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Warriors vs. Trail Blazers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Trail Blazers NBA game on October 24, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
139
Oct 25, 2AM Moda Center
Oct 25, 2AM Moda Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 28 | 44 | 47 | 0 | 119 |
Trail Blazers | 28 | 53 | 58 | 0 | 139 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 28 | 44 | 47 | 0 | 119 |
Trail Blazers | 28 | 53 | 58 | 0 | 139 |
Q4 00:35 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:36 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:15 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Instant replay
Trail Blazers turnover (shot clock violation)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
119-139
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers turnover
Warriors turnover
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Blake Wesley defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
119-139
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers turnover
Trail Blazers lineup change (Duop Reath, Kris Murray, Blake Wesley, Yang Hansen, Rayan Rupert)
Warriors turnover
Trail Blazers turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
119-139
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
Trail Blazers lineup change (Kris Murray, Blake Wesley, Yang Hansen, Shaedon Sharpe, Rayan Rupert)
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Jerami Grant defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
Jerami Grant misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Will Richard turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Will Richard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Kris Murray, Donovan Clingan, Blake Wesley, Shaedon Sharpe)
Warriors challenge timeout
Warriors 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
119-139
Jerami Grant turnover (lost ball) (Gui Santos steals)
Jerami Grant defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Warriors personal foul
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
119-139
Warriors turnover
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Warriors personal foul
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Moses Moody turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Gui Santos)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Kris Murray, Donovan Clingan, Blake Wesley)
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
119-139
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Trail Blazers personal foul
Moses Moody misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Kris Murray, Jrue Holiday)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Gui Santos)
+2
Deni Avdija makes two point driving layup (Jrue Holiday assists)
119-139
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Pat Spencer, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday)
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Trail Blazers personal foul
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Warriors personal foul
+1
Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 1
119-139
Warriors turnover
Trail Blazers turnover
Trail Blazers personal foul
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
119-139
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
119-139
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
119-139
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Warriors turnover
Stephen Curry misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-103
Warriors personal foul
+1
Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Toumani Camara, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday, Shaedon Sharpe)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos)
Stephen Curry misses two point driving dunk
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors turnover
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Warriors turnover
Trail Blazers personal foul
Shaedon Sharpe turnover (offensive foul)
Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
119-139
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Shaedon Sharpe misses three point running pullup jump shot
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers violation
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers personal foul
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Trail Blazers lineup change (Kris Murray, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Blake Wesley, Shaedon Sharpe)
Will Richard defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
119-139
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers personal foul
Jerami Grant turnover (offensive foul)
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Blake Wesley personal foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Kris Murray, Donovan Clingan, Blake Wesley, Shaedon Sharpe)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Blake Wesley offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
Warriors offensive rebound
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Kris Murray, Blake Wesley, Shaedon Sharpe)
Stephen Curry personal foul (Matisse Thybulle draws the foul)
+1
Matisse Thybulle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Matisse Thybulle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody)
+3
Moses Moody makes three point running jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
83-101
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Jerami Grant misses two point jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga turnover
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
119-139
Stephen Curry turnover (lost ball) (Kris Murray steals)
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
119-139
Warriors turnover
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Matisse Thybulle shooting foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
78-89
Warriors turnover
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Jerami Grant misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Kris Murray, Jrue Holiday)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Kris Murray, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
119-139
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
119-139
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
Jump ball. (Deni Avdija gains possession)
Warriors personal foul
Instant replay (Challenge)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Kris Murray, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday)
Jerami Grant shooting foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
72-81
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
72-81
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses three point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday, Shaedon Sharpe)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield)
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
68-81
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
68-78
Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Deni Avdija offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
119-139
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers personal foul
Deni Avdija misses two point jump shot
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-139
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-139
Warriors personal foul
Warriors turnover
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Toumani Camara misses three point jump shot
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
61-71
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Shaedon Sharpe offensive foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Shaedon Sharpe turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
119-139
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Warriors offensive rebound
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe)
+3
Deni Avdija makes three point jump shot
56-69
Deni Avdija personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday, Shaedon Sharpe)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Moses Moody)
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-81
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
119-139
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
83-101
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
Jerami Grant defensive rebound
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point jump shot
119-139
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Kris Murray, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday)
+2
Shaedon Sharpe makes two point jump shot
119-139
Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
119-139
+2
Jimmy Butler III makes two point driving layup
119-139
+3
Deni Avdija makes three point jump shot
119-139
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski)
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 3
72-81
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
83-101
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 3 of 3
119-139
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard)
Warriors turnover
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
72-81
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
83-101
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday, Shaedon Sharpe)
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 1
119-139
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot
Warriors turnover
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe)
+3
Donovan Clingan makes three point jump shot
83-101
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors personal foul
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe)
Jonathan Kuminga personal foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Kris Murray, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 32 | T. Jackson-Davis | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 3 | W. Richard | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 15 | G. Santos | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 4 | M. Moody | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 16 | Y. Hansen | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| G-F | 21 | R. Rupert | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| C | 26 | D. Reath | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 24 | K. Murray | 13 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 1 | B. Wesley | 4 | 2 | 4 |
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Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
- Date: Friday, October 24, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Moda Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -3
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors -145, Trail Blazers +130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 60%
- Trail Blazers: 40%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 115-112 Trail Blazers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 60%, while the Trail Blazers have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Trail Blazers in the NBA game at Moda Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Trail Blazers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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