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Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Thunder NBA game on March 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Warriors
97
104
Mar 8, 1:30AM Paycom Center
Thunder
Mar 8, 1:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Warriors
28 26 29 14 97
Thunder
34 33 19 18 104
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
WarriorsGSW
Win %
<1%
>99%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
28 26 29 14 97
Thunder
34 33 19 18 104
Q4 00:13 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:02 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:09 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:44 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:10
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 00:13
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:27
Warriors personal foul
Q4 00:27
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-103
Q4 00:27
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-104
Q4 00:35
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 00:38
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:42
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
97-102
Q4 00:42
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 00:42
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 00:42
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
Q4 00:42
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 00:42
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Q4 1:02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 1:05
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:13
Warriors turnover
Q4 1:13
Thunder turnover
Q4 1:14
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 1:17
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:36
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q4 1:38
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:44
Warriors personal foul
Q4 2:00
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 2:02
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
97-99
Q4 2:02
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:02
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q4 2:02
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Q4 2:05
Thunder turnover
Q4 2:07
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q4 2:09
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:26
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 2:29
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:41
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q4 2:44
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:51
Warriors turnover
Q4 3:01
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q4 3:07
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:22
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 3:26
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:45
Jump ball. (Kristaps Porzingis gains possession)
Q4 3:45
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball)
Q4 3:47
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 4:00
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
95-99
Q4 4:22
Thunder personal foul
Q4 4:22
Cason Wallace turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 4:22
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Q4 4:36
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q4 4:38
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:55
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q4 4:58
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:24
+3
LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot
93-99
Q4 5:42
Warriors personal foul
Q4 5:42
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 3
90-97
Q4 5:42
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 3
90-98
Q4 5:42
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 5:42
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 5:42
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
Q4 5:42
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 3 of 3
90-99
Q4 5:54
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 5:56
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:07
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q4 6:10
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:19
Warriors turnover
Q4 6:32
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
90-96
Q4 6:46
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
90-94
Q4 7:09
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-94
Q4 7:18
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 7:22
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:39
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q4 7:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:57
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q4 8:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:04
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 8:04
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 8:04
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
Q4 8:21
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
88-92
Q4 8:33
Thunder turnover
Q4 8:42
Al Horford personal foul (Loose ball)
Q4 8:42
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 8:43
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:52
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Q4 8:57
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:08
Warriors personal foul
Q4 9:08
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer)
Q4 9:21
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 9:25
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:32
Thunder personal foul
Q4 9:40
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Q4 9:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:53
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 9:56
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:10
Warriors defensive rebound
Q4 10:10
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:11
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:28
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
86-92
Q4 10:51
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-92
Q4 10:56
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 11:00
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:17
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-89
Q4 11:20
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q4 11:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 11:38
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 11:38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 11:39
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:40
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Q4 11:43
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
83-86
Q3 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
Q3 00:02
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:19
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q3 00:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:33
Warriors personal foul
Q3 00:33
Kristaps Porzingis turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 00:33
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
Q3 00:39
Warriors personal foul
Q3 00:39
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-85
Q3 00:39
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
Q3 00:39
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 00:39
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-86
Q3 00:57
Thunder personal foul
Q3 00:57
+1
Nate Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-84
Q3 00:57
+1
Nate Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-84
Q3 00:57
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams)
Q3 1:15
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
79-84
Q3 1:28
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q3 1:30
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:48
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q3 1:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:06
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q3 2:08
Warriors offensive rebound
Q3 2:08
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:08
Gary Payton II misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 2:08
Warriors offensive rebound
Q3 2:08
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams)
Q3 2:08
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer)
Q3 2:08
Gary Payton II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 2:09
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:23
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q3 2:25
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:30
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:31
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 2:31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 2:38
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
79-81
Q3 2:38
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Q3 2:45
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:46
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Q3 2:48
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Q3 2:48
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:51
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:14
Warriors personal foul
Q3 3:14
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-80
Q3 3:14
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q3 3:14
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Nate Williams)
Q3 3:14
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brooks Barnhizer)
Q3 3:14
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-81
Q3 3:27
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:28
Warriors offensive rebound
Q3 3:28
Warriors turnover
Q3 3:28
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Nate Williams)
Q3 3:52
Warriors personal foul
Q3 3:52
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-78
Q3 3:52
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-79
Q3 3:54
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 3:54
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 3:54
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Nate Williams)
Q3 3:56
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:14
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
77-77
Q3 4:30
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q3 4:30
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-77
Q3 4:35
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:40
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Q3 4:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:48
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 4:50
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:02
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Q3 5:06
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:19
Thunder personal foul
Q3 5:19
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-75
Q3 5:19
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-75
Q3 5:20
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Q3 5:21
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q3 5:21
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:23
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:32
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q3 5:32
Thunder personal foul
Q3 5:32
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q3 5:37
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:48
Thunder personal foul
Q3 5:48
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-75
Q3 5:48
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 5:48
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
Q3 5:48
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-75
Q3 6:07
Thunder turnover
Q3 6:07
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Q3 6:11
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q3 6:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:29
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
70-75
Q3 6:50
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-75
Q3 7:05
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Q3 7:05
Warriors turnover
Q3 7:07
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:29
Thunder personal foul
Q3 7:29
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 7:29
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
Q3 7:29
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 7:44
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
67-73
Q3 8:00
Thunder turnover
Q3 8:11
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 8:12
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:25
Thunder turnover
Q3 8:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:33
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 8:33
Warriors personal foul
Q3 8:56
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
65-73
Q3 8:56
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 8:56
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer)
Q3 9:14
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q3 9:16
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:31
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
63-73
Q3 9:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-73
Q3 10:00
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
60-71
Q3 10:13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-71
Q3 10:23
Warriors turnover
Q3 10:38
Thunder turnover
Q3 10:52
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
58-69
Q3 11:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-69
Q3 11:32
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
56-67
Q3 11:39
Warriors offensive rebound
Q3 11:39
Thunder personal foul
Q3 11:41
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:43
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q3 11:44
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Q2 00:04
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:24
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q2 00:27
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:32
Thunder turnover
Q2 00:51
Warriors turnover
Q2 1:05
Jump ball. (Brandin Podziemski gains possession)
Q2 1:05
Jaylin Williams turnover (lost ball)
Q2 1:05
Luguentz Dort turnover (bad pass)
Q2 1:12
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 1:15
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:34
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
54-67
Q2 1:44
Thunder personal foul
Q2 1:44
Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 1:44
Warriors offensive rebound
Q2 1:44
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-65
Q2 1:44
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 1:48
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q2 1:52
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:06
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:06
Warriors offensive rebound
Q2 2:06
Thunder violation
Q2 2:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
51-65
Q2 2:32
Thunder personal foul
Q2 2:32
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 2:32
Warriors offensive rebound
Q2 2:32
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 2:32
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Q2 2:32
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-63
Q2 2:45
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
50-63
Q2 3:08
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
50-60
Q2 3:24
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
48-60
Q2 3:48
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
48-57
Q2 4:00
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
45-57
Q2 4:00
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q2 4:00
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Q2 4:06
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 4:10
Aaron Wiggins blocks Warriors's two point jump shot
Q2 4:19
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 4:21
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:30
Warriors turnover
Q2 4:38
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer)
Q2 4:38
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:38
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 4:47
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q2 4:50
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:13
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
45-54
Q2 5:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
42-53
Q2 5:31
Warriors personal foul
Q2 5:31
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, LJ Cryer)
Q2 5:31
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 5:31
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
42-54
Q2 5:54
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
42-51
Q2 6:00
Al Horford offensive rebound
Q2 6:03
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:25
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-51
Q2 6:35
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 6:40
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:50
Thunder personal foul
Q2 7:00
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
40-49
Q2 7:23
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
40-46
Q2 7:37
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
37-46
Q2 7:51
Warriors violation
Q2 7:57
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 8:00
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:06
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 8:06
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
Q2 8:14
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
37-44
Q2 8:23
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 8:30
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:30
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 8:30
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point tip layup
Q2 8:39
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Q2 8:41
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:54
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
37-41
Q2 9:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-41
Q2 9:21
Thunder personal foul
Q2 9:21
Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 9:21
Warriors offensive rebound
Q2 9:21
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-39
Q2 9:38
Warriors personal foul
Q2 9:38
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 3
34-37
Q2 9:38
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 3
34-38
Q2 9:38
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 3 of 3
34-39
Q2 9:55
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 9:58
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-36
Q2 9:58
Thunder personal foul
Q2 9:58
Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 9:58
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer, Nate Williams)
Q2 10:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
33-36
Q2 10:20
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
33-34
Q2 10:33
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Q2 10:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:53
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
31-34
Q2 11:13
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:14
Warriors defensive rebound
Q2 11:14
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 11:16
Brooks Barnhizer offensive rebound
Q2 11:20
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:37
Warriors turnover
Q2 11:48
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:48
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 11:48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 11:48
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q2 11:48
Instant replay
Q1 00:00
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer)
Q1 00:01
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:09
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Q1 00:12
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:24
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q1 00:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:38
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 00:42
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:43
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Q1 00:44
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-34
Q1 1:15
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
27-32
Q1 1:15
Thunder personal foul
Q1 1:15
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-32
Q1 1:32
Warriors personal foul
Q1 1:32
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-31
Q1 1:32
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Nate Williams)
Q1 1:32
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-32
Q1 1:41
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
25-30
Q1 2:01
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-30
Q1 2:02
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Q1 2:06
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:22
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-27
Q1 2:32
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
23-24
Q1 2:39
Thunder personal foul
Q1 2:39
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brooks Barnhizer)
Q1 2:39
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams)
Q1 2:44
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q1 2:47
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:02
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Q1 3:02
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
20-24
Q1 3:07
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:29
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 3:29
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams)
Q1 3:29
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 3:29
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 3:29
Instant replay
Q1 3:29
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
Q1 3:29
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 3:29
Warriors personal foul
Q1 3:29
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams)
Q1 3:29
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 3:29
Kristaps Porzingis turnover
Q1 3:29
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-23
Q1 3:29
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-24
Q1 3:29
Gary Payton II turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q1 3:35
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q1 3:38
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:50
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
18-22
Q1 4:01
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
Q1 4:03
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:18
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
15-22
Q1 4:22
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Q1 4:25
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-22
Q1 4:56
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 5:00
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:04
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Q1 5:06
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:16
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 5:16
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
Q1 5:16
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 5:28
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q1 5:31
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:48
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
13-20
Q1 5:53
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Q1 5:57
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-19
Q1 6:10
Warriors personal foul
Q1 6:10
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 1
11-20
Q1 6:22
Warriors personal foul
Q1 6:22
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 6:22
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 6:24
Warriors turnover
Q1 6:32
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q1 6:35
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:44
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 6:48
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:03
Warriors personal foul
Q1 7:03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 7:03
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 7:03
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
Q1 7:03
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-17
Q1 7:08
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 7:11
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:31
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
11-16
Q1 7:45
+3
LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
11-13
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Warriors
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F23 D. Green 16 4 5
F-C7 K. Porzingis 9 5 5
F15 G. Santos 22 11 3
C20 A. Horford 4 5 4
G0 G. Payton II 7 12 1
Thunder
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F5 L. Dort 8 5 2
F22 C. Wallace 9 0 2
G-F34 K. Williams 13 7 1
C6 J. Williams 9 14 4
G2 S. Gilgeous-Alexander 27 5 5

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Warriors vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Thunder
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -11.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors +475, Thunder -560

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 19%
  • Thunder: 81%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 105-115 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 19%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 81%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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