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Bucks vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Warriors NBA game on March 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Bucks
93
104
Mar 19, 2AM Chase Center
Warriors
Mar 19, 2AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Bucks
27 17 32 17 93
Warriors
32 26 17 29 104
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
BucksMIL
Win %
<1%
>99%
WarriorsGSW
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Bucks
27 17 32 17 93
Warriors
32 26 17 29 104
Q4 00:23 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:19 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:17 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:33 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:10
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q4 00:22
Warriors offensive rebound
Q4 00:22
Warriors turnover
Q4 00:23
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:45
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q4 00:48
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:08
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
93-104
Q4 1:26
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q4 1:29
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:36
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
93-101
Q4 1:37
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q4 1:49
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q4 1:52
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:19
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
93-99
Q4 2:36
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q4 2:38
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:59
Warriors personal foul
Q4 2:59
Jimmy Butler III turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 2:59
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q4 3:16
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q4 3:17
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:29
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q4 3:33
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:37
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q4 3:38
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:00
Warriors personal foul
Q4 4:00
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-96
Q4 4:00
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-96
Q4 4:04
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q4 4:06
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:12
Jump ball. (Warriors gains possession)
Q4 4:12
Taurean Prince turnover (lost ball)
Q4 4:12
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
Q4 4:12
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:15
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q4 4:16
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:24
Bucks personal foul
Q4 4:24
Bucks lineup change (Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., Kyle Kuzma, Taurean Prince)
Q4 4:24
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Q4 4:37
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q4 4:40
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:54
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q4 4:57
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:20
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
91-96
Q4 5:40
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
88-96
Q4 6:04
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
87-93
Q4 6:04
Warriors personal foul
Q4 6:04
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-93
Q4 6:20
Bucks personal foul
Q4 6:20
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 6:20
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-92
Q4 6:20
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-93
Q4 6:37
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Q4 6:39
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:50
Gary Trent Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 6:53
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:13
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
84-91
Q4 7:13
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Gary Trent Jr., Kyle Kuzma, Taurean Prince)
Q4 7:13
Warriors personal foul
Q4 7:13
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 1
85-91
Q4 7:13
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Quinten Post)
Q4 7:26
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:34
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
82-91
Q4 7:49
Warriors personal foul
Q4 7:49
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-89
Q4 7:49
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post)
Q4 7:49
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-89
Q4 7:49
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., Kyle Kuzma)
Q4 8:04
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
80-89
Q4 8:29
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
80-86
Q4 8:37
Damian Lillard defensive rebound
Q4 8:40
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:53
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Q4 8:56
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:12
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q4 9:12
Warriors turnover
Q4 9:12
Warriors personal foul
Q4 9:12
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 9:12
Bucks offensive rebound
Q4 9:12
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-86
Q4 9:15
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:20
Warriors turnover
Q4 9:21
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Q4 9:24
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:45
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q4 9:47
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:47
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., AJ Green)
Q4 9:57
Warriors personal foul
Q4 10:15
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
76-86
Q4 10:18
Bucks turnover
Q4 10:21
Brook Lopez offensive rebound
Q4 10:24
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:41
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
76-83
Q4 10:54
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q4 10:57
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:10
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
76-81
Q4 11:10
Bucks personal foul
Q4 11:10
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
76-82
Q4 11:24
Bucks personal foul
Q4 11:36
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q4 11:38
Warriors personal foul
Q4 11:38
Damian Lillard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 11:38
Bucks offensive rebound
Q4 11:38
Damian Lillard misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 11:38
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr.)
Q4 11:42
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 11:47
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Bucks personal foul
Q3 00:00
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q3 00:00
Instant replay
Q3 00:00
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 3
76-76
Q3 00:00
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 3
76-77
Q3 00:00
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 3 of 3
76-78
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Trent Jr., Taurean Prince)
Q4 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Buddy Hield)
Q3 00:05
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Q3 00:08
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:26
Bucks personal foul
Q3 00:26
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-74
Q3 00:26
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
Q3 00:26
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-75
Q3 00:30
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Q3 00:32
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:41
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
76-73
Q3 00:43
Bucks turnover
Q3 00:51
Warriors turnover
Q3 1:04
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
76-70
Q3 1:20
Warriors personal foul
Q3 1:20
Jonathan Kuminga turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 1:20
Instant replay
Q3 1:20
+1
Gary Trent Jr. makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
73-70
Q3 1:20
+1
Gary Trent Jr. makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
74-70
Q3 1:32
Warriors personal foul
Q3 1:32
AJ Green misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 1:32
Bucks offensive rebound
Q3 1:32
+1
AJ Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-70
Q3 1:43
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 1:43
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q3 1:43
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green)
Q3 1:43
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Kevon Looney, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
Q3 1:51
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
71-70
Q3 2:15
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
71-67
Q3 2:33
Warriors turnover
Q3 2:43
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q3 2:45
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:51
Warriors personal foul
Q3 2:56
Warriors violation
Q3 3:07
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 3:14
Warriors turnover
Q3 3:32
Warriors personal foul
Q3 3:32
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 3:32
Bucks offensive rebound
Q3 3:32
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., Kyle Kuzma, Taurean Prince)
Q3 3:32
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
Q3 3:32
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-67
Q3 3:45
Warriors turnover
Q3 3:52
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q3 3:54
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:57
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q3 3:58
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Q3 3:58
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:00
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:07
Warriors offensive rebound
Q3 4:07
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
Q3 4:07
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 4:10
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:32
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
68-67
Q3 4:49
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
65-67
Q3 5:00
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
65-64
Q3 5:07
Damian Lillard defensive rebound
Q3 5:09
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:25
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
62-64
Q3 5:46
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
60-64
Q3 5:51
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Q3 5:54
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:07
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Q3 6:09
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:09
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Q3 6:22
Jump ball. Brook Lopez (Bucks gains possession)
Q3 6:22
Jimmy Butler III turnover (lost ball)
Q3 6:22
Warriors personal foul
Q3 6:36
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Q3 6:39
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:46
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q3 6:49
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:17
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
60-62
Q3 7:27
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Q3 7:30
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:30
Draymond Green turnover (bad pass)
Q3 7:53
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
57-62
Q3 7:58
Warriors turnover
Q3 7:58
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Q3 7:58
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Q3 8:00
Moses Moody misses two point layup
Q3 8:00
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Q3 8:21
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q3 8:23
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
55-62
Q3 8:34
Warriors turnover
Q3 8:46
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
52-62
Q3 8:53
Warriors turnover
Q3 9:10
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
49-62
Q3 9:21
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
46-62
Q3 9:29
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q3 9:32
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:47
Bucks personal foul
Q3 9:47
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-59
Q3 9:47
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-60
Q3 9:58
Bucks turnover
Q3 10:08
Warriors violation
Q3 10:17
Warriors personal foul
Q3 10:17
Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 10:35
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
46-58
Q3 10:41
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q3 10:44
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:53
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q3 10:57
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:07
Bucks personal foul
Q3 11:07
Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 11:07
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q3 11:07
Instant replay
Q3 11:10
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Q3 11:11
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Q3 11:11
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:13
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:36
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q3 11:39
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
Q2 00:00
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Warriors offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post)
Q2 00:01
Bucks offensive rebound
Q2 00:01
Bucks turnover
Q2 00:03
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:25
Damian Lillard defensive rebound
Q2 00:26
Bucks personal foul
Q2 00:26
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-58
Q2 00:26
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Q2 00:26
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 00:36
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
44-57
Q2 00:52
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q2 00:55
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:07
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
42-57
Q2 1:23
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q2 1:27
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:35
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 1:37
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:54
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
40-57
Q2 2:11
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
39-54
Q2 2:11
Warriors personal foul
Q2 2:11
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q2 2:11
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Buddy Hield)
Q2 2:11
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, Taurean Prince)
Q2 2:11
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
40-54
Q2 2:25
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
37-54
Q2 2:51
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
37-52
Q2 3:00
Warriors turnover
Q2 3:00
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Buddy Hield)
Q2 3:15
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q2 3:17
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:24
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Q2 3:27
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:35
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 3:38
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:01
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
35-52
Q2 4:22
Jump ball. (Jonathan Kuminga gains possession)
Q2 4:22
Taurean Prince turnover (lost ball)
Q2 4:26
Taurean Prince offensive rebound
Q2 4:29
Warriors personal foul
Q2 4:29
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 4:29
Bucks offensive rebound
Q2 4:29
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 4:44
Bucks personal foul
Q2 4:44
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-49
Q2 4:44
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-50
Q2 4:58
Bucks turnover
Q2 5:16
Bucks personal foul
Q2 5:16
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 5:16
Warriors offensive rebound
Q2 5:16
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince)
Q2 5:16
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-48
Q2 5:25
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Q2 5:28
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:44
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
35-47
Q2 5:44
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
Q2 5:50
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q2 6:03
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
35-44
Q2 6:16
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q2 6:18
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:29
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q2 6:32
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:42
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
32-44
Q2 6:47
Bucks turnover
Q2 6:57
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 6:58
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:22
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
31-42
Q2 7:22
Warriors personal foul
Q2 7:22
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 1
32-42
Q2 7:22
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
Q2 7:38
Bucks defensive rebound
Q2 7:38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:38
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Quinten Post)
Q2 7:38
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green)
Q2 7:41
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:59
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q2 8:02
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:07
Warriors turnover
Q2 8:15
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 8:18
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:32
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
29-42
Q2 8:37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 8:37
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green)
Q2 8:42
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Q2 8:46
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:58
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Q2 9:01
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:08
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q2 9:09
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:09
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post)
Q2 9:18
Warriors personal foul
Q2 9:26
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
29-39
Q2 9:33
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
29-37
Q2 9:40
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Q2 9:43
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:51
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q2 9:54
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:05
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q2 10:07
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:13
Bucks personal foul
Q2 10:13
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes technical free throw 1 of 1
27-37
Q2 10:25
Bucks turnover
Q2 10:35
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
27-36
Q2 10:37
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Q2 10:40
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:52
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q2 10:55
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:56
Gary Trent Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 10:59
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:22
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
27-34
Q2 11:40
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q2 11:45
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Kevon Looney, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga)
Q1 00:00
Bucks offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Gary Trent Jr., Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green)
Q2 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post)
Q1 00:06
Warriors turnover
Q1 00:24
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q1 00:27
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:35
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:38
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:52
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
27-32
Q1 1:05
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
25-32
Q1 1:07
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q1 1:11
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:28
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:28
Bucks personal foul
Q1 1:28
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Q1 1:28
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-28
Q1 1:28
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-29
Q1 1:36
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
25-27
Q1 1:53
Stoppage (Other)
Q1 1:56
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Q1 1:56
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
23-27
Q1 2:01
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:20
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
22-25
Q1 2:20
Warriors personal foul
Q1 2:20
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q1 2:20
Instant replay
Q1 2:20
+1
Gary Trent Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-25
Q1 2:20
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Trent Jr., AJ Green)
Q1 2:23
Warriors turnover
Q1 2:41
Warriors personal foul
Q1 2:41
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 2:41
Bucks offensive rebound
Q1 2:41
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-25
Q1 2:44
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 2:46
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:46
Bucks lineup change (Damian Lillard, Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., AJ Green)
Q1 3:09
Warriors defensive rebound
Q1 3:09
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 3:10
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:21
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:21
Bucks defensive rebound
Q1 3:21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 3:29
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
19-25
Q1 3:36
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:37
Bucks personal foul
Q1 3:37
Bucks personal foul
Q1 3:37
+1
Buddy Hield makes technical free throw 1 of 1
17-23
Q1 3:37
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-24
Q1 3:37
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Kevon Looney, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
Q1 3:37
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., AJ Green, Taurean Prince)
Q1 3:37
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-25
Q1 3:41
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q1 3:44
Bucks personal foul
Q1 3:44
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:46
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 3:49
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:59
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q1 4:01
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:14
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot
17-22
Q1 4:20
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Q1 4:23
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:36
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
17-20
Q1 4:46
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 4:49
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:01
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Q1 5:01
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:07
Bucks personal foul
Q1 5:07
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Kevon Looney, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
Q1 5:16
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
15-20
Q1 5:18
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 5:20
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:45
Warriors personal foul
Q1 5:45
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-20
Q1 5:45
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-20
Q1 5:51
Warriors turnover
Q1 6:04
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q1 6:04
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., Kyle Kuzma, Taurean Prince)
Q1 6:04
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
Q1 6:04
Bucks violation
Q1 6:12
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
10-20
Q1 6:29
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
8-20
Q1 6:41
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q1 6:44
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:54
Bucks defensive rebound
Q1 6:54
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 6:57
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:07
Warriors personal foul
Q1 7:07
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Q1 7:07
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-17
Q1 7:07
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-17
Q1 7:10
Warriors personal foul
Q1 7:20
Bucks personal foul
Q1 7:20
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-16
Q1 7:20
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Q1 7:20
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-17
Q1 7:27
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q1 7:29
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:48
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q1 7:51
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:05
Bucks turnover
Q1 8:23
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
6-15
Q1 8:45
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
6-12
Q1 8:56
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 8:59
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:09
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q1 9:12
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:28
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q1 9:29
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
3-12
Q1 9:33
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q1 9:37
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:49
Bucks personal foul
Q1 9:49
Warriors offensive rebound
Q1 9:49
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 9:49
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
3-9
Q1 10:02
Warriors defensive rebound
Q1 10:02
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 10:03
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:15
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
3-8
Q1 10:28
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
3-6
Q1 10:43
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
0-6
Q1 10:46
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Q1 10:48
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:01
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q1 11:03
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:23
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
0-3
Q1 11:29
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q1 11:31
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:44
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 11:46
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, Taurean Prince)
Q1 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post)
Q1 12:00
Brook Lopez vs. Quinten Post (Jimmy Butler III gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Bucks
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F34 G. Antetokounmpo2097
G12 T. Prince681
F18 K. Kuzma2222
G5 G. Trent Jr.1010
G0 D. Lillard1634
Warriors
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G0 G. Payton II801
F23 D. Green394
F10 J. Butler III2489
G2 B. Podziemski1461
G7 B. Hield1550

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Bucks vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Bucks vs. Warriors
  • Date: Tuesday, March 18, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bucks favored at -2
  • Total (Over/Under): 225
  • Moneyline Odds: Bucks -120, Warriors +110

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Bucks: 58%
  • Warriors: 42%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 113-111 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 58%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Bucks are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Chase Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Bucks vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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