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Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Heat NBA game on March 14, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
103
91
Mar 14, 11PM Kaseya Center
Mar 14, 11PM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 30 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 103 |
Heat | 23 | 27 | 27 | 14 | 91 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
98%
2%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 30 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 103 |
Heat | 23 | 27 | 27 | 14 | 91 |
Q4 00:20 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Celtics makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:55 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:58 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
103-91
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
103-89
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
101-89
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
98-89
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-86
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-86
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
96-86
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Derrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-86
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
93-86
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
90-86
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
90-83
Al Horford offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
88-83
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White, Al Horford)
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics turnover
Derrick White misses two point jump shot
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
88-81
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Neemias Queta turnover (offensive foul)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Heat turnover
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-79
+1
Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Heat turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
86-79
Derrick White offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Al Horford)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
83-79
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
81-79
Celtics personal foul
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-79
Celtics turnover
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-78
Heat misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Sam Hauser, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
78-77
Heat turnover
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware)
Heat turnover
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
76-77
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
73-77
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-74
Celtics turnover
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat turnover
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
73-72
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
70-72
Celtics personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-71
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-72
Celtics personal foul
Neemias Queta turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-70
Celtics personal foul
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Neemias Queta, Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Jrue Holiday)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
67-67
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
65-67
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
63-67
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
63-64
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
61-64
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
59-64
Celtics personal foul
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
59-61
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics violation
Heat defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
56-61
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
56-58
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
54-58
Celtics 60 second timeout
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Celtics turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 1
54-55
Celtics turnover
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-54
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
53-55
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-52
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
53-50
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White, Al Horford)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Al Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-50
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White, Al Horford)
+1
Al Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-50
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-50
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White, Al Horford)
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Celtics 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Heat personal foul
Bam Adebayo turnover
Celtics challenge timeout
Neemias Queta turnover
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics challenge timeout
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-48
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-46
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
48-44
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White, Al Horford)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-44
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-44
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
43-44
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-41
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
43-39
Heat 60 second timeout
Al Horford offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
40-39
Al Horford offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-39
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
37-37
Celtics turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-34
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White, Al Horford)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Jordan Walsh, Al Horford)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-32
Celtics turnover
Celtics personal foul
Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-31
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware)
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
37-30
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
35-30
Celtics personal foul
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
35-27
Heat turnover
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-27
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Celtics turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-25
Celtics personal foul
Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
32-23
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Jordan Walsh)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
30-23
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
30-20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-20
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Neemias Queta, Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Jordan Walsh)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware)
Heat turnover
Celtics turnover
Heat turnover
Celtics turnover
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Payton Pritchard offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-18
Heat violation
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
27-16
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
25-16
Celtics turnover
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-12
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-13
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
25-11
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
23-11
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Neemias Queta, Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Jrue Holiday)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Celtics turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-10
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
20-11
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-8
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Sam Hauser, Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Jrue Holiday)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-8
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
18-8
Heat personal foul
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
16-8
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-8
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-6
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
14-4
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
12-4
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
9-4
Heat turnover
Celtics turnover
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
6-4
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
6-2
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
3-2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White, Al Horford)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
(Tyler Herro gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 42 | A. Horford | 9 | 9 | 5 |
| C | 88 | N. Queta | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| G | 4 | J. Holiday | 25 | 4 | 3 |
| F | 0 | J. Tatum | 28 | 4 | 5 |
| G | 9 | D. White | 18 | 5 | 4 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 45 | D. Mitchell | 12 | 9 | 4 |
| F | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 13 | 5 | 3 |
| F | 22 | A. Wiggins | 23 | 4 | 3 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 9 | 9 | 2 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 19 | 5 | 6 |
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Celtics vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Celtics vs. Heat
- Date: Friday, March 14, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 211.5
- Moneyline Odds: Celtics -286, Heat +250
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Celtics: 72%
- Heat: 28%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 110-103 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 72%, while the Heat have a win probability of 28%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Celtics vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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