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Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA game on May 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Nuggets
121
119
May 6, 1:30AM Paycom Center
Thunder
May 6, 1:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
26 24 35 36 121
Thunder
27 33 30 29 119
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
NuggetsDEN
Win %
70%
30%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityNuggetsThunder1QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityNuggets +10.5Thunder -10.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 229.5Under 229.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
26 24 35 36 121
Thunder
27 33 30 29 119
Q4 00:00 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:03 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:03 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:19 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:03
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:03
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
121-119
Q4 00:07
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q4 00:09
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 00:09
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 00:09
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 00:09
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 00:10
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:10
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-119
Q4 00:10
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 00:10
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon)
Q4 00:10
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-119
Q4 00:10
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 00:10
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 00:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
116-119
Q4 00:11
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon)
Q4 00:12
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:12
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 00:12
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-117
Q4 00:12
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 00:12
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-117
Q4 00:12
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 00:12
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 00:13
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 00:13
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-116
Q4 00:13
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-117
Q4 00:13
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 00:17
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q4 00:19
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:20
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Q4 00:25
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:45
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 00:47
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:07
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
114-115
Q4 1:07
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 1:20
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 1:23
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q4 1:27
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
111-115
Q4 1:59
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q4 2:04
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:18
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q4 2:18
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:18
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 2:18
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 2:18
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-115
Q4 2:21
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:40
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:40
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-115
Q4 2:40
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-115
Q4 2:40
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 3:02
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
106-115
Q4 3:22
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 3:24
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:28
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q4 3:31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:48
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 3:48
Thunder personal foul
Q4 3:48
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 3:48
Instant replay
Q4 3:48
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-113
Q4 3:48
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-113
Q4 3:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:08
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
104-113
Q4 4:31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
102-113
Q4 4:40
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q4 4:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:59
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 5:00
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:00
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-110
Q4 5:00
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 5:14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
101-110
Q4 5:24
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:24
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 5:24
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 5:24
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-108
Q4 5:24
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 5:24
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 5:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:37
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q4 5:37
Thunder turnover
Q4 5:40
Nuggets turnover
Q4 5:55
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q4 5:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:57
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:08
Thunder personal foul
Q4 6:08
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-108
Q4 6:08
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-108
Q4 6:10
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q4 6:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:28
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
98-108
Q4 6:39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-108
Q4 6:48
Thunder personal foul
Q4 6:48
Instant replay
Q4 6:48
Instant replay
Q4 6:48
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 6:48
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 6:48
+1
Luguentz Dort makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
95-105
Q4 6:48
+1
Luguentz Dort makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
95-106
Q4 6:58
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q4 7:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:13
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-104
Q4 7:13
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 7:21
Thunder violation
Q4 7:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
93-104
Q4 7:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:51
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 7:51
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 8:00
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
93-102
Q4 8:16
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 8:16
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-101
Q4 8:16
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-102
Q4 8:23
Nuggets turnover
Q4 8:29
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:29
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 8:33
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q4 8:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:04
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q4 9:18
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 9:18
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-99
Q4 9:18
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon)
Q4 9:18
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-100
Q4 9:24
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 9:28
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-98
Q4 9:39
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 9:48
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 9:51
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:55
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:55
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 9:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 9:55
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson)
Q4 10:12
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 10:12
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-95
Q4 10:12
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-96
Q4 10:15
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 10:19
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:29
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 10:29
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 10:29
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 10:29
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-94
Q4 10:33
Nuggets turnover
Q4 10:34
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q4 10:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:40
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 10:40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:41
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:45
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 10:47
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:00
Thunder turnover
Q4 11:20
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
88-93
Q4 11:37
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-93
Q3 00:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon)
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Q3 00:02
Thunder turnover
Q3 00:03
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 00:03
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon)
Q3 00:03
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 00:12
Nuggets turnover
Q3 00:13
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q3 00:15
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:30
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 00:32
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:52
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
85-90
Q3 1:08
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
82-91
Q3 1:27
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
82-88
Q3 1:28
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q3 1:32
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:42
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 1:45
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q3 1:47
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:55
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 1:57
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:23
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
80-88
Q3 2:41
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
78-88
Q3 2:45
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 2:46
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:52
Thunder turnover
Q3 3:04
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 3:06
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:06
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-85
Q3 3:06
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 3:06
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson)
Q3 3:20
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
77-85
Q3 3:29
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
76-82
Q3 3:29
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:29
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 3:29
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 1
77-82
Q3 3:32
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 3:37
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:52
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:52
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-82
Q3 3:52
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-82
Q3 4:03
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 4:07
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:12
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Q3 4:12
Thunder personal foul
Q3 4:12
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-82
Q3 4:12
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-82
Q3 4:14
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:14
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 4:14
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
70-82
Q3 4:14
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q3 4:14
Thunder personal foul
Q3 4:14
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 4:26
Thunder personal foul
Q3 4:36
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
68-82
Q3 4:47
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
68-79
Q3 5:02
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 5:15
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
66-79
Q3 5:17
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 5:19
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:29
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Q3 5:29
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
66-76
Q3 5:34
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:44
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 5:45
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
64-76
Q3 5:45
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 5:45
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 5:45
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon)
Q3 5:50
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 5:53
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:58
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Q3 6:02
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:14
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q3 6:14
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 6:15
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:15
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 6:23
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 6:23
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 6:23
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 6:23
Instant replay
Q3 6:24
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q3 6:28
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:41
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 6:41
Christian Braun turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 6:50
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
64-73
Q3 7:03
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q3 7:03
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 7:03
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 7:03
Instant replay
Q3 7:05
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:17
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
64-71
Q3 7:21
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 7:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:29
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 7:32
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:45
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 7:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-71
Q3 7:46
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 7:46
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:01
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 8:11
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
61-69
Q3 8:29
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 8:29
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-68
Q3 8:29
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-69
Q3 8:29
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 8:51
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
59-67
Q3 9:07
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 9:08
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q3 9:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:11
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:15
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 9:18
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:32
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 9:36
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:47
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q3 9:47
Thunder personal foul
Q3 9:47
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-67
Q3 9:47
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-67
Q3 9:48
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:06
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 10:07
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
54-67
Q3 10:14
Nuggets turnover
Q3 10:15
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 10:31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
54-65
Q3 10:34
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
54-62
Q3 10:35
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q3 10:40
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:46
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 10:50
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:58
Nuggets turnover
Q3 11:07
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 11:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:27
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
52-62
Q3 11:47
Thunder turnover
Q3 11:47
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
50-62
Q3 11:49
Nuggets turnover
Q2 00:00
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 00:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
Q2 00:01
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:13
Nuggets turnover
Q2 00:16
Thunder turnover
Q2 00:31
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
50-60
Q2 00:34
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 00:37
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 00:44
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:46
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q2 00:50
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:04
Thunder personal foul
Q2 1:04
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-60
Q2 1:04
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-60
Q2 1:04
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon)
Q2 1:26
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
46-60
Q2 1:37
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
46-57
Q2 1:37
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 1:45
Thunder personal foul
Q2 1:45
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 1:51
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 1:52
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-57
Q2 2:07
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 2:10
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:21
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q2 2:21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:24
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:31
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
43-55
Q2 2:31
Thunder personal foul
Q2 2:31
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 1
44-55
Q2 2:31
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 2:35
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 2:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:46
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 2:49
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:01
Thunder personal foul
Q2 3:05
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 3:05
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 3:05
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 3:05
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 3:05
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
Q2 3:05
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-55
Q2 3:07
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q2 3:10
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:24
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
41-54
Q2 3:41
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
41-51
Q2 3:42
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:42
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q2 3:57
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
39-51
Q2 4:02
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q2 4:05
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:13
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 4:16
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:16
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball)
Q2 4:25
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:34
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-48
Q2 4:38
Nuggets turnover
Q2 4:40
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 4:43
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:46
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q2 4:49
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:05
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 5:05
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson)
Q2 5:05
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 5:08
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
39-46
Q2 5:16
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q2 5:21
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:27
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q2 5:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:46
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
37-46
Q2 5:47
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 5:51
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:56
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 6:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:00
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
Q2 6:05
Nuggets turnover
Q2 6:12
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 6:16
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:25
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 6:25
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon)
Q2 6:25
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 6:30
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 6:32
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Q2 6:32
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:34
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:51
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
35-46
Q2 7:06
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
35-43
Q2 7:06
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 7:16
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
33-43
Q2 7:31
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 7:47
Nuggets turnover
Q2 7:55
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 7:57
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:05
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
33-40
Q2 8:29
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
31-40
Q2 8:35
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 8:35
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Julian Strawther, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon)
Q2 8:47
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
31-37
Q2 8:58
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Q2 9:01
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:03
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q2 9:06
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:27
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 9:30
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:46
Thunder turnover
Q2 10:03
Thunder personal foul
Q2 10:03
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 10:03
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 10:03
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-37
Q2 10:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-37
Q2 10:25
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
28-35
Q2 10:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-34
Q2 10:45
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 10:45
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 10:45
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 1
26-35
Q2 10:47
Nuggets turnover
Q2 10:59
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
26-32
Q2 11:13
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q2 11:17
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:31
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 11:31
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-28
Q2 11:31
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-29
Q2 11:37
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 11:40
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Q1 00:17
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q1 00:17
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 00:17
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 00:17
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 00:17
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson)
Q1 00:17
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 00:17
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-27
Q1 00:20
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:34
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q1 00:37
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:48
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 00:52
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:52
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 00:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 00:55
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson)
Q1 1:01
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
26-26
Q1 1:05
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 1:07
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:17
Nuggets turnover
Q1 1:42
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-26
Q1 1:52
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 1:55
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-24
Q1 2:14
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Q1 2:14
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:14
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 2:18
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q1 2:18
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:21
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-22
Q1 2:57
Thunder defensive rebound
Q1 2:57
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 2:58
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-20
Q1 3:17
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q1 3:17
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson)
Q1 3:17
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 3:21
Nuggets turnover
Q1 3:27
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 3:30
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:34
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 3:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:46
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 3:48
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:07
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-18
Q1 4:20
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
24-16
Q1 4:28
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 4:32
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:42
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q1 4:42
Thunder personal foul
Q1 4:42
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-16
Q1 4:42
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 4:42
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-16
Q1 4:46
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:53
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 5:04
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
20-16
Q1 5:17
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q1 5:17
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 5:17
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-15
Q1 5:17
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-16
Q1 5:17
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon)
Q1 5:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:23
Nuggets turnover
Q1 5:47
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-14
Q1 5:50
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q1 5:53
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:59
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Q1 5:59
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
17-12
Q1 6:03
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:06
Thunder turnover
Q1 6:06
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 6:23
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 6:24
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q1 6:24
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
15-12
Q1 6:27
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-12
Q1 6:45
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 6:49
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:06
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 7:08
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 7:08
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 7:08
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 7:08
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 7:11
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 7:13
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:18
Thunder turnover
Q1 7:30
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 7:31
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-10
Q1 7:56
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
13-8
Q1 8:01
Thunder personal foul
Q1 8:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-8
Q1 8:39
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
11-6
Q1 8:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-6
Q1 9:04
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
9-4
Q1 9:18
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-4
Q1 9:31
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
7-2
Q1 9:36
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q1 9:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:49
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 9:52
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:00
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:00
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Q1 10:00
Thunder personal foul
Q1 10:06
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q1 10:10
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:17
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 10:20
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:27
Thunder personal foul
Q1 10:29
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 10:32
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:49
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
5-2
Q1 10:51
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Q1 10:56
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-2
Q1 11:31
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 11:37
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 11:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:42
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q1 11:45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 12:00
(Jalen Williams gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Nuggets
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
C15N. Jokic42226
F32A. Gordon19141
G27J. Murray2166
G4R. Westbrook1821
G0C. Braun11133
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F7C. Holmgren1262
F8J. Williams1674
G5L. Dort1421
G9A. Caruso2016
G2S. Gilgeous-Alexander33108

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Nuggets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Thunder
  • Date: Monday, May 5, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -10.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +370, Thunder -460

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 22%
  • Thunder: 78%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 110-119 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 22%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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