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Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Thunder NBA game on January 23, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
121
115
Jan 24, 1AM Paycom Center
Jan 24, 1AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 33 | 27 | 31 | 30 | 121 |
Thunder | 34 | 28 | 21 | 32 | 115 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
99%
1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 33 | 27 | 31 | 30 | 121 |
Thunder | 34 | 28 | 21 | 32 | 115 |
Q4 00:05 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:13 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Mavericks makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:49 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:03 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:17 Mavericks makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder personal foul
+1
Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-115
+1
Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-115
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Maxi Kleber, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
119-115
Mavericks personal foul
Spencer Dinwiddie turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Maxi Kleber, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-112
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-112
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Quentin Grimes misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-112
Mavericks personal foul
Instant replay
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks challenge timeout
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-111
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-112
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
116-110
Thunder personal foul
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-108
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
115-108
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
115-106
Thunder personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-105
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-106
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
112-104
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
110-104
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
110-102
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Maxi Kleber offensive rebound
Maxi Kleber offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Maxi Kleber, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
107-102
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Dillon Jones defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
105-102
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
105-100
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
102-100
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
102-98
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Spencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
102-96
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-95
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-96
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams, Dillon Jones)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
99-94
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-91
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Kessler Edwards defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams, Dillon Jones)
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-89
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
99-88
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder violation
Mavericks personal foul
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-88
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Thunder personal foul
+1
Kyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-87
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
96-87
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
93-87
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
93-85
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-85
Mavericks personal foul
Daniel Gafford turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-83
End of 3rd Quarter.
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kessler Edwards)
Mavericks turnover
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Maxi Kleber, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Mavericks personal foul
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Kyrie Irving, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-81
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
Thunder turnover
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
91-80
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-80
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-80
Jump ball. Cason Wallace (Kenrich Williams gains possession)
Olivier-Maxence Prosper turnover (lost ball)
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Spencer Dinwiddie offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Spencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-78
+1
Spencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-78
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
85-78
Mavericks personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Dillon Jones)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, P.J. Washington)
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Dillon Jones)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Spencer Dinwiddie)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Maxi Kleber turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-76
Thunder personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-73
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-73
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-73
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
83-70
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-69
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams, Dillon Jones)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, P.J. Washington)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-70
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
81-68
Maxi Kleber defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Kyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-68
+1
Kyrie Irving makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-68
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Thunder personal foul
Thunder personal foul
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
+1
Kyrie Irving makes technical free throw 1 of 1
75-68
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
+1
Daniel Gafford makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
76-68
+1
Daniel Gafford makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
77-68
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
Thunder personal foul
Luguentz Dort ejected from the game (Other)
Luguentz Dort ejected from the game (Other)
Luguentz Dort ejected from the game (Other)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-68
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
74-66
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder personal foul
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Kyrie Irving makes two point jump shot
71-66
Thunder turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
69-66
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder personal foul
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-66
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
67-64
Kessler Edwards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-64
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-62
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
Daniel Gafford turnover (offensive foul)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
62-62
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
60-62
Thunder turnover
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
57-62
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
54-62
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
54-59
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
54-56
Thunder turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Markieff Morris, P.J. Washington)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Markieff Morris defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Olivier-Maxence Prosper turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Thunder challenge timeout
Thunder defensive rebound
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses two point layup
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
52-56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
49-56
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
50-56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-56
Thunder personal foul
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-54
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-54
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Markieff Morris, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
45-54
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
45-51
Kessler Edwards defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder personal foul
Stoppage (Injury)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-51
Thunder personal foul
Mavericks offensive rebound
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-48
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
42-48
Mavericks personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kessler Edwards, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Mavericks turnover
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks personal foul
Thunder offensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-46
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
42-45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-45
Thunder personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-43
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-43
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Quentin Grimes, Maxi Kleber, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, P.J. Washington)
Thunder turnover
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
38-43
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-42
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
35-43
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Dillon Jones)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Mavericks offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
Daniel Gafford turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Maxi Kleber, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball)
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams turnover (lost ball)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-39
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
35-40
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
35-37
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
33-37
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Dillon Jones)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
33-34
Mavericks defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Maxi Kleber makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-31
+1
Kessler Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-31
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Maxi Kleber, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington)
Mavericks personal foul
Quentin Grimes turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Daniel Gafford, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
31-31
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
31-29
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-28
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-29
Mavericks turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
29-27
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
29-24
Thunder turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
26-24
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
24-24
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
24-21
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
22-21
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kessler Edwards)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
22-19
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
21-17
Thunder personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
+1
Spencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
22-17
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
19-17
Maxi Kleber defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-17
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
15-17
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
15-15
Thunder turnover
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
Mavericks personal foul
Kyrie Irving turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-15
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
13-13
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder personal foul
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Mavericks lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Kyrie Irving, Maxi Kleber, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
10-13
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
10-10
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
8-10
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
8-8
Thunder personal foul
Thunder personal foul
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-8
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder turnover
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
4-8
Kessler Edwards defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
2-8
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-5
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
2-3
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
0-3
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Kessler Edwards, P.J. Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
(Spencer Dinwiddie gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 5 | Q. Grimes | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| F-C | 42 | M. Kleber | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 11 | K. Irving | 24 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 26 | S. Dinwiddie | 28 | 1 | 3 |
| F | 25 | P. Washington | 22 | 19 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 9 | A. Caruso | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| G | 21 | A. Wiggins | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 2 | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 31 | 1 | 7 |
| F | 8 | J. Williams | 30 | 4 | 7 |
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Mavericks vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Thunder
- Date: Thursday, January 23, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -12
- Total (Over/Under): 224
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +475, Thunder -556
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 19%
- Thunder: 81%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 107-117 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 19%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 81%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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