Lakers vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Heat NBA game on March 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Lakers
134
126
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
TEAM1234T
Lakers
29 30 35 36 134
Heat
42 23 19 40 126
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lakers
    >99%
  • Heat
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Lakers
29 30 35 36 134
Heat
42 23 19 40 126
Q4 00:00 Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:05 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:10 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:15 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Norman Powell makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 LeBron James makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  2. Q4 00:00
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  4. Q4 00:02
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:05
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:07
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:10
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 00:14
    Lakers offensive rebound
  9. Q4 00:14
    Pelle Larsson personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
  10. Q4 00:14
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    130-124
  11. Q4 00:14
    Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  12. Q4 00:15
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    130-124
  13. Q4 00:20
    Heat personal foul
  14. Q4 00:20
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    130-124
  15. Q4 00:20
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart)
  16. Q4 00:20
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    130-124
  17. Q4 00:22
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  18. Q4 00:22
    Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart)
  19. Q4 00:22
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro)
  20. Q4 00:30
    Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  21. Q4 00:37
    Norman Powell personal foul
  22. Q4 00:37
    Heat 60 second timeout
  23. Q4 00:37
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  24. Q4 00:37
    Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  25. Q4 00:37
    Lakers offensive rebound
  26. Q4 00:37
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    130-124
  27. Q4 00:37
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
  28. Q4 00:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  29. Q4 00:55
    Heat personal foul
  30. Q4 00:55
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    130-124
  31. Q4 00:55
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    130-124
  32. Q4 1:01
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    130-124
  33. Q4 1:23
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point jump shot
    126-121
  34. Q4 1:24
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  35. Q4 1:27
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  36. Q4 1:37
    +2
    LeBron James makes two point jump shot
    126-119
  37. Q4 1:52
    +2
    Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
    124-119
  38. Q4 1:59
    +3
    Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)
    124-119
  39. Q4 2:18
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    124-119
  40. Q4 2:18
    Austin Reaves shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
  41. Q4 2:18
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    130-124
  42. Q4 2:25
    Heat personal foul
  43. Q4 2:25
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    130-124
  44. Q4 2:25
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    130-124
  45. Q4 2:45
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    130-124
  46. Q4 2:58
    Heat defensive rebound
  47. Q4 2:58
    LeBron James misses two point jump shot
  48. Q4 2:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  49. Q4 3:28
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point jump shot
    126-121
  50. Q4 3:40
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    130-124
  51. Q4 3:40
    Heat 60 second timeout
  52. Q4 3:40
    Luka Doncic offensive rebound
  53. Q4 3:41
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  54. Q4 3:47
    Heat turnover
  55. Q4 3:54
    Heat personal foul
  56. Q4 3:54
    +2
    Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot
    126-121
  57. Q4 3:54
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    130-124
  58. Q4 4:17
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    114-110
  59. Q4 4:31
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    114-107
  60. Q4 4:39
    Norman Powell turnover
  61. Q4 4:53
    LeBron James offensive rebound
  62. Q4 4:53
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  63. Q4 4:53
    Heat personal foul
  64. Q4 4:53
    LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  65. Q4 4:53
    Lakers offensive rebound
  66. Q4 4:53
    LeBron James offensive rebound
  67. Q4 4:53
    +1
    LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-107
  68. Q4 4:55
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  69. Q4 5:04
    Marcus Smart turnover
  70. Q4 5:04
    Lakers personal foul
  71. Q4 5:04
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-105
  72. Q4 5:04
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-107
  73. Q4 5:10
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  74. Q4 5:10
    Deandre Ayton offensive foul
  75. Q4 5:10
    Deandre Ayton turnover (offensive foul)
  76. Q4 5:10
    Heat challenge timeout
  77. Q4 5:10
    Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
  78. Q4 5:10
    Heat 60 second timeout
  79. Q4 5:30
    +3
    Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    111-107
  80. Q4 5:39
    Heat personal foul
  81. Q4 5:39
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    130-124
  82. Q4 5:39
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    130-124
  83. Q4 5:51
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  84. Q4 5:54
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  85. Q4 6:07
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  86. Q4 6:10
    Norman Powell shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
  87. Q4 6:10
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    130-124
  88. Q4 6:10
    Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  89. Q4 6:18
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  90. Q4 6:27
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    108-102
  91. Q4 6:27
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  92. Q4 6:27
    Heat offensive rebound
  93. Q4 6:27
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  94. Q4 6:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  95. Q4 6:28
    Deandre Ayton shooting foul
  96. Q4 6:28
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  97. Q4 6:28
    Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  98. Q4 6:31
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  99. Q4 6:35
    Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
  100. Q4 6:51
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  101. Q4 6:55
    Lakers personal foul
  102. Q4 6:55
    Heat 60 second timeout
  103. Q4 6:55
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    130-124
  104. Q4 6:55
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  105. Q4 7:04
    Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
  106. Q4 7:04
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell)
  107. Q4 7:04
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    130-124
  108. Q4 7:04
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    130-124
  109. Q4 7:17
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
    106-100
  110. Q4 7:35
    Norman Powell shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)
  111. Q4 7:35
    LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  112. Q4 7:35
    +1
    LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    109-102
  113. Q4 7:35
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart)
  114. Q4 7:35
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart)
  115. Q4 7:35
    Lakers offensive rebound
  116. Q4 7:35
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  117. Q4 7:36
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  118. Q4 7:37
    Bam Adebayo misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  119. Q4 7:52
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    126-121
  120. Q4 8:02
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
    109-102
  121. Q4 8:22
    Lakers turnover (shot clock violation)
  122. Q4 8:43
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  123. Q4 8:47
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  124. Q4 8:58
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    102-96
  125. Q4 9:23
    Marcus Smart shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  126. Q4 9:23
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    109-102
  127. Q4 9:23
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    130-124
  128. Q4 9:23
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    130-124
  129. Q4 9:30
    Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
  130. Q4 9:30
    Heat offensive rebound
  131. Q4 9:30
    Jake LaRavia personal foul (Loose ball) (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
  132. Q4 9:30
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia)
  133. Q4 9:33
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  134. Q4 9:43
    Heat personal foul
  135. Q4 9:43
    +2
    Austin Reaves makes two point pullup bank jump shot (LeBron James assists)
    100-93
  136. Q4 9:43
    Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  137. Q4 10:05
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point cutting dunk (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
    109-102
  138. Q4 10:21
    Jake LaRavia personal foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
  139. Q4 10:23
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  140. Q4 10:26
    Dru Smith shooting foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
  141. Q4 10:26
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    100-93
  142. Q4 10:26
    Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  143. Q4 10:29
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  144. Q4 10:31
    Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
  145. Q4 10:34
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  146. Q4 10:35
    LeBron James misses two point driving layup
  147. Q4 10:39
    Lakers turnover
  148. Q4 10:40
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  149. Q4 10:41
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  150. Q4 10:51
    Lakers defensive rebound
  151. Q4 10:51
    Norman Powell misses two point jump shot
  152. Q4 11:04
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  153. Q4 11:05
    Jake LaRavia misses two point driving floating jump shot
  154. Q4 11:35
    +3
    Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
    109-102
  155. Q3 00:00
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  156. Q3 00:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  157. Q3 00:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  158. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  159. Q4 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Jake LaRavia)
  160. Q4 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  161. Q3 00:03
    Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
  162. Q3 00:19
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  163. Q3 00:19
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point floating jump shot
    94-84
  164. Q3 00:22
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
  165. Q3 00:31
    Jake LaRavia personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  166. Q3 00:35
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  167. Q3 00:37
    Rui Hachimura misses two point layup
  168. Q3 00:52
    +2
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
    102-96
  169. Q3 00:59
    +3
    Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
    109-102
  170. Q3 1:03
    Heat violation
  171. Q3 1:08
    Heat turnover
  172. Q3 1:23
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  173. Q3 1:25
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  174. Q3 1:37
    Heat violation
  175. Q3 1:59
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
    94-84
  176. Q3 2:15
    +2
    Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot
    94-84
  177. Q3 2:24
    Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia)
  178. Q3 2:24
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  179. Q3 2:24
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  180. Q3 2:28
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  181. Q3 2:31
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  182. Q3 2:40
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  183. Q3 2:42
    Luka Doncic misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  184. Q3 3:06
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    130-124
  185. Q3 3:21
    +2
    Jaxson Hayes makes two point jump shot
    92-79
  186. Q3 3:36
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point running layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
    90-79
  187. Q3 3:43
    Rui Hachimura turnover (Norman Powell steals)
  188. Q3 3:53
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  189. Q3 3:56
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  190. Q3 4:09
    Lakers personal foul
  191. Q3 4:09
    Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Austin Reaves)
  192. Q3 4:09
    LeBron James turnover (offensive foul)
  193. Q3 4:24
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  194. Q3 4:28
    Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
  195. Q3 4:42
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  196. Q3 4:44
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  197. Q3 4:57
    Pelle Larsson personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
  198. Q3 4:57
    Pelle Larsson turnover (offensive foul)
  199. Q3 4:57
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  200. Q3 5:09
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    84-77
  201. Q3 5:09
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    84-77
  202. Q3 5:09
    Norman Powell shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
  203. Q3 5:09
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    109-102
  204. Q3 5:18
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  205. Q3 5:22
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  206. Q3 5:36
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    90-77
  207. Q3 5:36
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    90-79
  208. Q3 5:36
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell)
  209. Q3 5:36
    Simone Fontecchio personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
  210. Q3 5:36
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    130-124
  211. Q3 5:50
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  212. Q3 5:52
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  213. Q3 5:57
    Lakers violation
  214. Q3 6:08
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    90-77
  215. Q3 6:15
    Heat turnover
  216. Q3 6:29
    +3
    Austin Reaves makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)
    82-77
  217. Q3 6:52
    Lakers personal foul
  218. Q3 6:52
    Heat offensive rebound
  219. Q3 6:52
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  220. Q3 6:52
    Heat 60 second timeout
  221. Q3 6:52
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    109-102
  222. Q3 7:04
    +2
    LeBron James makes two point jump shot
    79-76
  223. Q3 7:08
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  224. Q3 7:11
    Pelle Larsson misses two point jump shot
  225. Q3 7:15
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  226. Q3 7:18
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  227. Q3 7:20
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  228. Q3 7:24
    Simone Fontecchio misses two point putback layup
  229. Q3 7:26
    Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
  230. Q3 7:33
    Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
  231. Q3 7:48
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    87-77
  232. Q3 8:06
    +3
    Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot
    90-79
  233. Q3 8:23
    +3
    Marcus Smart makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)
    90-79
  234. Q3 8:39
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-77
  235. Q3 8:39
    Lakers personal foul
  236. Q3 8:39
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-84
  237. Q3 8:44
    Austin Reaves misses three point pullup jump shot
  238. Q3 8:44
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  239. Q3 8:46
    LeBron James offensive rebound
  240. Q3 8:50
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  241. Q3 8:56
    Davion Mitchell turnover (Luka Doncic steals)
  242. Q3 9:05
    +3
    Luka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot
    102-96
  243. Q3 9:21
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    87-77
  244. Q3 9:31
    +3
    Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot
    90-77
  245. Q3 9:47
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot
    90-77
  246. Q3 9:59
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    66-67
  247. Q3 10:13
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
    90-77
  248. Q3 10:32
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    90-77
  249. Q3 10:38
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  250. Q3 10:42
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  251. Q3 10:46
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  252. Q3 10:51
    Marcus Smart misses three point running jump shot
  253. Q3 10:56
    Heat turnover
  254. Q3 11:05
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  255. Q3 11:09
    Austin Reaves misses three point jump shot
  256. Q3 11:21
    Marcus Smart defensive rebound
  257. Q3 11:24
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  258. Q3 11:36
    Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
  259. Q3 11:40
    Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
  260. Q3 11:55
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    87-77
  261. Q2 00:00
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  262. Q2 00:00
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  263. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  264. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
  265. Q3 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart)
  266. Q2 00:15
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    59-65
  267. Q2 00:30
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    57-65
  268. Q2 00:44
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  269. Q2 00:47
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  270. Q2 00:59
    Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
  271. Q2 1:00
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  272. Q2 1:15
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    57-62
  273. Q2 1:27
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  274. Q2 1:29
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  275. Q2 1:54
    Lakers turnover
  276. Q2 2:08
    Heat turnover
  277. Q2 2:28
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    55-62
  278. Q2 2:37
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  279. Q2 2:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  280. Q2 2:37
    Lakers offensive rebound
  281. Q2 2:37
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  282. Q2 2:37
    Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves, Jake LaRavia)
  283. Q2 2:37
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell)
  284. Q2 2:51
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    53-62
  285. Q2 3:05
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    53-59
  286. Q2 3:18
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  287. Q2 3:21
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  288. Q2 3:29
    Heat violation
  289. Q2 3:31
    Lakers violation
  290. Q2 3:33
    Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
  291. Q2 3:33
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  292. Q2 3:34
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  293. Q2 3:54
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  294. Q2 3:59
    Heat offensive rebound
  295. Q2 3:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  296. Q2 3:59
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  297. Q2 4:00
    Luka Doncic turnover (Davion Mitchell steals)
  298. Q2 4:04
    Davion Mitchell turnover (Luka Doncic steals)
  299. Q2 4:10
    +3
    Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Jaxson Hayes assists)
    49-57
  300. Q2 4:25
    Lakers personal foul
  301. Q2 4:25
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-59
  302. Q2 4:25
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    51-59
  303. Q2 4:39
    +2
    Luka Doncic makes two point running alley-oop layup
    46-55
  304. Q2 4:44
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  305. Q2 4:47
    Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
  306. Q2 4:55
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware)
  307. Q2 4:55
    Rui Hachimura personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
  308. Q2 4:55
    Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia)
  309. Q2 5:04
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    46-55
  310. Q2 5:06
    LeBron James offensive rebound
  311. Q2 5:06
    Jaxson Hayes misses two point tip layup
  312. Q2 5:07
    Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
  313. Q2 5:07
    Jaxson Hayes misses two point tip layup
  314. Q2 5:07
    Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
  315. Q2 5:11
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  316. Q2 5:38
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
    46-55
  317. Q2 5:40
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  318. Q2 5:44
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  319. Q2 6:01
    Heat defensive rebound
  320. Q2 6:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  321. Q2 6:01
    Heat 60 second timeout
  322. Q2 6:01
    Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Austin Reaves)
  323. Q2 6:02
    Tyler Herro blocks Austin Reaves's two point running dunk
  324. Q2 6:02
    Austin Reaves turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  325. Q2 6:03
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  326. Q2 6:07
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  327. Q2 6:14
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  328. Q2 6:20
    Austin Reaves misses three point jump shot
  329. Q2 6:46
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    42-53
  330. Q2 6:53
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  331. Q2 6:57
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  332. Q2 7:02
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  333. Q2 7:05
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  334. Q2 7:22
    Heat personal foul
  335. Q2 7:22
    Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  336. Q2 7:22
    Lakers offensive rebound
  337. Q2 7:22
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    41-51
  338. Q2 7:22
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    42-51
  339. Q2 7:22
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell)
  340. Q2 7:42
    Lakers personal foul
  341. Q2 7:42
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  342. Q2 7:42
    Heat offensive rebound
  343. Q2 7:42
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Jake LaRavia)
  344. Q2 7:42
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell)
  345. Q2 7:42
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-51
  346. Q2 7:54
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    40-50
  347. Q2 8:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  348. Q2 8:06
    Heat personal foul
  349. Q2 8:06
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell)
  350. Q2 8:11
    Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
  351. Q2 8:13
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  352. Q2 8:25
    Lakers turnover
  353. Q2 8:33
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  354. Q2 8:36
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  355. Q2 8:48
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  356. Q2 8:52
    Heat personal foul
  357. Q2 8:52
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    38-50
  358. Q2 8:52
    Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  359. Q2 9:14
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    37-50
  360. Q2 9:27
    Lakers personal foul
  361. Q2 9:33
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    37-48
  362. Q2 9:58
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    34-48
  363. Q2 10:06
    Dru Smith offensive rebound
  364. Q2 10:10
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  365. Q2 10:33
    Lakers turnover
  366. Q2 10:42
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  367. Q2 10:45
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  368. Q2 11:01
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    33-46
  369. Q2 11:01
    Heat personal foul
  370. Q2 11:01
    +1
    LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    34-46
  371. Q2 11:19
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    31-46
  372. Q2 11:36
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    31-44
  373. Q2 11:50
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    29-44
  374. Q2 11:54
    Lakers turnover
  375. Q1 00:00
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  376. Q1 00:00
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  377. Q1 00:00
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  378. Q1 00:00
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  379. Q1 00:00
    Lakers offensive rebound
  380. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  381. Q2 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia)
  382. Q1 00:05
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  383. Q1 00:25
    Lakers turnover
  384. Q1 00:25
    Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes, Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
  385. Q1 00:49
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    29-42
  386. Q1 00:52
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  387. Q1 00:56
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  388. Q1 00:57
    Luke Kennard offensive rebound
  389. Q1 1:00
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  390. Q1 1:13
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    29-40
  391. Q1 1:33
    Lakers turnover
  392. Q1 1:33
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  393. Q1 1:35
    Heat turnover
  394. Q1 1:37
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  395. Q1 1:38
    Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
  396. Q1 1:38
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  397. Q1 1:44
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  398. Q1 2:10
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    29-38
  399. Q1 2:12
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  400. Q1 2:15
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  401. Q1 2:31
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    29-36
  402. Q1 2:48
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    27-36
  403. Q1 2:58
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  404. Q1 3:00
    Heat personal foul
  405. Q1 3:00
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    27-33
  406. Q1 3:00
    Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  407. Q1 3:19
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    26-33
  408. Q1 3:19
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    26-35
  409. Q1 3:19
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  410. Q1 3:19
    Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James, Austin Reaves)
  411. Q1 3:19
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware)
  412. Q1 3:19
    Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James, Austin Reaves)
  413. Q1 3:19
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  414. Q1 3:19
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  415. Q1 3:19
    Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes, Luka Doncic, LeBron James)
  416. Q1 3:25
    Heat personal foul
  417. Q1 3:25
    Lakers offensive rebound
  418. Q1 3:25
    Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  419. Q1 3:25
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    26-31
  420. Q1 3:35
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    25-31
  421. Q1 3:46
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    25-29
  422. Q1 4:02
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    22-29
  423. Q1 4:10
    Heat personal foul
  424. Q1 4:10
    +1
    Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    21-27
  425. Q1 4:10
    +1
    Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-27
  426. Q1 4:19
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  427. Q1 4:22
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  428. Q1 4:31
    Lakers personal foul
  429. Q1 4:31
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  430. Q1 4:35
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  431. Q1 4:39
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  432. Q1 4:42
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  433. Q1 4:47
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  434. Q1 4:51
    Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
  435. Q1 4:56
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  436. Q1 5:02
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    20-27
  437. Q1 5:09
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    18-27
  438. Q1 5:11
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  439. Q1 5:15
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  440. Q1 5:25
    Heat personal foul
  441. Q1 5:41
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    18-25
  442. Q1 5:51
    Heat personal foul
  443. Q1 5:51
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    17-23
  444. Q1 5:51
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    18-23
  445. Q1 5:51
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell)
  446. Q1 6:08
    Lakers personal foul
  447. Q1 6:08
    Heat 60 second timeout
  448. Q1 6:08
    Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves)
  449. Q1 6:08
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    16-22
  450. Q1 6:08
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    16-23
  451. Q1 6:23
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    16-21
  452. Q1 6:33
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    14-21
  453. Q1 6:40
    +3
    Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot
    14-19
  454. Q1 6:56
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    11-19
  455. Q1 7:02
    Lakers personal foul
  456. Q1 7:09
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    11-16
  457. Q1 7:13
    Austin Reaves offensive rebound
  458. Q1 7:18
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  459. Q1 7:27
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    8-16
  460. Q1 7:39
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    8-14
  461. Q1 7:40
    Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
  462. Q1 7:43
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  463. Q1 7:58
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  464. Q1 8:02
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  465. Q1 8:13
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    6-14
  466. Q1 8:16
    Marcus Smart defensive rebound
  467. Q1 8:21
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  468. Q1 8:24
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  469. Q1 8:25
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  470. Q1 8:39
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    4-14
  471. Q1 8:59
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    4-12
  472. Q1 9:17
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    2-12
  473. Q1 9:29
    Heat personal foul
  474. Q1 9:29
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    1-9
  475. Q1 9:29
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    2-9
  476. Q1 9:40
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    0-9
  477. Q1 9:43
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  478. Q1 9:46
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  479. Q1 9:58
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    0-7
  480. Q1 10:04
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  481. Q1 10:06
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  482. Q1 10:12
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  483. Q1 10:15
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  484. Q1 10:22
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  485. Q1 10:27
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  486. Q1 10:49
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  487. Q1 10:51
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  488. Q1 10:57
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  489. Q1 11:00
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  490. Q1 11:19
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    0-5
  491. Q1 11:26
    Lakers turnover
  492. Q1 11:38
    Lakers personal foul
  493. Q1 11:38
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    0-1
  494. Q1 11:38
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    0-2
  495. Q1 12:00
    Deandre Ayton vs. Bam Adebayo (Davion Mitchell gains possession)
Box Score
Lakers
PosPlayerPts
Heat
PosPlayerPts

Lakers vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lakers vs. Heat
  • Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -4.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lakers +136, Heat 58¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lakers: 37%
  • Heat: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 119-122 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 37%, while the Heat have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lakers vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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