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Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA game on May 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
93
125
May 18, 7:30PM Paycom Center
May 18, 7:30PM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 26 | 20 | 26 | 21 | 93 |
Thunder | 21 | 39 | 36 | 29 | 125 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 26 | 20 | 26 | 21 | 93 |
Thunder | 21 | 39 | 36 | 29 | 125 |
Q4 00:00 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
93-125
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
91-125
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Hunter Tyson offensive rebound
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
88-125
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Dillon Jones defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
85-125
Thunder turnover
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-125
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Dillon Jones, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
82-124
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-120
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-121
Nuggets turnover
Thunder turnover
Nuggets personal foul
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
82-119
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
82-117
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
80-117
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
80-114
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-114
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-114
Hunter Tyson offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
76-114
Nuggets turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
76-111
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
76-108
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-108
Nuggets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-106
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Hunter Tyson, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther)
Nuggets turnover
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
74-104
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-103
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-104
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-102
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-99
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
72-100
Nuggets turnover
Thunder turnover
Thunder defensive rebound
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets personal foul
Instant replay
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-97
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren)
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
72-96
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-95
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-96
Nuggets turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
69-94
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
69-91
Thunder turnover
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-91
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-88
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-89
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
67-87
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-87
Nuggets turnover
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-85
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-85
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-84
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-85
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
63-83
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-83
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
60-81
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
58-81
Thunder personal foul
Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-78
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
57-78
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon)
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
57-76
Nuggets turnover
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
57-74
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-74
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
55-72
Thunder turnover
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
53-72
Nuggets personal foul
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-72
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
50-71
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
48-71
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
48-69
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
46-69
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-66
Nuggets personal foul
Aaron Gordon turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay
Instant replay
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes flagrant free throw 1 of 1
46-63
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
46-64
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-62
Nuggets turnover
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-60
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
46-58
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-57
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-58
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Thunder personal foul
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-56
Nuggets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-54
Nuggets turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-52
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
43-49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
41-49
Thunder 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Nuggets turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
41-47
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
41-44
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
41-42
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-40
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-40
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Christian Braun)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball)
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
37-40
Thunder personal foul
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-38
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-38
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Thunder personal foul
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-38
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
35-37
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-37
Nuggets turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
32-35
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
31-32
Thunder personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
32-32
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon)
Nuggets personal foul
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort turnover (lost ball)
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
29-32
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
29-29
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-29
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Aaron Gordon)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-27
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Aaron Gordon)
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-25
Nuggets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-23
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Aaron Gordon)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-21
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
26-19
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
26-16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-16
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
24-14
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-14
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-12
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon)
Nuggets turnover
Thunder turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
20-10
Thunder personal foul
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 1
21-10
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
18-10
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
18-8
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-8
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-8
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-8
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-8
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-8
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-8
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
11-6
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
8-6
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
8-4
Thunder 60 second timeout
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
6-4
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
4-4
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
4-2
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-2
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Christian Braun makes two point jump shot
2-0
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
(Christian Braun gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 3 | J. Strawther | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 8 | P. Watson | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| F | 5 | H. Tyson | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| F-C | 22 | Z. Nnaji | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 24 | J. Pickett | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 6 | J. Williams | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 3 | D. Jones | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 13 | O. Dieng | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 25 | A. Mitchell | 5 | 1 | 0 |
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Nuggets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Thunder
- Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -8
- Total (Over/Under): 214
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +275, Thunder -305
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 26%
- Thunder: 74%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 104-111 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 26%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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