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Spurs vs. 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. 76ers NBA game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
131
91
Mar 4, 1AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
Mar 4, 1AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 32 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 131 |
76ers | 25 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 91 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 32 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 131 |
76ers | 25 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 91 |
Q4 00:25 Justin Edwards makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 76ers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Bismack Biyombo makes two point finger roll layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)
Q4 1:13 Jordan McLaughlin makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:28 Jabari Walker makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:40 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:01 76ers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:31 76ers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:06 Dalen Terry misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Spurs turnover
End of 4th Quarter.
+3
Justin Edwards makes three point jump shot
126-87
Tyrese Martin offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Bismack Biyombo makes two point finger roll layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)
126-87
76ers turnover
+3
Jordan McLaughlin makes three point jump shot
126-87
Bismack Biyombo personal foul (Jabari Walker draws the foul)
+2
Jabari Walker makes two point driving layup
126-87
+1
Jabari Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 1
126-87
Justin Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
126-87
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jabari Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 1
126-87
Spurs turnover
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dalen Terry misses three point jump shot
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
Kelly Olynyk misses three point pullup jump shot
76ers turnover (shot clock violation)
Dalen Terry misses two point jump shot
76ers offensive rebound
+3
Lindy Waters III makes three point jump shot (Carter Bryant assists)
126-87
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
+1
Trendon Watford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-87
Trendon Watford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kelly Olynyk shooting foul (Trendon Watford draws the foul)
76ers personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-87
+1
Bismack Biyombo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
126-87
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Justin Edwards misses three point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs turnover
+3
Dalen Terry makes three point jump shot
120-81
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
120-81
76ers turnover
76ers defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+3
Lindy Waters III makes three point jump shot
118-78
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Justin Edwards, Dalen Terry, Trendon Watford, Jabari Walker)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Cameron Payne misses three point jump shot
Dalen Terry defensive rebound
Lindy Waters III misses three point running pullup jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Jabari Walker misses three point jump shot
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
Lindy Waters III misses three point jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
126-87
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers 60 second timeout
Spurs turnover
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
126-87
76ers defensive rebound
Bismack Biyombo personal foul (Tyrese Martin draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Kelly Olynyk)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
115-73
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
Jordan McLaughlin misses three point running jump shot
Tyrese Martin misses three point running jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Dalen Terry defensive rebound
Jordan McLaughlin misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
115-71
Trendon Watford defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
76ers turnover
Spurs turnover
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Tyrese Martin misses three point jump shot
Tyrese Martin defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Cameron Payne, Dalen Terry, Trendon Watford, Jabari Walker)
Spurs personal foul
Dalen Terry misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Dalen Terry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
126-87
76ers offensive rebound
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
126-87
+2
Jabari Walker makes two point tip layup
126-87
Jabari Walker offensive rebound
Dalen Terry misses two point jump shot
Dalen Terry defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Jabari Walker makes two point jump shot
126-87
Quentin Grimes misses heave shot
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Keldon Johnson, Kelly Olynyk)
End of 3rd Quarter.
76ers offensive rebound
Tyrese Martin blocks Dylan Harper's three point pullup jump shot
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Jump ball. Jabari Walker vs. Keldon Johnson (Quentin Grimes gains possession)
76ers defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Cameron Payne flagrant 1 (Dylan Harper draws the foul)
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
+1
Dylan Harper makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
126-87
Cameron Payne turnover (offensive foul)
+1
Dylan Harper makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
126-87
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point stepback jump shot
Carter Bryant blocks Tyrese Martin's two point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
76ers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Cameron Payne, Quentin Grimes, Dalen Terry, Jabari Walker)
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Cameron Payne, Quentin Grimes, Dalen Terry, Jabari Walker)
Spurs turnover
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
126-87
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Dalen Terry defensive rebound
Lindy Waters III misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Cameron Payne misses three point running pullup jump shot
Cameron Payne defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
126-87
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
126-87
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot
126-87
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point jump shot
120-81
Jabari Walker offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Jabari Walker draws the foul)
+1
Jabari Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-87
Spurs lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
76ers lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyrese Martin, Cameron Payne, Justin Edwards, Jabari Walker)
+1
Jabari Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
126-87
Spurs lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Cameron Payne, Justin Edwards, Dalen Terry, Jabari Walker)
Cameron Payne misses three point jump shot
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
102-59
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Devin Vassell blocks Justin Edwards's two point jump shot
Keldon Johnson turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Jabari Walker misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-87
76ers turnover
Cameron Payne defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Jabari Walker personal foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Cameron Payne, Justin Edwards, Trendon Watford, Jabari Walker)
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
+2
Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot
120-81
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-87
Trendon Watford turnover (lost ball) (Keldon Johnson steals)
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point running pullup jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
120-81
76ers 60 second timeout
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Justin Edwards, Tyrese Maxey, Trendon Watford, Jabari Walker)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-87
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
91-57
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
76ers personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-87
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
126-87
+2
Tyrese Maxey makes two point running layup
91-57
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell turnover (bad pass) (Cameron Payne steals)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Cameron Payne misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving finger roll layup
126-87
+2
Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot
126-87
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
126-87
Tyrese Maxey turnover
Stephon Castle personal foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-87
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Carter Bryant shooting foul (VJ Edgecombe draws the foul)
+1
VJ Edgecombe makes regular free throw 2 of 3
91-57
VJ Edgecombe misses regular free throw 1 of 3
76ers offensive rebound
+1
VJ Edgecombe makes regular free throw 3 of 3
126-87
76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, Cameron Payne, Adem Bona, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-87
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Tyrese Maxey misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
126-87
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
126-87
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
91-57
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive goaltending violation
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
91-57
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
91-57
VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
+2
VJ Edgecombe makes two point tip layup
71-49
Tyrese Maxey misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie turnover (Tyrese Maxey steals)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
91-57
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Julian Champagnie assists)
71-49
Adem Bona turnover (lost ball)
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie personal foul (Trendon Watford draws the foul)
+1
Trendon Watford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
126-87
+1
Trendon Watford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-87
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Adem Bona offensive foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
76ers challenge timeout
Adem Bona turnover (offensive foul)
76ers 60 second timeout
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
91-57
+2
Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot
91-57
Spurs turnover
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-39
Stephon Castle personal foul
Tyrese Maxey misses regular free throw 1 of 2
76ers offensive rebound
Justin Edwards shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
91-57
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
126-87
76ers personal foul
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
91-57
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Adem Bona, Justin Edwards, Tyrese Maxey, Trendon Watford)
76ers 60 second timeout
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
126-87
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-57
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Dominick Barlow, Justin Edwards, Tyrese Maxey, Trendon Watford)
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-57
76ers personal foul
VJ Edgecombe blocks Devin Vassell's two point running layup
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers turnover
Devin Vassell personal foul (Quentin Grimes draws the foul)
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point driving dunk
55-36
Trendon Watford turnover (Devin Vassell steals)
Spurs personal foul
Trendon Watford defensive rebound
Andre Drummond personal foul (Away from play) (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot
71-49
Andre Drummond personal foul (Loose ball) (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Andre Drummond turnover
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 1
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey, Trendon Watford)
Andre Drummond turnover
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Andre Drummond misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
71-49
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama blocks Andre Drummond's two point jump shot
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
71-49
Andre Drummond offensive rebound
+2
Andre Drummond makes two point jump shot
71-49
VJ Edgecombe misses two point driving floating jump shot
Cameron Payne personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
71-49
76ers 60 second timeout
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Dominick Barlow, Andre Drummond, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
115-73
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Cameron Payne misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Andre Drummond misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Carter Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie violation
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Andre Drummond defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
VJ Edgecombe turnover (Victor Wembanyama steals)
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Cameron Payne, Andre Drummond, Quentin Grimes, Justin Edwards)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
41-34
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
41-32
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
71-49
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-38
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie turnover
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
VJ Edgecombe misses two point jump shot
Instant replay
Spurs personal foul
Spurs personal foul
+1
Adem Bona makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
63-38
+1
Adem Bona makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
63-38
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot
41-34
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
35-28
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
41-34
Adem Bona defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
VJ Edgecombe misses two point jump shot
76ers offensive rebound
Carter Bryant defensive goaltending violation
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-C | 8 | K. Olynyk | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| F | 43 | L. Waters III | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| C | 18 | B. Biyombo | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| F | 11 | C. Bryant | 11 | 9 | 3 |
| G | 0 | J. McLaughlin | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 14 | D. Terry | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| F | 11 | J. Edwards | 9 | 1 | 3 |
| G-F | 12 | T. Watford | 9 | 2 | 3 |
| F | 23 | T. Martin | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| F | 33 | J. Walker | 20 | 7 | 0 |
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Spurs vs. 76ers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. 76ers
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 232
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -300, 76ers +260
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 73%
- 76ers: 27%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 119-112 76ers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 73%, while the 76ers have a win probability of 27%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the 76ers in the NBA game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. 76ers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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