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Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers NBA game on February 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
157
103
Feb 21, 3AM Moda Center
Feb 21, 3AM Moda Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 41 | 38 | 46 | 32 | 157 |
Trail Blazers | 27 | 26 | 32 | 18 | 103 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 41 | 38 | 46 | 32 | 157 |
Trail Blazers | 27 | 26 | 32 | 18 | 103 |
Q4 00:46 Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:25 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:51 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Nuggets turnover
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Javonte Cooke defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
KJ Simpson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
KJ Simpson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
157-103
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Sidy Cissoko defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+1
Yang Hansen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
156-102
+1
Yang Hansen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
156-103
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
156-101
Trail Blazers turnover
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
154-101
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
151-101
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
151-99
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
148-99
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Javonte Cooke, Blake Wesley, Yang Hansen, Kris Murray, Sidy Cissoko)
Trail Blazers turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
146-99
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Yang Hansen offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Yang Hansen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Yang Hansen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
144-99
KJ Simpson offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Yang Hansen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Yang Hansen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Javonte Cooke defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
142-99
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Matisse Thybulle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
140-98
+1
Matisse Thybulle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
140-99
Trail Blazers lineup change (Javonte Cooke, Blake Wesley, Yang Hansen, Matisse Thybulle, Sidy Cissoko)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-97
Trail Blazers turnover
Trail Blazers lineup change (Blake Wesley, Yang Hansen, Vit Krejci, Matisse Thybulle, Sidy Cissoko)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
138-97
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
+1
Kris Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-97
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, KJ Simpson, DaRon Holmes II, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
Kris Murray misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Trail Blazers lineup change (Blake Wesley, Yang Hansen, Kris Murray, Vit Krejci, Matisse Thybulle)
Blake Wesley defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Blake Wesley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-95
+1
Blake Wesley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-96
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, KJ Simpson, Jonas Valanciunas, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
136-94
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
134-94
Nuggets turnover
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Blake Wesley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Blake Wesley, Yang Hansen, Kris Murray, Vit Krejci, Sidy Cissoko)
Blake Wesley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets turnover
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
134-92
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
134-89
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
131-89
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
129-89
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
127-89
+3
Vit Krejci makes three point jump shot
125-88
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Vit Krejci makes regular free throw 1 of 1
125-89
Kris Murray defensive rebound
Jonas Valanciunas misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Sidy Cissoko defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Donovan Clingan misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Trail Blazers lineup change (Blake Wesley, Kris Murray, Vit Krejci, Matisse Thybulle, Sidy Cissoko)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones personal foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)
Deni Avdija misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
+1
Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 2 of 2
125-85
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-84
+1
Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
125-85
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Cameron Johnson, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Trail Blazers turnover
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
123-84
Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
123-83
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
123-83
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
123-83
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
123-83
+1
Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-83
Jrue Holiday personal foul
Jrue Holiday turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 2
123-83
Trail Blazers lineup change (Donovan Clingan, Deni Avdija, Scoot Henderson, Vit Krejci, Jrue Holiday)
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-83
Trail Blazers challenge timeout
Jerami Grant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Toumani Camara misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
106-74
Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Scoot Henderson draws the foul)
+1
Scoot Henderson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
123-83
+1
Scoot Henderson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-83
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
106-74
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
123-83
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-83
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
Scoot Henderson offensive rebound
Scoot Henderson misses three point jump shot
Jerami Grant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Toumani Camara turnover
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Deni Avdija shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-74
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Scoot Henderson, Jrue Holiday)
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Scoot Henderson, Jrue Holiday)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Deni Avdija turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
106-74
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Jerami Grant personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-74
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-74
Scoot Henderson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Deni Avdija misses three point jump shot
Jamal Murray offensive foul (Toumani Camara draws the foul)
Jamal Murray turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Scoot Henderson misses three point jump shot
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Scoot Henderson misses three point jump shot
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
Christian Braun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-74
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
105-74
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot
106-74
+1
Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-74
Christian Braun shooting foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)
+1
Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-74
+2
Christian Braun makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
106-74
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic turnover
+2
Deni Avdija makes two point driving layup (Scoot Henderson assists)
106-74
+2
Julian Strawther makes two point jump shot
105-74
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Robert Williams III, Scoot Henderson)
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Toumani Camara misses three point jump shot
Jerami Grant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Toumani Camara personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point jump shot
106-74
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
106-74
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
106-74
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Donovan Clingan misses two point jump shot
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Toumani Camara misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Toumani Camara misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
106-74
+2
Toumani Camara makes two point jump shot (Deni Avdija assists)
106-74
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
97-64
+3
Donovan Clingan makes three point jump shot (Deni Avdija assists)
97-64
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
97-64
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
+2
Deni Avdija makes two point jump shot
85-55
Nuggets personal foul
Deni Avdija misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Deni Avdija makes two point pullup jump shot
106-74
+3
Julian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
85-55
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
106-74
+2
Jerami Grant makes two point jump shot
106-74
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 3
83-53
Jrue Holiday personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 3
106-74
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 3 of 3
106-74
Deni Avdija turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jrue Holiday shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 3
80-53
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 3
81-53
End of 1st Half.
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Donovan Clingan, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 3 of 3
106-74
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
+3
Scoot Henderson makes three point jump shot (Toumani Camara assists)
82-53
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
82-53
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point jump shot (Scoot Henderson assists)
82-53
+2
Julian Strawther makes two point layup
71-48
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Jerami Grant blocks Spencer Jones's two point driving layup
Jerami Grant offensive foul (Charge) (Spencer Jones draws the foul)
Jerami Grant turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
80-53
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Spencer Jones blocks Jerami Grant's two point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot
82-53
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Toumani Camara misses three point jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot
82-53
+3
Toumani Camara makes three point jump shot (Deni Avdija assists)
60-45
Christian Braun personal foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Scoot Henderson, Jrue Holiday)
Scoot Henderson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
60-45
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
106-74
Toumani Camara turnover
Deni Avdija shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-45
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-74
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Christian Braun misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
106-74
+2
Jerami Grant makes two point running layup (Deni Avdija assists)
106-74
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Robert Williams III offensive rebound
Robert Williams III misses two point tip layup
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Matisse Thybulle personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Robert Williams III, Scoot Henderson)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Matisse Thybulle misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Cameron Johnson assists)
58-43
+2
Donovan Clingan makes two point putback layup
55-43
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Toumani Camara misses three point pullup jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas offensive foul (Matisse Thybulle draws the foul)
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 14 | D. Holmes II | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 25 | K. Simpson | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| F-C | 22 | Z. Nnaji | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 3 | J. Strawther | 19 | 6 | 4 |
| F | 21 | S. Jones | 10 | 10 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 24 | K. Murray | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 18 | J. Cooke | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 1 | B. Wesley | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 91 | S. Cissoko | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| C | 16 | Y. Hansen | 4 | 1 | 0 |
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Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers
- Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Moda Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 241
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -104, Trail Blazers +102
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 58%
- Trail Blazers: 42%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 121-119 Trail Blazers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 58%, while the Trail Blazers have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Trail Blazers in the NBA game at Moda Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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