Rockets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Thunder NBA game on October 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NBA
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NBA sport icon
NBA
Rockets
124
125
Paycom Center
Thunder
Paycom Center
TEAM1234T
Rockets
30 27 22 25 124
Thunder
27 24 24 29 125
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockets
    30%
  • Thunder
    70%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
30 27 22 25 124
Thunder
27 24 24 29 125
OT2 00:00 Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT2 00:11 Rockets makes two point jump shot
OT2 00:24 Rockets misses three point jump shot
OT2 00:59 Thunder makes two point jump shot
OT2 1:15 Rockets makes two point jump shot
OT2 1:32 Thunder makes three point jump shot
OT2 1:45 Thunder misses three point jump shot
OT2 1:53 Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT2 1:54 Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT2 2:28 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q3 Q4
  1. OT2 00:00
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  2. OT2 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  3. OT2 00:00
    End of 2nd OT.
  4. OT2 00:02
    Rockets personal foul
  5. OT2 00:02
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    124-124
  6. OT2 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  7. OT2 00:02
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    124-125
  8. OT2 00:02
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  9. OT2 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  10. OT2 00:11
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    124-123
  11. OT2 00:11
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  12. OT2 00:11
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  13. OT2 00:22
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  14. OT2 00:24
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  15. OT2 00:32
    Rockets personal foul
  16. OT2 00:32
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  17. OT2 00:32
    Thunder offensive rebound
  18. OT2 00:32
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    122-123
  19. OT2 00:32
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  20. OT2 00:32
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  21. OT2 00:40
    Rockets turnover
  22. OT2 00:59
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    122-122
  23. OT2 1:15
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    121-120
  24. OT2 1:15
    Thunder personal foul
  25. OT2 1:15
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    122-120
  26. OT2 1:15
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
  27. OT2 1:32
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    119-120
  28. OT2 1:42
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  29. OT2 1:45
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  30. OT2 1:53
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  31. OT2 1:54
    Rockets offensive rebound
  32. OT2 1:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  33. OT2 1:54
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  34. OT2 1:54
    Rockets turnover
  35. OT2 1:54
    Rockets offensive rebound
  36. OT2 2:17
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  37. OT2 2:19
    Rockets personal foul
  38. OT2 2:19
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-117
  39. OT2 2:19
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  40. OT2 2:28
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    119-116
  41. OT2 2:45
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  42. OT2 2:47
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  43. OT2 2:54
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  44. OT2 2:57
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  45. OT2 3:10
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  46. OT2 3:10
    Rockets personal foul
  47. OT2 3:12
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  48. OT2 3:17
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  49. OT2 3:18
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  50. OT2 3:33
    Rockets personal foul
  51. OT2 3:33
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  52. OT2 3:33
    Thunder offensive rebound
  53. OT2 3:33
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    117-116
  54. OT2 3:41
    Thunder personal foul
  55. OT2 3:41
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-115
  56. OT2 3:41
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    117-115
  57. OT2 3:49
    Thunder turnover
  58. OT2 4:00
    Rockets turnover
  59. OT2 4:17
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  60. OT2 4:20
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  61. OT2 4:28
    Rockets personal foul
  62. OT2 4:36
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  63. OT2 4:39
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  64. OT1 00:00
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  65. OT1 00:00
    End of 1st OT.
  66. OT2 5:00
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  67. OT2 5:00
    Isaiah Hartenstein (Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)
  68. OT1 00:02
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  69. OT1 00:04
    Rockets personal foul
  70. OT1 00:04
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  71. OT1 00:08
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  72. OT1 00:08
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    115-115
  73. OT1 00:08
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  74. OT1 00:08
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  75. OT1 00:09
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  76. OT1 00:16
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  77. OT1 00:16
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  78. OT1 00:21
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  79. OT1 00:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  80. OT1 00:48
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  81. OT1 00:48
    Thunder personal foul
  82. OT1 00:48
    +1
    Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    112-115
  83. OT1 00:48
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
  84. OT1 00:48
    +1
    Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-115
  85. OT1 00:49
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  86. OT1 00:50
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  87. OT1 00:52
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  88. OT1 1:02
    Rockets turnover
  89. OT1 1:11
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    111-115
  90. OT1 1:25
    Thunder personal foul
  91. OT1 1:25
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  92. OT1 1:25
    Rockets offensive rebound
  93. OT1 1:25
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-112
  94. OT1 1:34
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  95. OT1 1:37
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  96. OT1 2:00
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    110-112
  97. OT1 2:15
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  98. OT1 2:16
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  99. OT1 2:27
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  100. OT1 2:30
    Thunder personal foul
  101. OT1 2:30
    +1
    Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    107-112
  102. OT1 2:30
    Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  103. OT1 2:46
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
    106-112
  104. OT1 2:58
    Rockets violation
  105. OT1 2:58
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  106. OT1 2:58
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  107. OT1 3:14
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    106-110
  108. OT1 3:36
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    104-110
  109. OT1 3:43
    Rockets personal foul
  110. OT1 3:46
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  111. OT1 3:46
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  112. OT1 3:53
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  113. OT1 3:56
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  114. OT1 4:15
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    104-107
  115. OT1 4:25
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  116. OT1 4:25
    Rockets personal foul
  117. OT1 4:27
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  118. OT1 4:38
    Rockets turnover
  119. OT1 4:44
    Rockets offensive rebound
  120. OT1 4:44
    Thunder personal foul
  121. OT1 4:45
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  122. Q4 00:00
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  123. Q4 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  124. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  125. OT1 5:00
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  126. OT1 5:00
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  127. OT1 5:00
    (Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)
  128. Q4 00:02
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    104-104
  129. Q4 00:02
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  130. Q4 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  131. Q4 00:02
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  132. Q4 00:09
    Thunder personal foul
  133. Q4 00:09
    Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  134. Q4 00:09
    Rockets offensive rebound
  135. Q4 00:09
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  136. Q4 00:09
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  137. Q4 00:09
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-102
  138. Q4 00:29
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  139. Q4 00:33
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  140. Q4 00:38
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    103-102
  141. Q4 00:53
    Rockets defensive rebound
  142. Q4 00:53
    Thunder personal foul
  143. Q4 00:53
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  144. Q4 00:53
    Instant replay
  145. Q4 00:55
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  146. Q4 1:10
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  147. Q4 1:14
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  148. Q4 1:34
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    101-102
  149. Q4 1:42
    Rockets personal foul
  150. Q4 1:42
    Instant replay
  151. Q4 1:42
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  152. Q4 1:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  153. Q4 1:47
    Rockets turnover
  154. Q4 2:01
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    101-100
  155. Q4 2:10
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    101-97
  156. Q4 2:33
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    99-97
  157. Q4 2:58
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    99-95
  158. Q4 3:07
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  159. Q4 3:07
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  160. Q4 3:07
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  161. Q4 3:17
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  162. Q4 3:17
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    97-95
  163. Q4 3:20
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  164. Q4 3:36
    Rockets turnover
  165. Q4 3:52
    Rockets personal foul
  166. Q4 3:52
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    97-92
  167. Q4 3:52
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    97-93
  168. Q4 3:52
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  169. Q4 4:00
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    97-91
  170. Q4 4:20
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    95-91
  171. Q4 4:32
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    95-89
  172. Q4 4:35
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  173. Q4 4:37
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  174. Q4 4:55
    Rockets personal foul
  175. Q4 4:55
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    93-88
  176. Q4 4:55
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  177. Q4 4:55
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-89
  178. Q4 5:01
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  179. Q4 5:04
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  180. Q4 5:21
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  181. Q4 5:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  182. Q4 5:49
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    93-87
  183. Q4 6:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    91-87
  184. Q4 6:12
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  185. Q4 6:15
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  186. Q4 6:30
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  187. Q4 6:33
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  188. Q4 6:49
    Thunder personal foul
  189. Q4 6:49
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  190. Q4 6:49
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
  191. Q4 6:49
    Josh Okogie misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  192. Q4 6:49
    Rockets offensive rebound
  193. Q4 6:49
    +1
    Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-85
  194. Q4 7:06
    Rockets defensive rebound
  195. Q4 7:06
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  196. Q4 7:06
    Thunder personal foul
  197. Q4 7:07
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  198. Q4 7:29
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    89-85
  199. Q4 7:29
    Thunder personal foul
  200. Q4 7:29
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  201. Q4 7:29
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
  202. Q4 7:29
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    90-85
  203. Q4 7:46
    Thunder turnover
  204. Q4 7:53
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  205. Q4 7:56
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  206. Q4 8:10
    Rockets personal foul
  207. Q4 8:10
    +1
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    87-84
  208. Q4 8:10
    +1
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    87-85
  209. Q4 8:10
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  210. Q4 8:30
    Rockets personal foul
  211. Q4 8:30
    Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
  212. Q4 8:30
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  213. Q4 8:50
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    87-83
  214. Q4 9:07
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    87-81
  215. Q4 9:21
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    84-81
  216. Q4 9:32
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  217. Q4 9:36
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  218. Q4 9:50
    Rockets defensive rebound
  219. Q4 9:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  220. Q4 9:51
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  221. Q4 10:07
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    84-79
  222. Q4 10:28
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  223. Q4 10:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  224. Q4 10:40
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  225. Q4 10:42
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  226. Q4 10:44
    Rockets personal foul
  227. Q4 11:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    82-79
  228. Q4 11:23
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    82-77
  229. Q4 11:31
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    79-77
  230. Q4 11:34
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  231. Q4 11:38
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  232. Q4 11:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  233. Q3 00:00
    Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
  234. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  235. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  236. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren)
  237. Q3 00:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  238. Q3 00:14
    Rockets turnover
  239. Q3 00:31
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  240. Q3 00:34
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  241. Q3 00:43
    Thunder personal foul
  242. Q3 00:43
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    78-75
  243. Q3 00:43
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun)
  244. Q3 00:43
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    79-75
  245. Q3 00:53
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    77-75
  246. Q3 1:04
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  247. Q3 1:05
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  248. Q3 1:18
    Thunder personal foul
  249. Q3 1:18
    Thunder personal foul
  250. Q3 1:18
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    77-73
  251. Q3 1:18
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  252. Q3 1:35
    Rockets defensive rebound
  253. Q3 1:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  254. Q3 1:38
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  255. Q3 1:48
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    76-73
  256. Q3 2:04
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    73-73
  257. Q3 2:15
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    73-70
  258. Q3 2:18
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  259. Q3 2:22
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  260. Q3 2:32
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  261. Q3 2:32
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren)
  262. Q3 2:32
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun)
  263. Q3 2:34
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  264. Q3 2:41
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  265. Q3 2:51
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  266. Q3 2:57
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  267. Q3 3:06
    Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
  268. Q3 3:08
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  269. Q3 3:26
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    71-70
  270. Q3 3:34
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  271. Q3 3:36
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  272. Q3 3:52
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-67
  273. Q3 3:55
    Rockets turnover
  274. Q3 4:01
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  275. Q3 4:05
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  276. Q3 4:19
    Thunder personal foul
  277. Q3 4:19
    +1
    Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    70-65
  278. Q3 4:19
    +1
    Clint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-65
  279. Q3 4:33
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    69-65
  280. Q3 4:33
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  281. Q3 4:33
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Tari Eason)
  282. Q3 4:41
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  283. Q3 4:41
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    69-63
  284. Q3 4:43
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  285. Q3 4:43
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  286. Q3 4:47
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  287. Q3 5:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    67-63
  288. Q3 5:10
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  289. Q3 5:13
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  290. Q3 5:28
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  291. Q3 5:33
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  292. Q3 5:35
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  293. Q3 5:38
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  294. Q3 5:45
    Rockets turnover
  295. Q3 5:52
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  296. Q3 5:55
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  297. Q3 6:13
    Rockets personal foul
  298. Q3 6:13
    Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  299. Q3 6:13
    Thunder offensive rebound
  300. Q3 6:13
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Tari Eason)
  301. Q3 6:13
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    67-61
  302. Q3 6:13
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
  303. Q3 6:16
    Rockets turnover
  304. Q3 6:20
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  305. Q3 6:24
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  306. Q3 6:33
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  307. Q3 6:37
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  308. Q3 6:48
    Jump ball. (Thunder gains possession)
  309. Q3 6:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  310. Q3 6:50
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  311. Q3 6:52
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  312. Q3 7:00
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  313. Q3 7:00
    Rockets personal foul
  314. Q3 7:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  315. Q3 7:13
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    67-60
  316. Q3 7:19
    Jump ball. Luguentz Dort (Steven Adams gains possession)
  317. Q3 7:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  318. Q3 7:25
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  319. Q3 7:25
    Rockets offensive rebound
  320. Q3 7:25
    Thunder personal foul
  321. Q3 7:43
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    65-60
  322. Q3 7:57
    Thunder personal foul
  323. Q3 7:57
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    64-57
  324. Q3 7:57
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  325. Q3 7:57
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    65-57
  326. Q3 8:17
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    63-57
  327. Q3 8:26
    Thunder defensive rebound
  328. Q3 8:26
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  329. Q3 8:28
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  330. Q3 8:55
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    63-55
  331. Q3 8:58
    Rockets turnover
  332. Q3 9:12
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    63-53
  333. Q3 9:24
    Rockets personal foul
  334. Q3 9:24
    Amen Thompson turnover (offensive foul)
  335. Q3 9:34
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  336. Q3 9:39
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  337. Q3 9:43
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  338. Q3 9:46
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  339. Q3 9:59
    Thunder turnover
  340. Q3 10:10
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    63-51
  341. Q3 10:11
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  342. Q3 10:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  343. Q3 10:21
    Thunder turnover
  344. Q3 10:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  345. Q3 10:37
    Rockets turnover
  346. Q3 10:44
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  347. Q3 10:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  348. Q3 11:02
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
    61-51
  349. Q3 11:13
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  350. Q3 11:16
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  351. Q3 11:31
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    59-51
  352. Q3 11:43
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  353. Q3 11:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  354. Q2 00:00
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    57-50
  355. Q2 00:00
    Rockets personal foul
  356. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay
  357. Q2 00:00
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    57-51
  358. Q2 00:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun)
  359. Q2 00:00
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  360. Q2 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  361. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  362. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  363. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  364. Q2 00:03
    Rockets personal foul
  365. Q2 00:05
    Thunder violation
  366. Q2 00:05
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  367. Q2 00:05
    Thunder personal foul
  368. Q2 00:05
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    56-47
  369. Q2 00:05
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun)
  370. Q2 00:05
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  371. Q2 00:05
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    57-47
  372. Q2 00:19
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  373. Q2 00:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  374. Q2 00:38
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    55-47
  375. Q2 00:56
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    53-47
  376. Q2 1:05
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  377. Q2 1:09
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  378. Q2 1:31
    Thunder offensive rebound
  379. Q2 1:31
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  380. Q2 1:31
    Rockets challenge timeout
  381. Q2 1:31
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun)
  382. Q2 9:33
    Tari Eason turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)
Box Score
Rockets
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
PosPlayerPts

Rockets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Thunder
  • Date: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets +205, Thunder -245

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 28%
  • Thunder: 72%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 109-116 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 28%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Rockets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.