Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Hawks NBA game on October 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Thunder
117
100
State Farm Arena
Hawks
State Farm Arena
TEAM1234T
Thunder
31 29 39 18 117
Hawks
26 29 25 20 100
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Thunder
    >99%
  • Hawks
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
31 29 39 18 117
Hawks
26 29 25 20 100
Q4 00:26 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:45 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:03 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:24 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:38 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:59 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:01
    Thunder turnover
  3. Q4 00:26
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    117-99
  4. Q4 00:26
    Jaylin Williams turnover
  5. Q4 00:26
    Thunder personal foul
  6. Q4 00:26
    +1
    N'Faly Dante makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    117-100
  7. Q4 00:38
    Hawks personal foul
  8. Q4 00:38
    +1
    Chris Youngblood makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-97
  9. Q4 00:38
    +1
    Chris Youngblood makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    117-97
  10. Q4 00:48
    Thunder personal foul
  11. Q4 00:48
    Asa Newell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  12. Q4 00:48
    Hawks offensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:48
    +1
    Asa Newell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-97
  14. Q4 00:54
    Thunder turnover
  15. Q4 1:03
    Thunder personal foul
  16. Q4 1:03
    Keaton Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  17. Q4 1:03
    Hawks offensive rebound
  18. Q4 1:03
    +1
    Keaton Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-96
  19. Q4 1:05
    Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:08
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  21. Q4 1:22
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:27
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  23. Q4 1:48
    Hawks personal foul
  24. Q4 1:48
    +1
    Chris Youngblood makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    114-95
  25. Q4 1:48
    +1
    Chris Youngblood makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-95
  26. Q4 2:03
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 2:04
    Hawks offensive rebound
  28. Q4 2:04
    Hawks turnover
  29. Q4 2:04
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Branden Carlson, Chris Youngblood, Brooks Barnhizer, Ousmane Dieng)
  30. Q4 2:04
    Hawks lineup change (Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Jacob Toppin, Caleb Houstan, N'Faly Dante)
  31. Q4 2:16
    Asa Newell offensive rebound
  32. Q4 2:20
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  33. Q4 2:26
    Thunder turnover
  34. Q4 2:45
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    113-95
  35. Q4 2:55
    Thunder turnover
  36. Q4 2:58
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  37. Q4 3:03
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  38. Q4 3:20
    N'Faly Dante defensive rebound
  39. Q4 3:24
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  40. Q4 3:38
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    113-92
  41. Q4 3:56
    Asa Newell defensive rebound
  42. Q4 3:59
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 4:12
    Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
  44. Q4 4:15
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  45. Q4 4:18
    Asa Newell offensive rebound
  46. Q4 4:22
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  47. Q4 4:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  48. Q4 4:46
    Hawks defensive rebound
  49. Q4 4:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  50. Q4 4:46
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  51. Q4 4:46
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Chris Youngblood, Ajay Mitchell, Brooks Barnhizer, Ousmane Dieng)
  52. Q4 4:46
    Hawks lineup change (Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Jacob Toppin, N'Faly Dante, Vit Krejci)
  53. Q4 5:05
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  54. Q4 5:06
    Vit Krejci offensive rebound
  55. Q4 5:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  56. Q4 5:06
    Thunder defensive rebound
  57. Q4 5:10
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  58. Q4 5:19
    Thunder personal foul
  59. Q4 5:29
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  60. Q4 5:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  61. Q4 5:32
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  62. Q4 5:32
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    113-90
  63. Q4 5:32
    Hawks personal foul
  64. Q4 5:32
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  65. Q4 5:39
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  66. Q4 5:40
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  67. Q4 5:40
    Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
  68. Q4 5:45
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  69. Q4 5:47
    Trae Young defensive rebound
  70. Q4 5:50
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  71. Q4 5:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  72. Q4 6:11
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    111-90
  73. Q4 6:22
    Hawks personal foul
  74. Q4 6:22
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    110-87
  75. Q4 6:22
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-87
  76. Q4 6:32
    Hawks personal foul
  77. Q4 6:32
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  78. Q4 6:32
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
  79. Q4 6:32
    Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Mouhamed Gueye, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  80. Q4 6:37
    Hawks turnover
  81. Q4 6:50
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    109-87
  82. Q4 6:51
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  83. Q4 6:53
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  84. Q4 7:06
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  85. Q4 7:09
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  86. Q4 7:15
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  87. Q4 7:15
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  88. Q4 7:15
    Trae Young defensive rebound
  89. Q4 7:20
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  90. Q4 7:37
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    106-87
  91. Q4 7:44
    Thunder turnover
  92. Q4 7:50
    Hawks personal foul
  93. Q4 8:01
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  94. Q4 8:06
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  95. Q4 8:17
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  96. Q4 8:17
    +2
    Chet Holmgren makes two point tip layup
    106-84
  97. Q4 8:20
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  98. Q4 8:32
    Hawks personal foul
  99. Q4 8:32
    Thunder offensive rebound
  100. Q4 8:32
    Chet Holmgren misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  101. Q4 8:47
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    104-84
  102. Q4 8:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  103. Q4 8:56
    Asa Newell offensive rebound
  104. Q4 8:58
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  105. Q4 9:08
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    104-82
  106. Q4 9:23
    Thunder offensive rebound
  107. Q4 9:23
    Hawks personal foul
  108. Q4 9:23
    Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  109. Q4 9:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  110. Q4 9:37
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  111. Q4 9:40
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  112. Q4 9:52
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    102-82
  113. Q4 10:08
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    100-82
  114. Q4 10:08
    Asa Newell offensive rebound
  115. Q4 10:12
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  116. Q4 10:29
    Hawks personal foul
  117. Q4 10:29
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    100-80
  118. Q4 10:29
    Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (lane violation)
  119. Q4 10:29
    Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Luke Kennard)
  120. Q4 10:32
    Hawks turnover
  121. Q4 10:34
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  122. Q4 10:37
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  123. Q4 10:50
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  124. Q4 10:53
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  125. Q4 10:57
    Asa Newell defensive rebound
  126. Q4 11:01
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  127. Q4 11:15
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  128. Q4 11:18
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  129. Q4 11:25
    Asa Newell defensive rebound
  130. Q4 11:28
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  131. Q4 11:44
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  132. Q4 11:47
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  133. Q3 00:00
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  134. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  135. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
  136. Q4 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard)
  137. Q3 00:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  138. Q3 00:12
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  139. Q3 00:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  140. Q3 00:12
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Chris Youngblood, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  141. Q3 00:14
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  142. Q3 00:21
    Thunder personal foul
  143. Q3 00:21
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  144. Q3 00:26
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    99-80
  145. Q3 00:32
    Hawks personal foul
  146. Q3 00:32
    Asa Newell turnover (offensive foul)
  147. Q3 00:32
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Chris Youngblood, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  148. Q3 00:46
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    97-80
  149. Q3 00:53
    Hawks turnover
  150. Q3 1:10
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    94-80
  151. Q3 1:33
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    91-80
  152. Q3 1:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  153. Q3 1:53
    Thunder turnover
  154. Q3 1:59
    Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
  155. Q3 2:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  156. Q3 2:14
    Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard)
  157. Q3 2:22
    Thunder personal foul
  158. Q3 2:22
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  159. Q3 2:22
    Instant replay
  160. Q3 2:22
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  161. Q3 2:22
    Thunder challenge timeout
  162. Q3 2:22
    Thunder defensive rebound
  163. Q3 2:33
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  164. Q3 2:36
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  165. Q3 2:56
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  166. Q3 2:56
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  167. Q3 2:56
    Thunder challenge timeout
  168. Q3 2:57
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    91-77
  169. Q3 2:59
    Asa Newell offensive rebound
  170. Q3 3:01
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  171. Q3 3:22
    Hawks personal foul
  172. Q3 3:22
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-74
  173. Q3 3:22
    Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, N'Faly Dante, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard)
  174. Q3 3:22
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Brooks Barnhizer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  175. Q3 3:22
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-74
  176. Q3 3:33
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    89-74
  177. Q3 3:43
    Thunder turnover
  178. Q3 3:43
    Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard)
  179. Q3 3:43
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Brooks Barnhizer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  180. Q3 3:56
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    89-71
  181. Q3 4:10
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    89-69
  182. Q3 4:18
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  183. Q3 4:22
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  184. Q3 4:41
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    87-69
  185. Q3 4:43
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  186. Q3 4:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  187. Q3 4:52
    Thunder offensive rebound
  188. Q3 4:56
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  189. Q3 5:09
    Thunder personal foul
  190. Q3 5:09
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-68
  191. Q3 5:09
    Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  192. Q3 5:09
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  193. Q3 5:09
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-69
  194. Q3 5:23
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    84-67
  195. Q3 5:27
    Hawks turnover
  196. Q3 5:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    82-67
  197. Q3 5:53
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    80-67
  198. Q3 6:11
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  199. Q3 6:11
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  200. Q3 6:11
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  201. Q3 6:11
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  202. Q3 6:12
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    80-65
  203. Q3 6:21
    Hawks turnover
  204. Q3 6:28
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  205. Q3 6:31
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  206. Q3 6:40
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  207. Q3 6:44
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  208. Q3 6:59
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    78-65
  209. Q3 7:04
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
  210. Q3 7:05
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  211. Q3 7:05
    Chet Holmgren misses two point jump shot
  212. Q3 7:09
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  213. Q3 7:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  214. Q3 7:20
    Thunder offensive rebound
  215. Q3 7:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  216. Q3 7:35
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    75-65
  217. Q3 7:44
    Hawks personal foul
  218. Q3 7:44
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  219. Q3 7:44
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    74-63
  220. Q3 7:44
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    75-63
  221. Q3 7:48
    Hawks turnover
  222. Q3 7:54
    Thunder turnover
  223. Q3 8:10
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    73-63
  224. Q3 8:22
    Hawks personal foul
  225. Q3 8:22
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    72-60
  226. Q3 8:22
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    73-60
  227. Q3 8:25
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  228. Q3 8:27
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  229. Q3 8:39
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    71-60
  230. Q3 8:57
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    71-57
  231. Q3 9:11
    Thunder offensive rebound
  232. Q3 9:11
    Hawks personal foul
  233. Q3 9:13
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  234. Q3 9:20
    Hawks personal foul
  235. Q3 9:31
    Thunder personal foul
  236. Q3 9:31
    +1
    Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    68-56
  237. Q3 9:31
    +1
    Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-57
  238. Q3 9:31
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  239. Q3 9:41
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    68-55
  240. Q3 9:49
    Hawks turnover
  241. Q3 9:52
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  242. Q3 9:55
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  243. Q3 10:20
    Hawks turnover
  244. Q3 10:43
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    64-55
  245. Q3 10:43
    Hawks personal foul
  246. Q3 10:43
    Instant replay
  247. Q3 10:43
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    65-55
  248. Q3 10:52
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  249. Q3 10:54
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  250. Q3 11:02
    Hawks offensive rebound
  251. Q3 11:02
    Thunder personal foul
  252. Q3 11:03
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  253. Q3 11:28
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    62-55
  254. Q3 11:36
    Hawks turnover
  255. Q3 11:41
    Thunder turnover
  256. Q3 11:47
    Hawks personal foul
  257. Q2 00:00
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  258. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  259. Q2 00:00
    Hawks offensive rebound
  260. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  261. Q2 00:02
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  262. Q2 00:05
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  263. Q2 00:19
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    60-55
  264. Q2 00:27
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  265. Q2 00:30
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  266. Q2 00:50
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    58-55
  267. Q2 1:03
    Hawks turnover
  268. Q2 1:13
    Trae Young defensive rebound
  269. Q2 1:18
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  270. Q2 1:31
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    56-55
  271. Q2 1:40
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  272. Q2 1:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  273. Q2 2:00
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  274. Q2 2:02
    Thunder personal foul
  275. Q2 2:02
    +1
    Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    56-53
  276. Q2 2:02
    Trae Young misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  277. Q2 2:11
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    56-52
  278. Q2 2:13
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  279. Q2 2:15
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  280. Q2 2:39
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 2:39
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    54-52
  282. Q2 2:39
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  283. Q2 2:39
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  284. Q2 2:56
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    54-49
  285. Q2 3:12
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    52-49
  286. Q2 3:23
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    52-46
  287. Q2 3:33
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    49-46
  288. Q2 3:39
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  289. Q2 3:42
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  290. Q2 3:58
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  291. Q2 4:01
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    49-44
  292. Q2 4:01
    Thunder personal foul
  293. Q2 4:01
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  294. Q2 4:01
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  295. Q2 4:01
    Mouhamed Gueye misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  296. Q2 4:04
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  297. Q2 4:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    49-42
  298. Q2 4:08
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  299. Q2 4:30
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    47-42
  300. Q2 4:36
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  301. Q2 4:39
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  302. Q2 4:51
    Thunder personal foul
  303. Q2 4:51
    Mouhamed Gueye misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  304. Q2 4:51
    Hawks offensive rebound
  305. Q2 4:51
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  306. Q2 4:51
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  307. Q2 4:51
    +1
    Mouhamed Gueye makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-40
  308. Q2 5:02
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    47-39
  309. Q2 5:14
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    45-39
  310. Q2 5:18
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  311. Q2 5:20
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  312. Q2 5:27
    Hawks personal foul
  313. Q2 5:30
    Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
  314. Q2 5:33
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  315. Q2 5:50
    Hawks personal foul
  316. Q2 5:50
    Asa Newell turnover (offensive foul)
  317. Q2 6:02
    Thunder personal foul
  318. Q2 6:02
    Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
  319. Q2 6:14
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  320. Q2 6:17
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  321. Q2 6:19
    Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
  322. Q2 6:22
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  323. Q2 6:37
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  324. Q2 6:37
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
  325. Q2 6:37
    Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Mouhamed Gueye, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  326. Q2 6:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    45-36
  327. Q2 6:51
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    43-36
  328. Q2 7:05
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    43-34
  329. Q2 7:12
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  330. Q2 7:14
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  331. Q2 7:32
    Thunder personal foul
  332. Q2 7:32
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  333. Q2 7:32
    Hawks lineup change (Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  334. Q2 7:36
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  335. Q2 7:39
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  336. Q2 7:53
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    40-34
  337. Q2 8:11
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  338. Q2 8:13
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  339. Q2 8:31
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    40-31
  340. Q2 8:46
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    39-29
  341. Q2 8:46
    Hawks personal foul
  342. Q2 8:46
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Chris Youngblood, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  343. Q2 8:46
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    40-29
  344. Q2 8:58
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  345. Q2 9:01
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  346. Q2 9:15
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  347. Q2 9:19
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  348. Q2 9:26
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  349. Q2 9:30
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  350. Q2 9:42
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  351. Q2 9:42
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    37-29
  352. Q2 9:47
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  353. Q2 10:09
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  354. Q2 10:12
    Thunder personal foul
  355. Q2 10:12
    +1
    Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    35-29
  356. Q2 10:12
    Dyson Daniels misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  357. Q2 10:18
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    35-28
  358. Q2 10:31
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  359. Q2 10:32
    +1
    Vit Krejci makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    33-27
  360. Q2 10:32
    Thunder personal foul
  361. Q2 10:32
    Vit Krejci misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  362. Q2 10:32
    +1
    Vit Krejci makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    33-28
  363. Q2 10:50
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    33-26
  364. Q2 10:54
    Hawks turnover
  365. Q2 10:58
    Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
  366. Q2 11:01
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  367. Q2 11:10
    Vit Krejci defensive rebound
  368. Q2 11:14
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  369. Q2 11:23
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  370. Q2 11:26
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  371. Q2 11:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  372. Q2 11:38
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  373. Q2 11:41
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  374. Q2 11:47
    Hawks personal foul
  375. Q1 00:00
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  376. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  377. Q2 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Keaton Wallace, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard)
  378. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chris Youngblood, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  379. Q1 00:03
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  380. Q1 00:23
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  381. Q1 00:25
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  382. Q1 00:38
    N'Faly Dante defensive rebound
  383. Q1 00:41
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  384. Q1 1:01
    Thunder personal foul
  385. Q1 1:01
    +1
    Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    31-25
  386. Q1 1:01
    +1
    Trae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    31-26
  387. Q1 1:01
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Brooks Barnhizer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  388. Q1 1:06
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  389. Q1 1:09
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  390. Q1 1:25
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    31-24
  391. Q1 1:44
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    31-21
  392. Q1 1:49
    Hawks turnover
  393. Q1 1:56
    Thunder personal foul
  394. Q1 2:07
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    29-21
  395. Q1 2:10
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  396. Q1 2:12
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  397. Q1 2:14
    N'Faly Dante offensive rebound
  398. Q1 2:14
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  399. Q1 2:14
    N'Faly Dante offensive rebound
  400. Q1 2:19
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  401. Q1 2:31
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    26-21
  402. Q1 2:36
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  403. Q1 2:40
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  404. Q1 2:54
    Hawks personal foul
  405. Q1 2:54
    Vit Krejci turnover (offensive foul)
  406. Q1 2:54
    Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, N'Faly Dante, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard)
  407. Q1 2:54
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Brooks Barnhizer)
  408. Q1 3:00
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  409. Q1 3:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  410. Q1 3:19
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    24-21
  411. Q1 3:28
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    24-18
  412. Q1 3:41
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  413. Q1 3:44
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  414. Q1 3:48
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  415. Q1 3:50
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  416. Q1 3:53
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  417. Q1 3:57
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  418. Q1 4:07
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  419. Q1 4:09
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  420. Q1 4:24
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    22-18
  421. Q1 4:28
    Asa Newell offensive rebound
  422. Q1 4:30
    Asa Newell offensive rebound
  423. Q1 4:30
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  424. Q1 4:36
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  425. Q1 4:45
    Thunder personal foul
  426. Q1 5:00
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    22-16
  427. Q1 5:00
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  428. Q1 5:00
    Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  429. Q1 5:00
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
  430. Q1 5:13
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    19-16
  431. Q1 5:32
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    19-14
  432. Q1 5:39
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  433. Q1 5:43
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  434. Q1 5:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  435. Q1 5:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  436. Q1 6:13
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    17-14
  437. Q1 6:31
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  438. Q1 6:31
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
  439. Q1 6:31
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  440. Q1 6:32
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    14-14
  441. Q1 6:43
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    14-12
  442. Q1 6:57
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    12-12
  443. Q1 7:08
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  444. Q1 7:08
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  445. Q1 7:08
    Hawks personal foul
  446. Q1 7:08
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    11-10
  447. Q1 7:08
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    12-10
  448. Q1 7:22
    Hawks personal foul
  449. Q1 7:22
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  450. Q1 7:23
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  451. Q1 7:26
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  452. Q1 7:29
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  453. Q1 7:40
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    10-10
  454. Q1 7:45
    Thunder turnover
  455. Q1 7:56
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  456. Q1 8:00
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  457. Q1 8:08
    Thunder personal foul
  458. Q1 8:19
    Thunder turnover
  459. Q1 8:26
    Hawks turnover
  460. Q1 8:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    10-8
  461. Q1 8:56
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  462. Q1 8:59
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  463. Q1 9:21
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  464. Q1 9:23
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  465. Q1 9:40
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    8-8
  466. Q1 9:56
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    8-5
  467. Q1 10:13
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    5-5
  468. Q1 10:27
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    5-2
  469. Q1 10:33
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  470. Q1 10:37
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  471. Q1 10:44
    Trae Young defensive rebound
  472. Q1 10:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  473. Q1 11:05
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    3-2
  474. Q1 11:16
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    3-0
  475. Q1 11:26
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  476. Q1 11:29
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  477. Q1 11:34
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker offensive rebound
  478. Q1 11:36
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  479. Q1 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  480. Q1 12:00
    (Dyson Daniels gains possession)
  481. Q1 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  482. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Thunder
PosPlayerPts
Hawks
PosPlayerPts

Thunder vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Hawks
  • Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -350, Hawks +325

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 75%
  • Hawks: 25%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 121-114 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 75%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 25%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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