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Thunder vs. Knicks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Knicks NBA game on March 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
103
100
Mar 5, 12AM Madison Square Garden
Mar 5, 12AM Madison Square Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 25 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 103 |
Knicks | 23 | 17 | 40 | 20 | 100 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
86%
14%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 25 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 103 |
Knicks | 23 | 17 | 40 | 20 | 100 |
Q4 00:00 Knicks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:03 Knicks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:17 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Knicks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Knicks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Knicks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:06 Knicks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Mikal Bridges offensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Knicks offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Knicks 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
103-100
Thunder personal foul
Luguentz Dort turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
103-98
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
103-96
Thunder personal foul
+1
Josh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-95
+1
Josh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-96
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Knicks offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
100-94
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Knicks turnover
Knicks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-92
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Josh Hart, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-92
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
98-92
Thunder personal foul
Landry Shamet misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Knicks offensive rebound
+1
Landry Shamet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-92
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Knicks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Karl-Anthony Towns personal foul (Loose ball)
Karl-Anthony Towns turnover
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-91
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-91
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Mikal Bridges defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
94-91
Thunder personal foul
Luguentz Dort turnover (offensive foul)
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
+2
OG Anunoby makes two point driving layup
103-100
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
OG Anunoby offensive foul (Charge)
OG Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)
Knicks personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-89
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-89
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
92-89
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Knicks 60 second timeout
Knicks personal foul
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-86
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Landry Shamet defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
91-86
Knicks personal foul
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet, Karl-Anthony Towns)
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
88-86
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-84
Knicks violation
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Mikal Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-84
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Knicks lineup change (Mikal Bridges, Jose Alvarado, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Mikal Bridges misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
86-83
Knicks personal foul
Thunder offensive rebound
Knicks personal foul
Knicks lineup change (Mikal Bridges, Josh Hart, Jose Alvarado, Landry Shamet, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-83
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-83
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-83
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Josh Hart, Landry Shamet, Karl-Anthony Towns)
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
79-83
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Jalen Brunson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Knicks offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-81
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
79-80
Knicks turnover
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Josh Hart, OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns)
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
77-80
OG Anunoby defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (Landry Shamet gains possession)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder turnover
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
77-77
Thunder turnover
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-75
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-75
Knicks lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet)
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
75-75
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Knicks lineup change (Ariel Hukporti, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
75-72
Knicks turnover
Thunder personal foul
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
72-72
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Knicks violation
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
72-69
Landry Shamet defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-66
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-67
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
72-65
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Landry Shamet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-64
+1
Landry Shamet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-65
Knicks lineup change (Ariel Hukporti, Jalen Brunson, Mohamed Diawara, Mikal Bridges, Landry Shamet)
Thunder turnover
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
69-63
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-61
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Mohamed Diawara, Mikal Bridges, Landry Shamet, Karl-Anthony Towns)
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-61
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
67-61
Thunder 60 second timeout
Knicks lineup change (Mohamed Diawara, Mikal Bridges, Jose Alvarado, Landry Shamet, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
67-59
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-57
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
65-57
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
65-55
Knicks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-53
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-53
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
63-52
Thunder personal foul
+1
Landry Shamet makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-53
Knicks lineup change (Mikal Bridges, Jose Alvarado, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Thunder personal foul
Isaiah Joe turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
63-50
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Knicks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-48
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-48
Knicks personal foul
Knicks turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-48
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-48
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-48
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
57-48
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
57-46
Thunder personal foul
Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder personal foul
Jalen Brunson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Knicks offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-43
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
57-42
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Karl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-41
+1
Karl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-42
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
54-40
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
52-40
Knicks turnover
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
50-40
Instant replay
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
50-38
Knicks personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
47-38
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
44-38
Knicks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Knicks turnover
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
44-36
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Thunder violation
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Knicks violation
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Knicks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Josh Hart, OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Jose Alvarado misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Knicks offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Josh Hart, Jose Alvarado, OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Josh Hart, Jose Alvarado, OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe)
+1
Jose Alvarado makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-34
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Knicks turnover
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
44-33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-31
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
42-31
Knicks personal foul
Jose Alvarado turnover (offensive foul)
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Josh Hart, Jose Alvarado, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
39-31
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Mikal Bridges defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Karl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-30
Karl-Anthony Towns misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Thunder offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-30
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
35-30
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-28
Knicks 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Knicks lineup change (Mikal Bridges, Josh Hart, Jose Alvarado, Landry Shamet, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
33-28
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Mohamed Diawara defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
30-28
Knicks misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
30-26
Knicks personal foul
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Mikal Bridges defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
25-26
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Knicks delay of game violation
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
Knicks lineup change (Mohamed Diawara, Mikal Bridges, Jose Alvarado, OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns)
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
25-23
Ariel Hukporti offensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Mohamed Diawara defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
25-20
Thunder personal foul
Alex Caruso turnover (offensive foul)
Knicks turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-18
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
Knicks turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
Knicks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
23-18
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
22-18
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
20-18
Landry Shamet defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain turnover (lost ball)
Knicks violation
Knicks personal foul
Ariel Hukporti turnover (offensive foul)
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Knicks violation
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Knicks lineup change (Ariel Hukporti, Jalen Brunson, Mohamed Diawara, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet)
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
20-16
Landry Shamet defensive rebound
Knicks personal foul
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
+3
Knicks makes three point jump shot
20-13
Thunder turnover
Knicks turnover
Mohamed Diawara defensive rebound
Thunder turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Knicks turnover
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
20-10
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder turnover
Knicks personal foul
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Knicks 60 second timeout
Knicks lineup change (Ariel Hukporti, Jalen Brunson, Mohamed Diawara, Josh Hart, Landry Shamet)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
17-10
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-10
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
12-10
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
12-8
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
12-6
+2
Knicks makes two point jump shot
9-5
Thunder personal foul
+1
Mikal Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 1
9-6
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-3
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
OG Anunoby defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-3
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Knicks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Brunson offensive rebound
Knicks misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
OG Anunoby misses three point jump shot
+3
Chet Holmgren makes three point jump shot
5-3
+3
OG Anunoby makes three point jump shot
2-3
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-0
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Start of 1st Quarter
Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Josh Hart, OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns)
(Cason Wallace gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 21 | A. Wiggins | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 7 | C. Holmgren | 28 | 8 | 2 |
| G | 22 | C. Wallace | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 2 | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 26 | 3 | 8 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 11 | J. Brunson | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| F | 3 | J. Hart | 10 | 12 | 3 |
| G | 25 | M. Bridges | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| F | 8 | O. Anunoby | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 44 | L. Shamet | 14 | 3 | 2 |
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Thunder vs. Knicks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Knicks
- Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -175, Knicks +150
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 67%
- Knicks: 33%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 113-108 Knicks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 67%, while the Knicks have a win probability of 33%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Knicks in the NBA game at Madison Square Garden on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Knicks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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