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Nets vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nets vs. Heat NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Nets
110
126
Mar 6, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Heat
Mar 6, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Nets
26 30 27 27 110
Heat
31 29 35 31 126
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
NetsBKN
Win %
<1%
>99%
HeatMIA
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nets
26 30 27 27 110
Heat
31 29 35 31 126
Q4 00:11 Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Grant Nelson misses two point driving hook shot
Q4 1:30 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Tyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 2:20 Nets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Michael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:50 Day'Ron Sharpe misses two point tip layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:11
Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:26
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Q4 00:26
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Dru Smith, Jahmir Young, Myron Gardner, Trevor Keels)
Q4 00:49
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 00:52
Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
110-126
Q4 1:11
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 1:14
Grant Nelson misses two point driving hook shot
Q4 1:30
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
110-126
Q4 2:00
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
110-126
Q4 2:20
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
110-126
Q4 2:20
Dru Smith shooting foul (Ziaire Williams draws the foul)
Q4 2:20
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, Grant Nelson, Ochai Agbaji, Ziaire Williams, Josh Minott)
Q4 2:20
+1
Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
110-126
Q4 2:23
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Q4 2:27
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:33
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 2:35
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:50
Day'Ron Sharpe misses two point tip layup
Q4 2:50
Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
Q4 3:12
Nets 60 second timeout
Q4 3:12
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
Q4 3:14
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point pullup jump shot
110-124
Q4 3:35
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q4 3:38
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:56
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:01
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:24
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
110-126
Q4 4:30
Terance Mann offensive rebound
Q4 4:33
Noah Clowney misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:43
Heat personal foul
Q4 4:53
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 4:56
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:01
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 5:05
Day'Ron Sharpe misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:13
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:43
+2
Day'Ron Sharpe makes two point dunk (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
110-126
Q4 5:56
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
110-126
Q4 6:10
+2
Day'Ron Sharpe makes two point layup (Ziaire Williams assists)
110-126
Q4 6:12
Ziaire Williams offensive rebound
Q4 6:15
Noah Clowney misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 6:25
Day'Ron Sharpe misses two point tip layup
Q4 6:25
Terance Mann offensive rebound
Q4 6:35
Heat personal foul
Q4 6:41
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Terance Mann assists)
110-126
Q4 6:50
Heat personal foul
Q4 7:05
+3
Ziaire Williams makes three point jump shot (Noah Clowney assists)
110-126
Q4 7:15
Kasparas Jakucionis turnover (bad pass) (Noah Clowney steals)
Q4 7:16
Nets offensive rebound
Q4 7:16
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:19
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:24
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 7:26
Dru Smith misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:41
+3
Noah Clowney makes three point jump shot
110-126
Q4 7:53
Michael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 7:53
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-126
Q4 7:53
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-126
Q4 8:25
Nolan Traore turnover (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
Q4 8:38
+2
Dru Smith makes two point running layup
90-110
Q4 8:40
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Q4 8:44
Kel'el Ware blocks Nic Claxton's two point hook shot
Q4 9:01
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-108
Q4 9:02
Nets 60 second timeout
Q4 9:03
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 9:08
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:28
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround jump shot
90-106
Q4 9:35
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 9:39
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:46
Nic Claxton defensive rebound
Q4 9:49
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 9:49
Nets personal foul
Q4 9:49
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-108
Q4 9:49
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q4 9:52
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point running jump shot
Q4 9:56
Nolan Traore turnover (Kel'el Ware steals)
Q4 10:15
+3
Pelle Larsson makes three point jump shot
110-126
Q4 10:21
Ziaire Williams personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Q4 10:34
Dru Smith personal foul (Ziaire Williams draws the foul)
Q4 10:34
+1
Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-108
Q4 10:47
Ziaire Williams shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 10:47
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup
110-126
Q4 10:47
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
110-126
Q4 10:54
Kel'el Ware personal foul
Q4 10:54
Nets offensive rebound
Q4 10:54
Nic Claxton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 10:55
Nolan Traore offensive rebound
Q4 11:00
Nolan Traore misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:08
Kel'el Ware turnover (Ziaire Williams steals)
Q4 11:08
Nets turnover
Q4 11:14
+3
Ziaire Williams makes three point jump shot
110-126
Q4 11:28
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
110-126
Q4 11:45
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
110-126
Q3 00:00
Pelle Larsson misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Nets lineup change (Danny Wolf, Nic Claxton, Ziaire Williams, Noah Clowney, Nolan Traore)
Q3 00:15
Ben Saraf turnover
Q3 00:27
Day'Ron Sharpe personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Q3 00:27
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-108
Q3 00:27
Pelle Larsson misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:27
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-126
Q3 00:34
Nets turnover
Q3 00:43
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround bank jump shot
90-108
Q3 00:43
Nets personal foul
Q3 00:43
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
110-126
Q3 00:43
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
Q3 00:52
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Q3 00:55
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:12
Heat turnover
Q3 1:13
Nets lineup change (Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Ochai Agbaji, Ziaire Williams)
Q3 1:13
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:13
Heat offensive rebound
Q3 1:13
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 1:16
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q3 1:19
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:26
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (Day'Ron Sharpe steals)
Q3 1:38
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
110-126
Q3 1:50
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Q3 1:50
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
110-126
Q3 1:55
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:57
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q3 1:59
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:59
Danny Wolf turnover (bad pass)
Q3 2:06
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
Q3 2:08
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:16
Heat personal foul
Q3 2:16
Day'Ron Sharpe misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 2:16
Nets offensive rebound
Q3 2:16
+1
Day'Ron Sharpe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-126
Q3 2:29
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
110-126
Q3 2:44
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
110-126
Q3 2:55
Danny Wolf shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Q3 2:55
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-112
Q3 2:55
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-112
Q3 3:01
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q3 3:05
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:23
Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Ziaire Williams)
Q3 3:23
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Q3 3:23
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
90-108
Q3 3:23
Nets 60 second timeout
Q3 3:24
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q3 3:27
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:36
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 3:39
Ziaire Williams misses three point running jump shot
Q3 3:43
Ben Saraf defensive rebound
Q3 3:46
Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 4:07
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
90-108
Q3 4:19
Day'Ron Sharpe shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Q3 4:19
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-108
Q3 4:19
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-108
Q3 4:19
Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Ziaire Williams, Noah Clowney)
Q3 4:32
Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Terance Mann, Noah Clowney)
Q3 4:32
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)
Q3 4:32
Nets personal foul
Q3 4:40
Nic Claxton offensive rebound
Q3 4:40
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q3 4:40
Nic Claxton misses two point tip layup
Q3 4:45
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:55
Noah Clowney offensive rebound
Q3 4:56
Noah Clowney misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:14
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-79
Q3 5:17
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q3 5:20
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:22
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q3 5:25
Terance Mann misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:45
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
75-79
Q3 5:47
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Q3 5:50
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:09
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
75-79
Q3 6:25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-79
Q3 6:34
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q3 6:35
Nic Claxton misses two point tip layup
Q3 6:35
Nic Claxton offensive rebound
Q3 6:39
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:56
Heat personal foul
Q3 6:56
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 6:56
Heat 60 second timeout
Q3 6:56
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell)
Q3 7:08
+2
Nic Claxton makes two point driving layup (Terance Mann assists)
69-72
Q3 7:08
Bam Adebayo personal foul
Q3 7:08
+1
Nic Claxton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-79
Q3 7:39
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
69-72
Q3 7:55
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 7:58
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:15
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
69-72
Q3 8:15
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q3 8:18
Pelle Larsson misses two point running layup
Q3 8:24
Nets turnover
Q3 8:35
Nets personal foul
Q3 8:35
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-79
Q3 8:35
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-79
Q3 8:48
+3
Noah Clowney makes three point jump shot
69-72
Q3 8:50
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 8:59
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
69-72
Q3 9:06
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 9:09
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:12
Terance Mann defensive rebound
Q3 9:15
Davion Mitchell misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:33
Nets offensive rebound
Q3 9:33
Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Q3 9:33
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
75-79
Q3 9:33
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
75-79
Q3 9:33
Michael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Q3 9:45
+3
Pelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
69-72
Q3 9:59
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot
69-72
Q3 10:15
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 10:20
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:28
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q3 10:30
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:32
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Q3 10:37
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:44
Nic Claxton turnover
Q3 10:49
Nic Claxton defensive rebound
Q3 10:52
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:04
+2
Nic Claxton makes two point cutting layup (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
56-60
Q3 11:12
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 11:15
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:29
+3
Noah Clowney makes three point jump shot (Nolan Traore assists)
69-70
Q3 11:42
Heat violation
Q3 11:44
Nets defensive rebound
Q3 11:44
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:45
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Nic Claxton, Terance Mann, Noah Clowney, Nolan Traore)
Q3 12:00
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
Q2 00:01
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:01
Nic Claxton defensive rebound
Q2 00:06
Instant replay (Challenge)
Q2 00:06
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:06
Kel'el Ware defensive goaltending violation
Q2 00:06
+2
Nolan Traore makes two point jump shot
56-60
Q2 00:06
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Ochai Agbaji, Terance Mann, Ziaire Williams, Noah Clowney)
Q2 00:06
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 00:28
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
56-60
Q2 00:46
+2
Terance Mann makes two point running layup (Nolan Traore assists)
54-60
Q2 00:51
Tyler Herro turnover (Nic Claxton steals)
Q2 00:59
Terance Mann offensive rebound
Q2 00:59
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
54-60
Q2 1:00
Terance Mann offensive rebound
Q2 1:00
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:10
Nic Claxton misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:21
Heat turnover
Q2 1:46
Heat personal foul
Q2 1:46
Nic Claxton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 1:46
Nets offensive rebound
Q2 1:46
+1
Nic Claxton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-57
Q2 1:46
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)
Q2 2:02
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
49-57
Q2 2:20
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
49-55
Q2 2:40
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 2:43
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:48
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Q2 2:52
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point floating jump shot
Q2 3:03
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
47-55
Q2 3:17
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Q2 3:21
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:31
Nic Claxton offensive rebound
Q2 3:32
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
42-55
Q2 3:32
Heat personal foul
Q2 3:32
Nic Claxton misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 3:32
Heat defensive rebound
Q2 3:35
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
42-55
Q2 4:11
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 4:11
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
Q2 4:12
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
42-53
Q2 4:20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-53
Q2 4:30
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q2 4:32
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:56
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-51
Q2 5:04
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 5:08
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:21
Heat personal foul
Q2 5:21
Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Nic Claxton, Terance Mann, Noah Clowney, Nolan Traore)
Q2 5:34
Heat turnover
Q2 5:39
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 5:42
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:00
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-49
Q2 6:15
Heat personal foul
Q2 6:15
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-47
Q2 6:15
Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Nic Claxton, Terance Mann, Noah Clowney)
Q2 6:15
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)
Q2 6:15
+1
Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-47
Q2 6:27
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-47
Q2 6:41
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
37-45
Q2 6:42
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 6:45
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-45
Q2 7:08
Nets turnover
Q2 7:17
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 7:20
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 7:22
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:22
Dru Smith misses two point tip layup
Q2 7:35
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:35
Instant replay
Q2 7:35
Nets 60 second timeout
Q2 7:35
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Q2 7:41
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
34-43
Q2 8:00
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
32-43
Q2 8:11
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
32-40
Q2 8:22
Heat turnover
Q2 8:22
Heat personal foul
Q2 8:22
Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Nic Claxton, Ziaire Williams)
Q2 8:22
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
Q2 8:28
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Q2 8:31
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:44
Nets personal foul
Q2 8:44
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-39
Q2 8:44
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-40
Q2 8:44
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
Q2 9:00
Nets turnover
Q2 9:11
Heat personal foul
Q2 9:16
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
Q2 9:21
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:26
Nets personal foul
Q2 9:30
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
30-38
Q2 9:34
Heat turnover
Q2 9:43
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 9:46
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:06
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
28-38
Q2 10:11
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 10:14
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:30
Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
Q2 10:32
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
28-35
Q2 10:32
Nets personal foul
Q2 10:32
Dru Smith misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 10:39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 10:54
Nets personal foul
Q2 10:54
Danny Wolf turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 10:57
Heat turnover
Q2 11:19
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
28-33
Q2 11:33
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q2 11:33
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-33
Q2 11:38
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Nets offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q1 00:02
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q1 00:02
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-31
Q1 00:05
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:17
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q1 00:20
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:33
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
26-29
Q1 00:50
Nets personal foul
Q1 00:50
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 00:50
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 00:50
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-29
Q1 00:53
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Q1 00:58
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:07
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:08
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 1:10
Heat turnover
Q1 1:36
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
24-28
Q1 1:56
Nets personal foul
Q1 1:56
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-27
Q1 1:56
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-28
Q1 1:57
Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
Q1 1:57
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
22-26
Q1 2:01
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:14
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
20-26
Q1 2:32
Nets turnover
Q1 2:37
Heat personal foul
Q1 2:43
Nets 60 second timeout
Q1 2:43
Nets lineup change (Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Ochai Agbaji, Ziaire Williams)
Q1 2:43
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
Q1 2:45
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
20-23
Q1 2:58
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 3:01
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:06
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 3:10
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:16
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 3:20
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:44
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-20
Q1 3:58
Heat 60 second timeout
Q1 3:58
Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Ziaire Williams, Noah Clowney)
Q1 3:58
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Q1 3:59
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
20-18
Q1 4:12
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 4:15
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:30
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
17-18
Q1 4:35
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 4:39
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:52
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
14-18
Q1 5:03
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
11-18
Q1 5:07
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q1 5:10
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:12
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 5:16
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:28
Nets personal foul
Q1 5:28
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-15
Q1 5:28
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-16
Q1 5:43
Heat personal foul
Q1 5:43
+1
Nic Claxton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-14
Q1 5:43
+1
Nic Claxton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-14
Q1 5:58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-14
Q1 6:19
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
9-12
Q1 6:25
Heat personal foul
Q1 6:25
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)
Q1 6:31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 6:36
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:36
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 6:37
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 6:40
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:44
Nolan Traore defensive rebound
Q1 6:47
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:56
Nolan Traore offensive rebound
Q1 6:56
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
7-12
Q1 7:02
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:28
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-12
Q1 7:46
Nets turnover
Q1 7:50
Heat personal foul
Q1 7:55
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Q1 7:57
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:07
Nets personal foul
Q1 8:07
Nic Claxton turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 8:08
Nic Claxton turnover (Davion Mitchell steals)
Q1 8:22
Nets 60 second timeout
Q1 8:23
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-10
Q1 8:27
Nets turnover
Q1 8:42
Nets defensive rebound
Q1 8:42
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 8:44
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:45
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q1 8:49
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:53
Nets turnover
Q1 9:10
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-8
Q1 9:16
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 9:19
Nets misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:36
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-6
Q1 9:48
Nets misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:48
Heat defensive rebound
Q1 9:48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:54
Nic Claxton defensive rebound
Q1 9:58
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:10
Nets turnover
Q1 10:12
Terance Mann defensive rebound
Q1 10:16
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:37
Nets turnover
Q1 10:37
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Q1 10:40
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 10:43
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:55
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
5-4
Q1 11:06
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-4
Q1 11:18
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
2-2
Q1 11:34
Nets personal foul
Q1 11:34
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-1
Q1 11:34
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-2
Q1 11:47
Nets turnover
Q1 12:00
Nic Claxton vs. Bam Adebayo (Michael Porter Jr. gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Nic Claxton, Terance Mann, Noah Clowney, Nolan Traore)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Q1 12:00
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)

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Nets vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nets vs. Heat
  • Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 225
  • Moneyline Odds: Nets +610, Heat -715

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nets: 18%
  • Heat: 82%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nets 108-118 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nets a win probability of 18%, while the Heat have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Nets in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nets vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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