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Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Mavericks NBA game on October 22, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
125
92
Oct 23, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
Oct 23, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 28 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 125 |
Mavericks | 29 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 92 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
98%
2%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 28 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 125 |
Mavericks | 29 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 92 |
Q4 00:29 Jaden Hardy misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:37 Harrison Ingram makes three point running jump shot (David Jones Garcia assists)
Q4 00:59 David Jones Garcia makes two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 1:06 Caleb Martin misses two point driving finger roll layup
Q4 1:44 Jaden Hardy makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
Q4 2:09 David Jones Garcia makes two point putback layup
Q4 2:12 Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Ryan Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 2:45 Dylan Harper makes three point jump shot (David Jones Garcia assists)
Q4 2:50 Carter Bryant misses two point pullup jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Spurs turnover (shot clock violation)
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Harrison Ingram makes three point running jump shot (David Jones Garcia assists)
125-92
Ryan Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Bismack Biyombo steals)
+1
David Jones Garcia makes regular free throw 1 of 1
122-92
Jaden Hardy shooting foul (David Jones Garcia draws the foul)
+2
David Jones Garcia makes two point driving floating jump shot
121-92
Riley Minix defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses two point driving finger roll layup
Bismack Biyombo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Ryan Nembhard draws the foul)
Bismack Biyombo turnover (offensive foul)
David Jones Garcia personal foul (Ryan Nembhard draws the foul)
+1
Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-92
+1
Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-91
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Ingram, David Jones Garcia, Riley Minix, Bismack Biyombo, Carter Bryant)
Dylan Harper turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+3
Jaden Hardy makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
119-90
+2
David Jones Garcia makes two point putback layup
119-87
David Jones Garcia offensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Dylan Harper makes three point jump shot (David Jones Garcia assists)
117-87
Harrison Ingram offensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
114-87
Dylan Harper turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Williams steals)
Caleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Bismack Biyombo steals)
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Mavericks offensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
David Jones Garcia shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bismack Biyombo turnover (offensive foul)
Bismack Biyombo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Ingram, David Jones Garcia, Bismack Biyombo, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Moussa Cisse, Brandon Williams, Jaden Hardy)
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point driving bank jump shot
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point driving bank jump shot
114-85
+3
Max Christie makes three point pullup jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)
112-85
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Bismack Biyombo, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Stephon Castle turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Ryan Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Devin Vassell steals)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
112-82
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving dunk
110-82
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point pullup jump shot
Harrison Barnes personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
P.J. Washington shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-82
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point turnaround jump shot
107-82
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point putback dunk
107-80
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington)
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
105-80
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop dunk (Devin Vassell assists)
105-78
Dylan Harper shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-78
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Jordan McLaughlin)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-77
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving dunk
103-76
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
+2
Jordan McLaughlin makes two point running layup
101-76
Brandon Williams turnover (lost ball) (Jordan McLaughlin steals)
Dylan Harper personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
99-76
Mavericks defensive rebound
Dylan Harper personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point cutting dunk (Dylan Harper assists)
99-74
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point floating jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
97-74
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point running layup
97-72
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses three point jump shot
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point reverse layup (Jordan McLaughlin assists)
95-72
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Start of 4th Quarter
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
P.J. Washington blocks Dylan Harper's two point driving floating jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses three point pullup jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point putback layup
93-72
Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving reverse layup
91-72
Jump ball. Cooper Flagg vs. Keldon Johnson (P.J. Washington gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
Mavericks turnover
Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Dwight Powell steals)
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Luke Kornet misses two point alley-oop dunk
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Max Christie blocks Keldon Johnson's two point putback layup
Spurs offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point running jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Luke Kornet blocks Brandon Williams's two point driving layup
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point finger roll layup
91-70
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Dwight Powell assists)
89-70
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
89-68
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving floating jump shot
86-68
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point running layup
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses two point driving floating jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
Stephon Castle personal foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point cutting layup (Luke Kornet assists)
86-66
+3
Anthony Davis makes three point jump shot (Max Christie assists)
84-66
Spurs 60 second timeout
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 3
84-63
Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Cooper Flagg shooting foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 3
83-63
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point tip layup
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point running layup
Stephon Castle turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Anthony Davis blocks Luke Kornet's two point floating jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Anthony Davis makes three point jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)
82-63
D'Angelo Russell shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point running layup
81-60
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
82-60
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson)
D'Angelo Russell turnover (bad pass) (Stephon Castle steals)
Anthony Davis defensive goaltending violation
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving layup (Julian Champagnie assists)
79-60
P.J. Washington turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
Max Christie turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point running layup
77-60
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving layup
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet)
Victor Wembanyama personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, D'Angelo Russell, Cooper Flagg)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot
75-60
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-60
Naji Marshall shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-60
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, D'Angelo Russell)
Dereck Lively II personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Anthony Davis misses two point driving layup
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-60
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson)
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running layup (Klay Thompson assists)
71-59
Harrison Barnes shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses two point driving layup
P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball) (Julian Champagnie steals)
Stephon Castle turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving layup
Dereck Lively II shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-57
+3
Victor Wembanyama makes three point stepback jump shot
70-57
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama blocks Dereck Lively II's two point hook shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
67-57
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point driving hook shot
65-57
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point running jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
65-55
Cooper Flagg turnover (bad pass) (Victor Wembanyama steals)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Dereck Lively II assists)
62-55
Stephon Castle turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point fadeaway jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Stephon Castle assists)
62-53
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama blocks Cooper Flagg's two point running layup
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point pullup jump shot (Dereck Lively II assists)
60-53
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Start of 3rd Quarter
Spurs miss heave shot
End of 1st Half.
Spurs offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Klay Thompson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point cutting layup (Stephon Castle assists)
60-51
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot
58-51
Klay Thompson offensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-48
Naji Marshall shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point driving finger roll layup
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point running reverse layup (Keldon Johnson assists)
57-48
Cooper Flagg turnover (lost ball) (Keldon Johnson steals)
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point running layup
55-48
Klay Thompson shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Dwight Powell turnover (bad pass) (Devin Vassell steals)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
53-48
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point turnaround jump shot
52-48
Anthony Davis shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point pullup jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point tip dunk
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Anthony Davis shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
50-48
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving reverse dunk
49-48
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point driving layup
Cooper Flagg defensive goaltending violation
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point driving layup
47-48
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-48
Victor Wembanyama shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-47
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point driving dunk
45-46
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot
43-46
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point tip layup
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
D'Angelo Russell misses two point driving layup
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point tip layup
43-43
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-43
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
P.J. Washington shooting foul (Dylan Harper draws the foul)
Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point driving reverse layup
Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-42
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-41
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point driving reverse layup (Devin Vassell assists)
41-40
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
D'Angelo Russell misses two point driving layup
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Harrison Barnes kicked ball violation
D'Angelo Russell defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point pullup bank jump shot
+3
Max Christie makes three point running jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)
39-40
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses two point driving floating jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
D'Angelo Russell misses two point driving finger roll layup
Victor Wembanyama personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, D'Angelo Russell)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
D'Angelo Russell shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-37
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point pullup jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, D'Angelo Russell)
Anthony Davis personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
D'Angelo Russell misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving bank hook shot
38-37
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point driving hook shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Stephon Castle assists)
36-37
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, D'Angelo Russell, Cooper Flagg)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point running dunk (Julian Champagnie assists)
34-37
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
32-37
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point pullup jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
32-34
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses three point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Dwight Powell personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Dwight Powell personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Ryan Nembhard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Victor Wembanyama personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point stepback jump shot
Spurs technical foul (Defensive three second)
+1
Klay Thompson makes technical free throw 1 of 1
32-32
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg turnover (bad pass) (Stephon Castle steals)
Cooper Flagg shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point running finger roll layup
32-31
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point pullup jump shot
30-31
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
28-31
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks miss heave shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Start of 2nd Quarter
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point fadeaway jump shot
28-29
+1
D'Angelo Russell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-28
Jordan McLaughlin personal foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)
+1
D'Angelo Russell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-29
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Keldon Johnson)
Dereck Lively II shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Dwight Powell, D'Angelo Russell, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-27
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point running jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Jordan McLaughlin misses three point jump shot
Dereck Lively II turnover (offensive foul)
Dereck Lively II offensive foul (Off the ball) (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point cutting dunk (Dylan Harper assists)
25-27
Dereck Lively II personal foul (Loose ball) (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Spurs offensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point driving reverse layup
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
D'Angelo Russell misses three point running jump shot
Harrison Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Cooper Flagg steals)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Luke Kornet personal foul (Loose ball) (Dereck Lively II draws the foul)
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-26
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-27
Dylan Harper misses two point pullup jump shot
Dylan Harper shooting foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)
D'Angelo Russell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
D'Angelo Russell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-25
Mavericks offensive rebound
Dylan Harper turnover (palming)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Luke Kornet blocks Naji Marshall's two point driving floating jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Max Christie, Naji Marshall, D'Angelo Russell, Cooper Flagg)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)
23-24
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
23-22
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point driving floating jump shot
21-22
Spurs delay of game violation
Spurs personal foul
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
21-20
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Dylan Harper shooting foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)
+1
D'Angelo Russell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-20
D'Angelo Russell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
+1
Anthony Davis makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
19-18
Anthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot
+1
Anthony Davis makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
19-19
Luke Kornet flagrant 1 (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Dylan Harper turnover (out of bounds step)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point pullup bank jump shot
19-17
Luke Kornet offensive foul (Off the ball) (Max Christie draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Luke Kornet turnover (offensive foul)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point stepback jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Max Christie turnover (out of bounds step)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson)
D'Angelo Russell defensive rebound
Anthony Davis shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Spurs offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+2
D'Angelo Russell makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
19-15
Stephon Castle personal foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)
+3
Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
19-13
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, D'Angelo Russell)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet)
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
16-13
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving dunk (Harrison Barnes assists)
16-10
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-10
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-9
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot
Julian Champagnie shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses three point jump shot
+3
Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
14-8
Spurs defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point pullup jump shot
11-8
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama blocks Anthony Davis's two point layup
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point running jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
9-8
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point driving layup
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point pullup jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
6-8
Mavericks delay of game violation
+2
Dereck Lively II makes two point alley-oop dunk (Anthony Davis assists)
4-8
P.J. Washington shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-6
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-6
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point driving bank jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive goaltending violation
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running finger roll layup
2-6
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point stepback jump shot (Dereck Lively II assists)
2-4
P.J. Washington shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-2
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
1-2
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point putback dunk
0-2
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point running alley-oop dunk
Harrison Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Victor Wembanyama vs. Dereck Lively II (Julian Champagnie gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 18 | B. Biyombo | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 25 | D. Jones Garcia | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| F | 27 | R. Minix | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 55 | H. Ingram | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 11 | C. Bryant | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 30 | M. Cisse | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 9 | R. Nembhard | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| G | 10 | B. Williams | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| G | 1 | J. Hardy | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 0 | 1 | 1 |
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Spurs vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Mavericks
- Date: Wednesday, October 22, 2025
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mavericks favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs +143, Mavericks -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 37%
- Mavericks: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 110-114 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 37%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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