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Warriors vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Hawks NBA game on March 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
110
126
Mar 22, 12AM State Farm Arena
Mar 22, 12AM State Farm Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 36 | 21 | 28 | 25 | 110 |
Hawks | 35 | 22 | 49 | 20 | 126 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 36 | 21 | 28 | 25 | 110 |
Hawks | 35 | 22 | 49 | 20 | 126 |
Q4 00:04 LJ Cryer misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:18 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:30 LJ Cryer misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Mouhamed Gueye blocks Nate Williams's two point running layup
Q4 00:44 Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:51 Buddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
LJ Cryer misses two point jump shot
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Gabe Vincent defensive rebound
LJ Cryer misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mouhamed Gueye blocks Nate Williams's two point running layup
Nate Williams defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
110-126
Buddy Hield turnover (Malevy Leons steals)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
110-126
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
110-126
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Buddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Malevy Leons misses two point turnaround hook shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Nate Williams misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nate Williams defensive rebound
Corey Kispert misses two point driving layup
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Mouhamed Gueye blocks Omer Yurtseven's two point putback layup
Omer Yurtseven offensive rebound
LJ Cryer misses two point layup
Buddy Hield turnover (Malevy Leons steals)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
110-126
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
+2
Jock Landale makes two point jump shot
101-126
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Gabe Vincent, Corey Kispert, Buddy Hield, Mouhamed Gueye)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Nate Williams, Omer Yurtseven, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Jock Landale makes two point jump shot (Corey Kispert assists)
110-126
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
110-126
Nate Williams offensive rebound
Omer Yurtseven misses three point jump shot
CJ McCollum turnover
Jock Landale personal foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)
Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, Gabe Vincent, Corey Kispert, Buddy Hield, Mouhamed Gueye)
+3
Will Richard makes three point jump shot
99-122
Will Richard defensive rebound
Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
99-122
Nate Williams defensive rebound
CJ McCollum misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Nate Williams personal foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-126
Hawks offensive rebound
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-126
Corey Kispert misses three point jump shot
Corey Kispert defensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses three point stepback jump shot
Hawks turnover
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Corey Kispert makes two point jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)
94-120
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks offensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, Corey Kispert, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mouhamed Gueye)
Nate Williams turnover
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dyson Daniels misses three point jump shot
+3
Nate Williams makes three point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
94-120
+2
Dyson Daniels makes two point putback layup
94-120
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pat Spencer makes two point jump shot
110-126
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
110-126
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
110-126
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Nate Williams, Omer Yurtseven, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer)
Warriors personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, Corey Kispert, Dyson Daniels, Jonathan Kuminga, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
110-126
Warriors 60 second timeout
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 1
110-126
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Nate Williams personal foul
Hawks offensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Dyson Daniels, Jonathan Kuminga, Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Nate Williams, Omer Yurtseven, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Brandin Podziemski makes two point jump shot
87-113
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
87-113
LJ Cryer personal foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
101-126
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Corey Kispert personal foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
85-106
Nate Williams personal foul
+1
Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 1 of 1
94-120
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Nate Williams, Omer Yurtseven, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
Omer Yurtseven turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
85-104
LJ Cryer turnover (traveling)
Corey Kispert offensive foul (Charge) (Gui Santos draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, De'Anthony Melton, LJ Cryer, Nate Williams, Omer Yurtseven)
Corey Kispert offensive rebound
Corey Kispert turnover (offensive foul)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
110-126
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-102
Hawks personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-104
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Dyson Daniels, Jonathan Kuminga, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum)
Hawks turnover
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, De'Anthony Melton, LJ Cryer, Omer Yurtseven)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Corey Kispert, Jonathan Kuminga, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot
85-106
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, Dyson Daniels, Jonathan Kuminga, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Warriors defensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Nate Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-106
Nate Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Nate Williams, Omer Yurtseven, Malevy Leons)
Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
+2
Pat Spencer makes two point cutting layup (Nate Williams assists)
85-106
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point pullup jump shot
85-106
De'Anthony Melton personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-106
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-126
Warriors offensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-126
+1
Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-126
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Zaccharie Risacher makes two point driving layup
94-120
Warriors turnover
Hawks turnover
Will Richard personal foul
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Nate Williams, Omer Yurtseven, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Hawks personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, LJ Cryer, Nate Williams, Omer Yurtseven, Brandin Podziemski)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Nate Williams, Omer Yurtseven, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
110-126
Warriors turnover
Jonathan Kuminga personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, LJ Cryer, Omer Yurtseven, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Dyson Daniels makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
110-126
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
94-120
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Jock Landale, Gabe Vincent, Dyson Daniels, Jonathan Kuminga)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Jock Landale, Gabe Vincent, Dyson Daniels, Mouhamed Gueye)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
LJ Cryer turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
CJ McCollum misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, LJ Cryer, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Jock Landale, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mouhamed Gueye)
Hawks 60 second timeout
+3
LJ Cryer makes three point running jump shot (Gui Santos assists)
85-106
Hawks turnover
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Hawks offensive rebound
+1
Zaccharie Risacher makes regular free throw 2 of 3
85-106
+1
Zaccharie Risacher makes regular free throw 3 of 3
94-120
Zaccharie Risacher misses regular free throw 1 of 3
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot
85-106
Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
+2
Mouhamed Gueye makes two point tip dunk
94-120
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, LJ Cryer, Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mouhamed Gueye)
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot
85-106
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point driving layup
66-86
+2
Pat Spencer makes two point jump shot
85-106
+2
Onyeka Okongwu makes two point jump shot
85-106
Will Richard personal foul
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Will Richard misses three point running pullup jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot
66-86
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-122
Warriors personal foul
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-122
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-122
Warriors turnover
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
63-78
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot
+3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Dyson Daniels assists)
63-75
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
+3
Mouhamed Gueye makes three point jump shot (Dyson Daniels assists)
99-122
Gui Santos turnover (lost ball) (Dyson Daniels steals)
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point driving layup
99-122
Warriors 60 second timeout
Draymond Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
76-98
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
76-98
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
+2
Onyeka Okongwu makes two point tip layup
57-57
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-57
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Mouhamed Gueye)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, Omer Yurtseven, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
+1
CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-57
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mouhamed Gueye)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Hawks personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-57
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski)
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-57
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
57-57
CJ McCollum personal foul
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-57
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-57
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
57-57
Will Richard turnover (Nickeil Alexander-Walker steals)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
57-57
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
57-57
Hawks personal foul
Warriors personal foul
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-57
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-57
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, LJ Cryer, Quinten Post, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, LJ Cryer, Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
+3
Mouhamed Gueye makes three point jump shot
54-53
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
CJ McCollum misses three point jump shot
Hawks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Warriors personal foul
Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
CJ McCollum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker shooting foul (Will Richard draws the foul)
Hawks 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge)
Will Richard offensive rebound
Hawks challenge timeout
Will Richard misses two point layup
Hawks defensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
Will Richard turnover (lost ball) (Nickeil Alexander-Walker steals)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Will Richard offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
54-50
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
52-50
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Mouhamed Gueye makes three point jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)
52-47
Nate Williams personal foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mouhamed Gueye)
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point jump shot
52-44
Hawks turnover
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jonathan Kuminga, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Dyson Daniels makes two point floating jump shot (Corey Kispert assists)
52-50
Corey Kispert offensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu misses three point jump shot
+3
De'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot
50-42
Warriors personal foul
Hawks 60 second timeout
+1
Zaccharie Risacher makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-50
+1
Zaccharie Risacher makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-50
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-40
Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
Hawks turnover
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Nate Williams, Brandin Podziemski)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
45-40
Hawks turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
43-40
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
41-40
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Corey Kispert, Dyson Daniels, Jonathan Kuminga, Onyeka Okongwu)
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, LJ Cryer, Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Jock Landale, Corey Kispert, Dyson Daniels, Jonathan Kuminga)
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
41-37
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
38-37
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
38-35
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, LJ Cryer, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Jock Landale, Corey Kispert, Jonathan Kuminga, CJ McCollum)
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-35
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski)
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
35-35
Warriors turnover
Jump ball. (Quinten Post gains possession)
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
35-32
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
32-32
Hawks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
32-29
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Jock Landale, Jonathan Kuminga, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, Quinten Post, Nate Williams, Brandin Podziemski)
Hawks turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
30-29
Hawks turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
28-29
De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
25-29
Hawks personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
26-29
Hawks personal foul
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Nate Williams, Brandin Podziemski)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
23-29
Warriors personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Jock Landale, Gabe Vincent, Jonathan Kuminga, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, LJ Cryer, Quinten Post, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer)
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
23-26
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
23-24
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
20-24
Hawks personal foul
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, LJ Cryer, Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Jock Landale, Gabe Vincent, Dyson Daniels, Jonathan Kuminga)
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-22
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
19-22
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
19-20
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
16-20
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
16-17
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Gabe Vincent, Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu, Mouhamed Gueye)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
14-17
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
14-15
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks turnover
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, LJ Cryer, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
11-15
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
8-15
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
8-13
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
5-13
Warriors personal foul
Will Richard turnover (offensive foul)
+1
Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 1 of 1
5-10
Quinten Post shooting foul (Dyson Daniels draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 77 | O. Yurtseven | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 18 | 0 | 3 |
| G | 18 | L. Cryer | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 33 | M. Leons | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 19 | N. Williams | 19 | 4 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 24 | C. Kispert | 8 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 8 | B. Hield | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 4 | G. Vincent | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| F | 10 | Z. Risacher | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 18 | M. Gueye | 16 | 10 | 2 |
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Warriors vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Hawks
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Hawks favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 234.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors +285, Hawks -300
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 28%
- Hawks: 72%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 111-117 Hawks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 28%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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