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Heat vs. Hornets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Hornets NBA game on March 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIVE
2nd 11:28
NBA
Updating LIVE
LIVE
2nd 11:28
Updating LIVE
NBA
30
:
27
Mar 7, 12AM Spectrum Center
Mar 7, 12AM Spectrum Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
Hornets | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
32%
68%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
Hornets | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
Q2 11:28 Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:38 Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:06 Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:32 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:41 Hornets makes three point jump shot
Q1 00:59 Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:08 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot
Q1 1:24 Hornets makes two point jump shot
Q1 1:43 Heat makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Brandon Miller offensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Hornets personal foul
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-27
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
29-27
Heat personal foul
Brandon Miller offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+3
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot
29-24
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
26-24
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
26-22
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
23-22
Hornets personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-20
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
22-20
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hornets turnover
Hornets 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware)
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Coby White, Brandon Miller, Grant Williams)
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Hornets lineup change (Ryan Kalkbrenner, Josh Green, Coby White, Brandon Miller, Grant Williams)
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-18
Hornets lineup change (Ryan Kalkbrenner, Josh Green, Coby White, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-18
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
20-18
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
20-16
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
17-16
Grant Williams offensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Josh Green offensive rebound
Hornets turnover
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-13
Hornets personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Hornets lineup change (Ryan Kalkbrenner, Josh Green, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
17-13
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-13
Hornets turnover
Hornets lineup change (Josh Green, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
12-13
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets 60 second timeout
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
9-13
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-10
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
7-10
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-7
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-7
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
2-7
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
2-5
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-3
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
0-3
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo vs. Moussa Diabate (Davion Mitchell gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Heat lineup change (Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 7 | K. Ware | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 25 | K. Jakucionis | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 12 | D. Smith | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 4 | S. James | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C | 14 | M. Diabate | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| F | 0 | M. Bridges | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 24 | B. Miller | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| G | 3 | C. White | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Heat vs. Hornets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Hornets
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Spectrum Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Hornets favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +240, Hornets -275
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 29%
- Hornets: 71%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 112-118 Hornets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 29%, while the Hornets have a win probability of 71%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Hornets are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Spectrum Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Hornets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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