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Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hawks vs. Heat NBA game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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117
143
Apr 12, 10PM Kaseya Center
Apr 12, 10PM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 24 | 37 | 23 | 33 | 117 |
Heat | 33 | 37 | 29 | 44 | 143 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 24 | 37 | 23 | 33 | 117 |
Heat | 33 | 37 | 29 | 44 | 143 |
Q4 4:06 Norman Powell misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 6:47 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
Q4 7:37 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 7:53 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 8:05 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 8:13 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:52 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 11:15 Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
Q3 00:20 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:26 Heat makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Heat personal foul
Keshad Johnson shooting foul (Keshon Gilbert draws the foul)
Norman Powell offensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point pullup jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul (Tony Bradley draws the foul)
+3
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
101-120
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
108-126
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
96-117
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
108-126
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
108-126
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks turnover
+3
Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
108-126
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat violation
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
117-143
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
108-126
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
84-104
RayJ Dennis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Keaton Wallace, RayJ Dennis, Asa Newell, Christian Koloko)
Corey Kispert shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
108-126
Heat turnover
Hawks violation
Heat violation
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Asa Newell defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Keaton Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-104
Keaton Wallace misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-75
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
84-104
Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
101-122
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
101-122
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Asa Newell offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Zaccharie Risacher, Tony Bradley)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
End of 1st Half.
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Asa Newell makes two point jump shot
61-70
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
101-122
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
101-122
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
101-122
Hawks personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-122
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-122
Hawks turnover
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-75
+2
Buddy Hield makes two point running finger roll layup (Keshon Gilbert assists)
47-64
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat turnover
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Asa Newell offensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
67-75
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-75
+2
Zaccharie Risacher makes two point driving dunk
74-82
Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
84-99
Hawks personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware)
Hawks lineup change (Buddy Hield, Corey Kispert, Keshon Gilbert, Asa Newell, Zaccharie Risacher)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
84-99
Hawks personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-61
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Keshon Gilbert, Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Zaccharie Risacher)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-99
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
44-60
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
61-70
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-70
Corey Kispert turnover (Andrew Wiggins steals)
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-70
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
61-70
Heat personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Keshon Gilbert, Keaton Wallace, Zaccharie Risacher, Christian Koloko)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Keshad Johnson, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Keshon Gilbert makes regular free throw 1 of 1
61-70
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-70
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
61-70
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
61-70
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Buddy Hield, Keshon Gilbert, Keaton Wallace, Zaccharie Risacher, Christian Koloko)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Keshad Johnson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Asa Newell defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-70
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
61-70
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
61-70
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
61-70
Hawks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-70
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
61-70
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
61-70
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
61-70
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-70
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-64
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-64
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Hawks violation
End of 1st Quarter.
Hawks lineup change (Buddy Hield, Keshon Gilbert, RayJ Dennis, Asa Newell, Tony Bradley)
Hawks personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-29
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-29
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Christian Koloko offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Hawks personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-29
Hawks defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
19-29
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
19-29
Hawks personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-29
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-29
Heat personal foul
Christian Koloko misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Keshad Johnson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Christian Koloko makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-28
Christian Koloko defensive rebound
Christian Koloko shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
18-28
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-28
+2
Christian Koloko makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Keshon Gilbert assists)
16-26
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Christian Koloko misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (Buddy Hield, Keshon Gilbert, RayJ Dennis, Asa Newell, Christian Koloko)
+1
Christian Koloko makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-26
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-26
Heat defensive rebound
Jump ball. (Keshad Johnson gains possession)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Keshad Johnson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Keshad Johnson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Asa Newell defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Hawks personal foul
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Keshad Johnson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware)
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Keshon Gilbert, RayJ Dennis, Asa Newell, Christian Koloko)
Hawks personal foul
RayJ Dennis turnover (offensive foul)
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Keshon Gilbert, RayJ Dennis, Zaccharie Risacher, Christian Koloko)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Keshad Johnson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
13-24
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-21
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
13-19
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
11-19
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Keaton Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-16
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Keaton Wallace, RayJ Dennis, Zaccharie Risacher, Christian Koloko)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware)
+1
Keaton Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-16
RayJ Dennis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Tony Bradley offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hawks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-16
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-14
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Keaton Wallace, RayJ Dennis, Zaccharie Risacher, Tony Bradley)
Hawks turnover
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-12
+1
Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-12
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
7-12
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
7-9
Corey Kispert defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-8
Hawks personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
4-9
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-6
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
4-4
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-4
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
2-2
Heat personal foul
Corey Kispert misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Asa Newell offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tony Bradley vs. Kel'el Ware (Tyler Herro gains possession)
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell, Zaccharie Risacher, Tony Bradley)
Start of 1st Quarter
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 35 | C. Koloko | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| G | 51 | K. Gilbert | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| G | 0 | R. Dennis | 10 | 3 | 3 |
| G | 2 | K. Wallace | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| F | 14 | A. Newell | 17 | 11 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 8 | T. Keels | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 17 | J. Young | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| C | 50 | V. Goldin | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 16 | K. Johnson | 12 | 4 | 3 |
| F | 15 | M. Gardner | 2 | 2 | 3 |
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Hawks vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Hawks vs. Heat
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -9.5
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5
- Moneyline Odds: Hawks +400, Heat -381
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Hawks: 20%
- Heat: 80%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Hawks 115-125 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hawks a win probability of 20%, while the Heat have a win probability of 80%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Hawks vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
