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Bucks vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Heat NBA game on November 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
103
106
Nov 27, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Nov 27, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 27 | 20 | 32 | 17 | 103 |
Heat | 29 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 106 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
2%
98%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 27 | 20 | 32 | 17 | 103 |
Heat | 29 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 106 |
Q4 00:05 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:24 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Gary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:55 Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
Q4 2:07 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ryan Rollins offensive rebound
Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)
Ryan Rollins misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
96-104
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-104
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
96-104
AJ Green offensive rebound
Gary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell turnover
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
96-104
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
96-104
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Gary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
96-104
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+2
Myles Turner makes two point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)
96-104
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-102
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
91-100
Heat 60 second timeout
Bam Adebayo turnover (Gary Trent Jr. steals)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins blocks Myles Turner's two point jump shot
Myles Turner offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
AJ Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)
Myles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-104
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-104
+2
Ryan Rollins makes two point driving layup
96-104
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot
Kyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Pelle Larsson steals)
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Myles Turner misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
88-100
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot
88-100
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma)
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
88-100
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
88-100
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
88-100
Bucks turnover
Gary Harris defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
88-100
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
81-87
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith)
Bucks turnover
Gary Harris defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Gary Harris defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
81-85
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point tip layup
79-83
Bucks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-85
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-85
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Cole Anthony offensive rebound
AJ Green misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
77-83
Bucks turnover
Dru Smith defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Cole Anthony, Bobby Portis)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
79-83
+2
Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot
79-83
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
79-83
+2
Jericho Sims makes two point driving reverse layup (Cole Anthony assists)
75-76
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
79-83
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
79-83
Cole Anthony defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Gary Harris defensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-73
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith)
Bucks lineup change (Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Cole Anthony, Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins)
Ryan Rollins misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
Ryan Rollins turnover
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
71-72
Jericho Sims offensive foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Jericho Sims turnover (offensive foul)
Jericho Sims turnover (bad pass)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
71-70
+3
Ryan Rollins makes three point stepback jump shot
71-68
Heat 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson)
Bucks lineup change (Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Bobby Portis, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Gary Trent Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Myles Turner makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)
68-68
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
68-68
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
66-66
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point turnaround hook shot
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins)
Bucks personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Gary Harris, Bobby Portis, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-65
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-66
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
63-64
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-64
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
61-62
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
59-62
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-60
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-60
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
57-60
AJ Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-59
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-60
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
54-58
Bucks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-57
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-58
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
52-56
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
49-56
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
47-56
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins)
Bucks offensive rebound
Bucks turnover
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-53
Bucks turnover
Bucks personal foul
Myles Turner turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-51
Heat personal foul
Myles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-49
Bucks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-48
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-49
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Bucks lineup change (Gary Harris, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
46-47
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-47
Bucks personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
43-45
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
41-45
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
39-45
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-45
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Myles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-43
Bucks turnover
Heat violation
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-43
Bucks 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
35-41
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
AJ Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Ryan Rollins turnover (offensive foul)
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins)
Heat turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
35-38
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-38
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
AJ Green defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Bobby Portis, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-36
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (Pelle Larsson gains possession)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith)
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Cole Anthony defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Cole Anthony offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
31-34
Heat personal foul
+1
Gary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
32-34
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
29-34
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Cole Anthony makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
+1
Cole Anthony makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-31
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-30
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-31
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
End of 1st Quarter.
Bucks lineup change (Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Cole Anthony, Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Bucks offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Bobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-29
Bobby Portis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-29
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
26-27
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Cole Anthony, Bobby Portis)
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
26-24
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
23-24
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith)
Gary Trent Jr. misses two point layup
Heat turnover
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith)
Gary Trent Jr. turnover (lost ball)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
20-22
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-22
Bucks turnover
AJ Green defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
18-20
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
16-20
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-17
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
16-15
Bucks personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
14-13
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
14-14
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
14-15
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
14-12
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-12
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Heat offensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 3
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 3
12-9
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 3 of 3
12-10
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-8
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
12-6
Heat turnover
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
10-6
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
8-6
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
6-6
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
6-4
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
3-4
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
3-2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Myles Turner vs. Bam Adebayo (Ryan Rollins gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Bucks vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bucks vs. Heat
- Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -10
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bucks +360, Heat -440
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bucks: 22%
- Heat: 78%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 113-122 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 22%, while the Heat have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bucks vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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