 6:28
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q3 6:31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:40
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 6:44
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:59
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
78-65
Q3 7:04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q3 7:05
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 7:05
Chet Holmgren misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:09
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 7:20
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 7:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:35
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
75-65
Q3 7:44
Hawks personal foul
Q3 7:44
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q3 7:44
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-63
Q3 7:44
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-63
Q3 7:48
Hawks turnover
Q3 7:54
Thunder turnover
Q3 8:10
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
73-63
Q3 8:22
Hawks personal foul
Q3 8:22
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-60
Q3 8:22
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-60
Q3 8:25
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q3 8:27
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:39
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
71-60
Q3 8:57
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
71-57
Q3 9:11
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 9:11
Hawks personal foul
Q3 9:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:20
Hawks personal foul
Q3 9:31
Thunder personal foul
Q3 9:31
+1
Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-56
Q3 9:31
+1
Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-57
Q3 9:31
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 9:41
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
68-55
Q3 9:49
Hawks turnover
Q3 9:52
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Q3 9:55
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:20
Hawks turnover
Q3 10:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
64-55
Q3 10:43
Hawks personal foul
Q3 10:43
Instant replay
Q3 10:43
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
65-55
Q3 10:52
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 10:54
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:02
Hawks offensive rebound
Q3 11:02
Thunder personal foul
Q3 11:03
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:28
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
62-55
Q3 11:36
Hawks turnover
Q3 11:41
Thunder turnover
Q3 11:47
Hawks personal foul
Q2 00:00
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:00
Hawks offensive rebound
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 00:02
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Q2 00:05
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-55
Q2 00:27
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 00:30
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:50
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-55
Q2 1:03
Hawks turnover
Q2 1:13
Trae Young defensive rebound
Q2 1:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:31
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
56-55
Q2 1:40
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q2 1:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:00
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 2:02
Thunder personal foul
Q2 2:02
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-53
Q2 2:02
Trae Young misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 2:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-52
Q2 2:13
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q2 2:15
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:39
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:39
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
54-52
Q2 2:39
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 2:39
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 2:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
54-49
Q2 3:12
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
52-49
Q2 3:23
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
52-46
Q2 3:33
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
49-46
Q2 3:39
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Q2 3:42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:58
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 4:01
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
49-44
Q2 4:01
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:01
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 4:01
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 4:01
Mouhamed Gueye misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 4:04
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q2 4:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
49-42
Q2 4:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:30
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
47-42
Q2 4:36
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Q2 4:39
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:51
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:51
Mouhamed Gueye misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 4:51
Hawks offensive rebound
Q2 4:51
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q2 4:51
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 4:51
+1
Mouhamed Gueye makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-40
Q2 5:02
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-39
Q2 5:14
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
45-39
Q2 5:18
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Q2 5:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:27
Hawks personal foul
Q2 5:30
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Q2 5:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:50
Hawks personal foul
Q2 5:50
Asa Newell turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 6:02
Thunder personal foul
Q2 6:02
Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 6:14
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 6:17
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:19
Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
Q2 6:22
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:37
Hawks 60 second timeout
Q2 6:37
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 6:37
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Mouhamed Gueye, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q2 6:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
45-36
Q2 6:51
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
43-36
Q2 7:05
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-34
Q2 7:12
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 7:14
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:32
Thunder personal foul
Q2 7:32
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 7:32
Hawks lineup change (Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q2 7:36
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q2 7:39
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:53
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
40-34
Q2 8:11
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q2 8:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:31
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
40-31
Q2 8:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-29
Q2 8:46
Hawks personal foul
Q2 8:46
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Chris Youngblood, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 8:46
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
40-29
Q2 8:58
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 9:01
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:15
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q2 9:19
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:26
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 9:30
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:42
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q2 9:42
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
37-29
Q2 9:47
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:09
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q2 10:12
Thunder personal foul
Q2 10:12
+1
Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-29
Q2 10:12
Dyson Daniels misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 10:18
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-28
Q2 10:31
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 10:32
+1
Vit Krejci makes regular free throw 1 of 3
33-27
Q2 10:32
Thunder personal foul
Q2 10:32
Vit Krejci misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Q2 10:32
+1
Vit Krejci makes regular free throw 2 of 3
33-28
Q2 10:50
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
33-26
Q2 10:54
Hawks turnover
Q2 10:58
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Q2 11:01
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:10
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Q2 11:14
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:23
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q2 11:26
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:32
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 11:38
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q2 11:41
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:47
Hawks personal foul
Q1 00:00
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Hawks lineup change (Keaton Wallace, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chris Youngblood, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 00:03
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:23
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 00:25
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:38
N'Faly Dante defensive rebound
Q1 00:41
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:01
Thunder personal foul
Q1 1:01
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-25
Q1 1:01
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-26
Q1 1:01
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Brooks Barnhizer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 1:06
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Q1 1:09
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:25
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
31-24
Q1 1:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
31-21
Q1 1:49
Hawks turnover
Q1 1:56
Thunder personal foul
Q1 2:07
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
29-21
Q1 2:10
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Q1 2:12
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:14
N'Faly Dante offensive rebound
Q1 2:14
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:14
N'Faly Dante offensive rebound
Q1 2:19
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-21
Q1 2:36
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q1 2:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:54
Hawks personal foul
Q1 2:54
Vit Krejci turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 2:54
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, N'Faly Dante, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard)
Q1 2:54
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Brooks Barnhizer)
Q1 3:00
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q1 3:02
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:19
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
24-21
Q1 3:28
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-18
Q1 3:41
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 3:44
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:48
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q1 3:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:53
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q1 3:57
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:07
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Q1 4:09
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:24
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
22-18
Q1 4:28
Asa Newell offensive rebound
Q1 4:30
Asa Newell offensive rebound
Q1 4:30
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:36
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:45
Thunder personal foul
Q1 5:00
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
22-16
Q1 5:00
Hawks 60 second timeout
Q1 5:00
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q1 5:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Q1 5:13
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
19-16
Q1 5:32
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
19-14
Q1 5:39
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 5:43
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 5:53
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 6:13
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
17-14
Q1 6:31
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 6:31
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Q1 6:31
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q1 6:32
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
14-14
Q1 6:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-12
Q1 6:57
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
12-12
Q1 7:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:08
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q1 7:08
Hawks personal foul
Q1 7:08
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-10
Q1 7:08
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-10
Q1 7:22
Hawks personal foul
Q1 7:22
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 7:23
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:26
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Q1 7:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:40
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
10-10
Q1 7:45
Thunder turnover
Q1 7:56
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 8:00
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:08
Thunder personal foul
Q1 8:19
Thunder turnover
Q1 8:26
Hawks turnover
Q1 8:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
10-8
Q1 8:56
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 8:59
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:21
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Q1 9:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:40
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
8-8
Q1 9:56
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
8-5
Q1 10:13
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
5-5
Q1 10:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
5-2
Q1 10:33
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 10:37
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:44
Trae Young defensive rebound
Q1 10:47
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:05
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
3-2
Q1 11:16
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
3-0
Q1 11:26
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 11:29
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:34
Nickeil Alexander-Walker offensive rebound
Q1 11:36
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 12:00
(Dyson Daniels gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
C15 B. Carlson000
F6 J. Williams730
F13 O. Dieng020
G3 C. Youngblood410
G23 B. Barnhizer010
Hawks
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F0 J. Toppin200
F14 A. Newell12111
C12 N. Dante140
G33 C. Houstan000
G2 K. Wallace511

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Thunder vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Hawks
  • Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -350, Hawks +325

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 75%
  • Hawks: 25%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 121-114 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 75%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 25%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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