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Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Lakers NBA game on October 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Warriors
119
109
Oct 22, 2AM Crypto.com Arena
Lakers
Oct 22, 2AM Crypto.com Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Warriors
28 27 35 29 119
Lakers
22 32 25 30 109
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
WarriorsGSW
Win %
>99%
<1%
LakersLAL
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
28 27 35 29 119
Lakers
22 32 25 30 109
Q4 00:35 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:57 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:12
Warriors turnover
Q4 00:33
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q4 00:35
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:39
Lakers personal foul
Q4 00:39
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-109
Q4 00:39
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-109
Q4 00:39
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q4 00:39
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
Q4 00:43
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
117-109
Q4 00:51
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
117-107
Q4 1:00
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Q4 1:03
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:16
Lakers personal foul
Q4 1:22
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
114-107
Q4 1:35
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
114-105
Q4 1:52
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
112-105
Q4 2:03
Lakers personal foul
Q4 2:03
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-102
Q4 2:03
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-102
Q4 2:03
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
Q4 2:17
Warriors personal foul
Q4 2:17
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-101
Q4 2:17
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-102
Q4 2:29
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
110-100
Q4 2:39
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:39
Warriors defensive rebound
Q4 2:39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 2:51
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Q4 2:57
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:16
Warriors personal foul
Q4 3:16
Warriors personal foul
Q4 3:16
Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 3:16
Lakers offensive rebound
Q4 3:16
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-100
Q4 3:34
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:34
Warriors personal foul
Q4 3:34
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
108-99
Q4 3:59
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
105-99
Q4 3:59
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 3:59
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
Q4 4:06
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Q4 4:09
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:26
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
105-97
Q4 4:32
Warriors turnover
Q4 4:50
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
105-95
Q4 5:07
Warriors personal foul
Q4 5:07
Al Horford turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 5:22
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
105-93
Q4 5:40
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
105-90
Q4 5:56
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
102-90
Q4 5:56
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 5:56
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
Q4 5:59
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Q4 6:02
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:22
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
102-88
Q4 6:39
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
102-86
Q4 6:51
Lakers turnover
Q4 6:57
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q4 7:00
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:16
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
100-86
Q4 7:39
Warriors turnover
Q4 7:39
Warriors personal foul
Q4 7:50
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 7:50
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga)
Q4 7:50
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
Q4 7:51
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q4 7:54
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:08
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
100-84
Q4 8:19
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q4 8:22
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:26
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
Q4 8:27
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:41
Warriors personal foul
Q4 8:41
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
Q4 9:01
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
98-84
Q4 9:25
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
95-83
Q4 9:25
Warriors personal foul
Q4 9:25
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 1
95-84
Q4 9:32
Warriors personal foul
Q4 9:46
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Q4 9:48
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
95-81
Q4 9:48
Lakers personal foul
Q4 9:48
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves)
Q4 9:48
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q4 9:51
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q4 9:54
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:01
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Q4 10:04
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:17
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q4 10:21
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:41
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q4 10:43
Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:46
Lakers turnover
Q4 10:47
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Q4 10:50
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:01
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q4 11:05
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:27
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
93-81
Q4 11:35
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
90-81
Q4 11:44
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
Q4 11:47
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Q3 00:00
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Lakers offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Q3 00:01
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:27
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Q3 00:27
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
90-79
Q3 00:28
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:36
Will Richard offensive rebound
Q3 00:37
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
88-77
Q3 00:39
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:00
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
88-77
Q3 1:16
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Q3 1:18
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:40
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
88-75
Q3 1:46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 1:57
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
88-73
Q3 2:12
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
85-73
Q3 2:23
Lakers personal foul
Q3 2:23
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-70
Q3 2:23
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-70
Q3 2:23
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic)
Q3 2:41
Lakers turnover
Q3 2:41
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
Q3 2:41
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves)
Q3 3:06
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
83-70
Q3 3:33
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
81-70
Q3 3:48
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
81-68
Q3 3:54
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q3 3:59
Warriors personal foul
Q3 3:59
Warriors violation
Q3 3:59
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-68
Q3 3:59
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
Q3 3:59
Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 4:03
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Q3 4:09
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:28
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
78-67
Q3 4:44
Warriors turnover
Q3 5:00
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q3 5:05
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:14
Warriors turnover
Q3 5:29
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:29
Lakers offensive rebound
Q3 5:29
Warriors personal foul
Q3 5:29
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-64
Q3 5:29
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q3 5:29
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-65
Q3 5:34
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 5:36
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:48
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
78-63
Q3 5:56
Warriors personal foul
Q3 5:56
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
Q3 5:56
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves)
Q3 6:04
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
78-61
Q3 6:19
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q3 6:21
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:41
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
75-61
Q3 6:57
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
73-60
Q3 6:57
Warriors personal foul
Q3 6:57
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
Q3 6:57
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
73-61
Q3 7:02
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Q3 7:06
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:17
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
73-58
Q3 7:23
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q3 7:26
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:34
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 7:36
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:48
Lakers personal foul
Q3 7:48
Deandre Ayton turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 7:58
Gabe Vincent defensive rebound
Q3 8:01
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:06
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Q3 8:10
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:25
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q3 8:28
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:45
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q3 8:50
Lakers personal foul
Q3 8:50
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-58
Q3 8:50
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-58
Q3 9:01
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Q3 9:05
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:25
Lakers personal foul
Q3 9:25
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-58
Q3 9:25
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-58
Q3 9:30
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q3 9:31
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:51
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
67-58
Q3 10:00
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q3 10:03
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:23
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
65-58
Q3 10:44
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q3 10:47
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
62-58
Q3 10:47
Warriors personal foul
Q3 10:47
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 10:58
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
62-56
Q3 11:04
Lakers turnover
Q3 11:15
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot
60-56
Q3 11:28
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q3 11:31
Warriors personal foul
Q3 11:31
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
58-56
Q3 11:31
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 11:47
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
58-54
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
Q3 12:00
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
Q2 00:01
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:01
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Q2 00:01
Lakers personal foul
Q2 00:01
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-54
Q2 00:01
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-54
Q2 00:01
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
Q2 00:19
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
53-54
Q2 00:33
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
53-51
Q2 00:41
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q2 00:42
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Q2 00:42
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:46
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:55
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
50-51
Q2 1:06
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q2 1:08
Lakers personal foul
Q2 1:08
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-48
Q2 1:08
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 1:08
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent)
Q2 1:28
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
49-48
Q2 1:34
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Q2 1:37
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:52
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
49-44
Q2 1:52
Warriors personal foul
Q2 1:52
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
49-45
Q2 2:01
Warriors personal foul
Q2 2:01
Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 2:07
Lakers personal foul
Q2 2:07
Marcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 2:09
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q2 2:13
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:21
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q2 2:23
Warriors personal foul
Q2 2:23
Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 2:23
Lakers offensive rebound
Q2 2:23
Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 2:33
Warriors turnover
Q2 2:44
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q2 2:46
Warriors personal foul
Q2 2:46
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-42
Q2 2:46
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
Q2 2:46
Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 2:46
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent)
Q2 2:59
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
49-41
Q2 3:18
Lakers turnover
Q2 3:28
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q2 3:30
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:44
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
47-41
Q2 4:03
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-39
Q2 4:18
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
45-39
Q2 4:18
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q2 4:18
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga)
Q2 4:23
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q2 4:26
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:43
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
45-37
Q2 4:46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:59
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
45-35
Q2 5:03
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q2 5:05
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:21
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q2 5:23
Lakers personal foul
Q2 5:23
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-35
Q2 5:23
Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 5:33
Lakers personal foul
Q2 5:33
Marcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 5:33
Instant replay
Q2 5:33
Instant replay
Q2 5:33
Instant replay
Q2 5:33
+1
Stephen Curry makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
40-35
Q2 5:33
+1
Stephen Curry makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
41-35
Q2 5:44
Warriors personal foul
Q2 5:44
Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 5:44
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves)
Q2 5:52
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
39-35
Q2 6:05
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
39-33
Q2 6:10
Lakers turnover
Q2 6:22
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q2 6:24
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:41
Warriors personal foul
Q2 6:41
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-32
Q2 6:41
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-33
Q2 6:48
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Q2 6:48
Warriors turnover
Q2 6:51
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:53
Jump ball. (Al Horford gains possession)
Q2 6:57
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q2 6:57
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent)
Q2 6:57
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
Q2 7:09
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q2 7:14
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:36
Lakers personal foul
Q2 7:36
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-31
Q2 7:36
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga)
Q2 7:36
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-31
Q2 7:49
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
35-31
Q2 8:07
Warriors turnover
Q2 8:07
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green)
Q2 8:08
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 8:10
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Q2 8:13
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:25
Lakers personal foul
Q2 8:38
Warriors personal foul
Q2 8:38
Lakers personal foul
Q2 8:38
Jaxson Hayes turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 8:38
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
Q2 8:51
Warriors personal foul
Q2 8:51
Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 8:51
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
Q2 8:58
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
35-29
Q2 9:09
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
35-27
Q2 9:33
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
33-27
Q2 9:53
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
33-25
Q2 10:04
Lakers turnover
Q2 10:04
Lakers personal foul
Q2 10:04
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes technical free throw 1 of 1
31-25
Q2 10:11
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Q2 10:13
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:15
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 10:19
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:20
Lakers offensive rebound
Q2 10:32
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:51
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
30-25
Q2 11:06
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 11:08
Warriors personal foul
Q2 11:08
Jake LaRavia misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 11:08
Lakers offensive rebound
Q2 11:08
Jake LaRavia misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 11:15
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Q2 11:18
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:22
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Q2 11:25
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:42
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
28-25
Q2 11:52
Warriors turnover
Q1 00:00
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Lakers offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Q2 12:00
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
Q1 00:03
Lakers personal foul
Q1 00:03
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q1 00:03
Instant replay
Q1 00:03
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
Q1 00:03
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 3
26-22
Q1 00:03
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 3
27-22
Q1 00:03
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 3 of 3
28-22
Q1 00:27
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
25-22
Q1 00:32
Warriors turnover
Q1 00:37
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
25-20
Q1 00:56
Warriors personal foul
Q1 00:56
Brandin Podziemski turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 00:58
Lakers turnover
Q1 1:09
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
25-18
Q1 1:30
Warriors personal foul
Q1 1:30
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-17
Q1 1:30
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-18
Q1 1:34
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Q1 1:38
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:54
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 1:54
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves)
Q1 2:01
Lakers turnover
Q1 2:13
Warriors personal foul
Q1 2:13
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski)
Q1 2:18
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Q1 2:21
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:42
Warriors personal foul
Q1 2:42
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q1 2:42
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-15
Q1 2:42
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
Q1 2:42
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-16
Q1 2:57
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
22-14
Q1 3:08
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q1 3:10
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:26
Lakers personal foul
Q1 3:26
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-14
Q1 3:26
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-14
Q1 3:37
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q1 3:39
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:54
Lakers defensive rebound
Q1 3:54
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 3:54
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic)
Q1 3:54
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II)
Q1 3:57
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
20-14
Q1 3:57
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:07
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
17-14
Q1 4:20
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
17-12
Q1 4:24
Lakers turnover
Q1 4:32
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
15-12
Q1 4:47
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q1 4:49
Warriors personal foul
Q1 4:49
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-12
Q1 4:49
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 5:00
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q1 5:00
Warriors personal foul
Q1 5:00
Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 5:00
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic)
Q1 5:01
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:08
Warriors turnover
Q1 5:09
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q1 5:14
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:22
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Q1 5:22
Warriors personal foul
Q1 5:22
Austin Reaves misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Q1 5:22
Lakers offensive rebound
Q1 5:23
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:27
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 5:30
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:31
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Q1 5:33
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:40
Lakers personal foul
Q1 5:40
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
Q1 5:43
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q1 5:46
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:04
Warriors turnover
Q1 6:09
Lakers turnover
Q1 6:12
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:12
Lakers offensive rebound
Q1 6:12
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 6:14
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 6:17
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:25
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q1 6:28
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:42
Warriors turnover
Q1 6:42
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q1 7:02
Lakers turnover
Q1 7:03
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
Q1 7:03
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves)
Q1 7:24
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 7:26
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:32
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q1 7:36
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:41
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Q1 7:45
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:55
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
12-11
Q1 8:13
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
12-9
Q1 8:27
Lakers personal foul
Q1 8:27
Rui Hachimura turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 8:31
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
9-9
Q1 8:36
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
7-9
Q1 8:45
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 8:49
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:07
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
7-7
Q1 9:24
Lakers personal foul
Q1 9:24
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-4
Q1 9:24
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-4
Q1 9:27
Lakers turnover
Q1 9:42
Lakers defensive rebound
Q1 9:42
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:44
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:48
Lakers turnover
Q1 10:08
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
5-4
Q1 10:14
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q1 10:16
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:22
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 10:24
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:38
Lakers violation
Q1 10:39
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
2-4
Q1 11:00
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
2-2
Q1 11:08
Lakers turnover
Q1 11:24
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Q1 11:27
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:38
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Q1 12:00
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Q1 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
Q1 12:00
(Gabe Vincent gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Warriors
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G0 G. Payton II621
F10 J. Butler III3154
C23 D. Green879
G30 S. Curry2314
F1 J. Kuminga1796
Lakers
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
C5 D. Ayton1060
G36 M. Smart900
G7 G. Vincent301
G77 L. Doncic43129
F15 A. Reaves2659

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Warriors vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Lakers
  • Date: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors -140, Lakers +126

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 59%
  • Lakers: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 115-112 Lakers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 59%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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